Maximal modularity and the optimal size of parliaments

Abstract An important question in representative democracies is how to determine the optimal parliament size of a given country. According to an old conjecture, known as the cubic root law, there is a fairly universal power-law relation, with an exponent equal to 1/3, between the size of an elected...

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Main Authors: Luca Gamberi, Yanik-Pascal Förster, Evan Tzanis, Alessia Annibale, Pierpaolo Vivo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2021-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-93639-1
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author Luca Gamberi
Yanik-Pascal Förster
Evan Tzanis
Alessia Annibale
Pierpaolo Vivo
author_facet Luca Gamberi
Yanik-Pascal Förster
Evan Tzanis
Alessia Annibale
Pierpaolo Vivo
author_sort Luca Gamberi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract An important question in representative democracies is how to determine the optimal parliament size of a given country. According to an old conjecture, known as the cubic root law, there is a fairly universal power-law relation, with an exponent equal to 1/3, between the size of an elected parliament and the country’s population. Empirical data in modern European countries support such universality but are consistent with a larger exponent. In this work, we analyse this intriguing regularity using tools from complex networks theory. We model the population of a democratic country as a random network, drawn from a growth model, where each node is assigned a constituency membership sampled from an available set of size D. We calculate analytically the modularity of the population and find that its functional relation with the number of constituencies is strongly non-monotonic, exhibiting a maximum that depends on the population size. The criterion of maximal modularity allows us to predict that the number of representatives should scale as a power-law in the size of the population, a finding that is qualitatively confirmed by the empirical analysis of real-world data.
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spelling doaj.art-93cdeca6804046b6be873874d82211152022-12-21T22:54:37ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222021-07-0111111510.1038/s41598-021-93639-1Maximal modularity and the optimal size of parliamentsLuca Gamberi0Yanik-Pascal Förster1Evan Tzanis2Alessia Annibale3Pierpaolo Vivo4Department of Mathematics and Quantitative and Digital Law Lab, King’s College LondonDepartment of Mathematics and Quantitative and Digital Law Lab, King’s College LondonDepartment of Mathematics and Quantitative and Digital Law Lab, King’s College LondonDepartment of Mathematics and Quantitative and Digital Law Lab, King’s College LondonDepartment of Mathematics and Quantitative and Digital Law Lab, King’s College LondonAbstract An important question in representative democracies is how to determine the optimal parliament size of a given country. According to an old conjecture, known as the cubic root law, there is a fairly universal power-law relation, with an exponent equal to 1/3, between the size of an elected parliament and the country’s population. Empirical data in modern European countries support such universality but are consistent with a larger exponent. In this work, we analyse this intriguing regularity using tools from complex networks theory. We model the population of a democratic country as a random network, drawn from a growth model, where each node is assigned a constituency membership sampled from an available set of size D. We calculate analytically the modularity of the population and find that its functional relation with the number of constituencies is strongly non-monotonic, exhibiting a maximum that depends on the population size. The criterion of maximal modularity allows us to predict that the number of representatives should scale as a power-law in the size of the population, a finding that is qualitatively confirmed by the empirical analysis of real-world data.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-93639-1
spellingShingle Luca Gamberi
Yanik-Pascal Förster
Evan Tzanis
Alessia Annibale
Pierpaolo Vivo
Maximal modularity and the optimal size of parliaments
Scientific Reports
title Maximal modularity and the optimal size of parliaments
title_full Maximal modularity and the optimal size of parliaments
title_fullStr Maximal modularity and the optimal size of parliaments
title_full_unstemmed Maximal modularity and the optimal size of parliaments
title_short Maximal modularity and the optimal size of parliaments
title_sort maximal modularity and the optimal size of parliaments
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-93639-1
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