Simulation of water resources carrying capacity of the Hangbu River Basin based on system dynamics model and TOPSIS method

Water resources play a key role in development. The research on water resources carrying capacity (WRCC) is helpful to judge the development status and provide suggestions for regional policy-making. In this study, the System Dynamics (SD) model and the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity t...

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Main Authors: Yang Liu, Cheng Gao, Xiaomin Ji, Zeyi Zhang, Yuquan Zhang, Chenwei Liu, Zhenxing Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Environmental Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.1045907/full
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author Yang Liu
Cheng Gao
Xiaomin Ji
Zeyi Zhang
Yuquan Zhang
Chenwei Liu
Zhenxing Wang
author_facet Yang Liu
Cheng Gao
Xiaomin Ji
Zeyi Zhang
Yuquan Zhang
Chenwei Liu
Zhenxing Wang
author_sort Yang Liu
collection DOAJ
description Water resources play a key role in development. The research on water resources carrying capacity (WRCC) is helpful to judge the development status and provide suggestions for regional policy-making. In this study, the System Dynamics (SD) model and the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method are combined to calculate the change of WRCC of the Hangbu River basin from 2015 to 2035 under four development scenarios. The results show that WRCC of each scenario decreases first and then increases. The scenario that prioritizes water resources is the best for the Hangbu River Basin, under which the WRCC will increase to 0.631 in 2035, achieving a good level. This is different from other WRCC studies. Through analysis, the research method and the development level and focus of the study area may be the reasons for this difference. In addition, some suggestions were provided such as focusing on improving the efficiency of irrigation water use and looking at the long-term development of the region.
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spelling doaj.art-934c5b51e7dd4b2b932347f59495ad402022-12-22T02:55:26ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Environmental Science2296-665X2022-11-011010.3389/fenvs.2022.10459071045907Simulation of water resources carrying capacity of the Hangbu River Basin based on system dynamics model and TOPSIS methodYang Liu0Cheng Gao1Xiaomin Ji2Zeyi Zhang3Yuquan Zhang4Chenwei Liu5Zhenxing Wang6College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaJiangsu Province Hydrology and Water Resources Investigation Bureau, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaNanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing, ChinaSouth China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Guangzhou, ChinaWater resources play a key role in development. The research on water resources carrying capacity (WRCC) is helpful to judge the development status and provide suggestions for regional policy-making. In this study, the System Dynamics (SD) model and the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method are combined to calculate the change of WRCC of the Hangbu River basin from 2015 to 2035 under four development scenarios. The results show that WRCC of each scenario decreases first and then increases. The scenario that prioritizes water resources is the best for the Hangbu River Basin, under which the WRCC will increase to 0.631 in 2035, achieving a good level. This is different from other WRCC studies. Through analysis, the research method and the development level and focus of the study area may be the reasons for this difference. In addition, some suggestions were provided such as focusing on improving the efficiency of irrigation water use and looking at the long-term development of the region.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.1045907/fullWRCCSD modelTOPSIS methoddifferent scenariosregional development
spellingShingle Yang Liu
Cheng Gao
Xiaomin Ji
Zeyi Zhang
Yuquan Zhang
Chenwei Liu
Zhenxing Wang
Simulation of water resources carrying capacity of the Hangbu River Basin based on system dynamics model and TOPSIS method
Frontiers in Environmental Science
WRCC
SD model
TOPSIS method
different scenarios
regional development
title Simulation of water resources carrying capacity of the Hangbu River Basin based on system dynamics model and TOPSIS method
title_full Simulation of water resources carrying capacity of the Hangbu River Basin based on system dynamics model and TOPSIS method
title_fullStr Simulation of water resources carrying capacity of the Hangbu River Basin based on system dynamics model and TOPSIS method
title_full_unstemmed Simulation of water resources carrying capacity of the Hangbu River Basin based on system dynamics model and TOPSIS method
title_short Simulation of water resources carrying capacity of the Hangbu River Basin based on system dynamics model and TOPSIS method
title_sort simulation of water resources carrying capacity of the hangbu river basin based on system dynamics model and topsis method
topic WRCC
SD model
TOPSIS method
different scenarios
regional development
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.1045907/full
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