Threshold dynamics of stochastic cholera epidemic model with direct transmission

This paper extends the cholera human-to-human direct transmission model from a deterministic to a stochastic framework. This is expressed as mixed system of stochastic and deterministic differential equations. A Lyapunov function is created to investigate the global stability of the stochastic chole...

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Main Authors: Roshan Ara, Saeed Ahmad, Zareen A. Khan, Mostafa Zahri
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2023-09-01
Series:AIMS Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/math.20231375?viewType=HTML
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author Roshan Ara
Saeed Ahmad
Zareen A. Khan
Mostafa Zahri
author_facet Roshan Ara
Saeed Ahmad
Zareen A. Khan
Mostafa Zahri
author_sort Roshan Ara
collection DOAJ
description This paper extends the cholera human-to-human direct transmission model from a deterministic to a stochastic framework. This is expressed as mixed system of stochastic and deterministic differential equations. A Lyapunov function is created to investigate the global stability of the stochastic cholera epidemic, which shows the existence of global positivity of the solution using the theory of stopping time. We then find the threshold quantity of the extended stochastic cholera epidemic model. We derive a parametric condition $ \widetilde{R}_0 $, and for additive white noise, we establish sufficient conditions for the extinction and the persistence of the cholera infection. Finally, for a suitable choice of the parameter of the system for $ \widetilde{R}_0 $, we perform numerical simulations for both scenarios of extinction and persistence of the dynamic of the cholera infection.
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spelling doaj.art-93fbb38933314b6db42ce7279d1847c72023-10-10T01:35:22ZengAIMS PressAIMS Mathematics2473-69882023-09-01811268632688110.3934/math.20231375Threshold dynamics of stochastic cholera epidemic model with direct transmissionRoshan Ara0Saeed Ahmad 1Zareen A. Khan2Mostafa Zahri 31. Department of Mathematics University of Malakand Chakdara Dir (L), Pakistan1. Department of Mathematics University of Malakand Chakdara Dir (L), Pakistan2. Department of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh 11671, Saudi Arabia3. Department of Mathematics, Research Groups MASEP and Bioinformatics FG, University of Sharjah, United Arab EmiratesThis paper extends the cholera human-to-human direct transmission model from a deterministic to a stochastic framework. This is expressed as mixed system of stochastic and deterministic differential equations. A Lyapunov function is created to investigate the global stability of the stochastic cholera epidemic, which shows the existence of global positivity of the solution using the theory of stopping time. We then find the threshold quantity of the extended stochastic cholera epidemic model. We derive a parametric condition $ \widetilde{R}_0 $, and for additive white noise, we establish sufficient conditions for the extinction and the persistence of the cholera infection. Finally, for a suitable choice of the parameter of the system for $ \widetilde{R}_0 $, we perform numerical simulations for both scenarios of extinction and persistence of the dynamic of the cholera infection.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/math.20231375?viewType=HTMLstochastic cholera epidemic systemextinctionpersistenceglobal positivitylyapunov function
spellingShingle Roshan Ara
Saeed Ahmad
Zareen A. Khan
Mostafa Zahri
Threshold dynamics of stochastic cholera epidemic model with direct transmission
AIMS Mathematics
stochastic cholera epidemic system
extinction
persistence
global positivity
lyapunov function
title Threshold dynamics of stochastic cholera epidemic model with direct transmission
title_full Threshold dynamics of stochastic cholera epidemic model with direct transmission
title_fullStr Threshold dynamics of stochastic cholera epidemic model with direct transmission
title_full_unstemmed Threshold dynamics of stochastic cholera epidemic model with direct transmission
title_short Threshold dynamics of stochastic cholera epidemic model with direct transmission
title_sort threshold dynamics of stochastic cholera epidemic model with direct transmission
topic stochastic cholera epidemic system
extinction
persistence
global positivity
lyapunov function
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/math.20231375?viewType=HTML
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AT saeedahmad thresholddynamicsofstochasticcholeraepidemicmodelwithdirecttransmission
AT zareenakhan thresholddynamicsofstochasticcholeraepidemicmodelwithdirecttransmission
AT mostafazahri thresholddynamicsofstochasticcholeraepidemicmodelwithdirecttransmission