Will Electric Vehicles Be Killed (again) or Are They the Next Mobility Killer App?

Electric vehicles (EVs) have been around for more than a hundred years. Nevertheless, their deployment has not been a sustainable success up until now. Many scientists, engineers and policymakers argue that EVs are a promising, maybe even indispensable option to achieve ambitious decarbonization goa...

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Main Authors: Christian Thiel, Anastasios Tsakalidis, Arnulf Jäger-Waldau
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-04-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/7/1828
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author Christian Thiel
Anastasios Tsakalidis
Arnulf Jäger-Waldau
author_facet Christian Thiel
Anastasios Tsakalidis
Arnulf Jäger-Waldau
author_sort Christian Thiel
collection DOAJ
description Electric vehicles (EVs) have been around for more than a hundred years. Nevertheless, their deployment has not been a sustainable success up until now. Many scientists, engineers and policymakers argue that EVs are a promising, maybe even indispensable option to achieve ambitious decarbonization goals, if powered by electricity from renewable energy sources. At the moment, the EVs market is gaining a lot of momentum and we may be near the point of no return for a sustained mass market deployment of electric vehicles. Many papers exist that describe future prospects of EVs. In our commentary we try to provide a bigger picture view and look at market and societal aspects. We analyze why previous generations of EVs were not successful and how current electric vehicles could become a sustainable success. We perform a semi-quantitative Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats (SWOT) analysis and find that current electric vehicle designs are technologically on par with or better than conventional alternatives. Car buyers go electric when the economics make sense to them. We conclude that incentives are needed for electric vehicles until battery costs lower—as much as to allow EVs to become cheaper—from a total cost of ownership (TCO) perspective, than other alternatives. Other policy measures are needed to overcome remaining barriers, especially in supporting the setup and operation of publicly accessible recharging points to overcome range anxiety. EVs in isolation may not be the next mobility killer app. The real next mobility killer app may emerge as an autonomous shared EV in a world where the border between public and private transport will cease to exist. The findings of our commentary are relevant for scientists, policymakers and industry.
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spelling doaj.art-933d031f8f7742d482870f857731bb752023-11-19T21:11:27ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732020-04-01137182810.3390/en13071828Will Electric Vehicles Be Killed (again) or Are They the Next Mobility Killer App?Christian Thiel0Anastasios Tsakalidis1Arnulf Jäger-Waldau2European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), 21027 Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), 21027 Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), 21027 Ispra, ItalyElectric vehicles (EVs) have been around for more than a hundred years. Nevertheless, their deployment has not been a sustainable success up until now. Many scientists, engineers and policymakers argue that EVs are a promising, maybe even indispensable option to achieve ambitious decarbonization goals, if powered by electricity from renewable energy sources. At the moment, the EVs market is gaining a lot of momentum and we may be near the point of no return for a sustained mass market deployment of electric vehicles. Many papers exist that describe future prospects of EVs. In our commentary we try to provide a bigger picture view and look at market and societal aspects. We analyze why previous generations of EVs were not successful and how current electric vehicles could become a sustainable success. We perform a semi-quantitative Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats (SWOT) analysis and find that current electric vehicle designs are technologically on par with or better than conventional alternatives. Car buyers go electric when the economics make sense to them. We conclude that incentives are needed for electric vehicles until battery costs lower—as much as to allow EVs to become cheaper—from a total cost of ownership (TCO) perspective, than other alternatives. Other policy measures are needed to overcome remaining barriers, especially in supporting the setup and operation of publicly accessible recharging points to overcome range anxiety. EVs in isolation may not be the next mobility killer app. The real next mobility killer app may emerge as an autonomous shared EV in a world where the border between public and private transport will cease to exist. The findings of our commentary are relevant for scientists, policymakers and industry.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/7/1828transport electrificationelectric vehiclespolicy measuresincentivestransport policyenergy policy
spellingShingle Christian Thiel
Anastasios Tsakalidis
Arnulf Jäger-Waldau
Will Electric Vehicles Be Killed (again) or Are They the Next Mobility Killer App?
Energies
transport electrification
electric vehicles
policy measures
incentives
transport policy
energy policy
title Will Electric Vehicles Be Killed (again) or Are They the Next Mobility Killer App?
title_full Will Electric Vehicles Be Killed (again) or Are They the Next Mobility Killer App?
title_fullStr Will Electric Vehicles Be Killed (again) or Are They the Next Mobility Killer App?
title_full_unstemmed Will Electric Vehicles Be Killed (again) or Are They the Next Mobility Killer App?
title_short Will Electric Vehicles Be Killed (again) or Are They the Next Mobility Killer App?
title_sort will electric vehicles be killed again or are they the next mobility killer app
topic transport electrification
electric vehicles
policy measures
incentives
transport policy
energy policy
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/7/1828
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