Bubble Migration between the Foreign Exchange Market and the Housing Market

The main objective of the study is to investigate the bubble migration between foreign exchange and housing markets in Iran using seasonal data of 1966-1396. In this regard, bubble dating is discovered by using of Phillips et al (2015) method; then, bubble migration from the foreign exchange market...

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Main Authors: Madjid Hatefi Madjumerd, Mohsen Mehrara
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2020-06-01
Series:Faslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī
Subjects:
Online Access:https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_12078_1df9d66c59ca6e7019149474e137eba9.pdf
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author Madjid Hatefi Madjumerd
Mohsen Mehrara
author_facet Madjid Hatefi Madjumerd
Mohsen Mehrara
author_sort Madjid Hatefi Madjumerd
collection DOAJ
description The main objective of the study is to investigate the bubble migration between foreign exchange and housing markets in Iran using seasonal data of 1966-1396. In this regard, bubble dating is discovered by using of Phillips et al (2015) method; then, bubble migration from the foreign exchange market to the housing market and from the housing market to the foreign exchange market is examined, using the Gomez-Gonzales et al. (2016) method. The results show that there are 7 bubble periods in the foreign exchange market; and 7 bubble periods in the Housing market. four hypotheses were defined for examine the bubble migration, according to the bubble dates (from the foreign exchange to housing market and vice versa). The results of the hypothesis testes showed that the first house bubble (2007Q2-2008Q3) led to the creation of the first bubble of the foreign exchange market (2007Q4-2008Q3). It seems that in the currency restriction conditions, the probability of creating a foreign exchange bubble and its migration to the housing market is rather high and vice versa.
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spelling doaj.art-943c81c0a8a64200be99f40d929ea8042023-12-26T08:03:19ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University PressFaslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī1735-210X2476-64532020-06-0120776710210.22054/joer.2020.1207812078Bubble Migration between the Foreign Exchange Market and the Housing MarketMadjid Hatefi Madjumerd0Mohsen Mehrara1Postdoctoral Researcher, Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.Professor, Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.The main objective of the study is to investigate the bubble migration between foreign exchange and housing markets in Iran using seasonal data of 1966-1396. In this regard, bubble dating is discovered by using of Phillips et al (2015) method; then, bubble migration from the foreign exchange market to the housing market and from the housing market to the foreign exchange market is examined, using the Gomez-Gonzales et al. (2016) method. The results show that there are 7 bubble periods in the foreign exchange market; and 7 bubble periods in the Housing market. four hypotheses were defined for examine the bubble migration, according to the bubble dates (from the foreign exchange to housing market and vice versa). The results of the hypothesis testes showed that the first house bubble (2007Q2-2008Q3) led to the creation of the first bubble of the foreign exchange market (2007Q4-2008Q3). It seems that in the currency restriction conditions, the probability of creating a foreign exchange bubble and its migration to the housing market is rather high and vice versa.https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_12078_1df9d66c59ca6e7019149474e137eba9.pdfbubble migrationbubble datingforeign exchange markethousing market
spellingShingle Madjid Hatefi Madjumerd
Mohsen Mehrara
Bubble Migration between the Foreign Exchange Market and the Housing Market
Faslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī
bubble migration
bubble dating
foreign exchange market
housing market
title Bubble Migration between the Foreign Exchange Market and the Housing Market
title_full Bubble Migration between the Foreign Exchange Market and the Housing Market
title_fullStr Bubble Migration between the Foreign Exchange Market and the Housing Market
title_full_unstemmed Bubble Migration between the Foreign Exchange Market and the Housing Market
title_short Bubble Migration between the Foreign Exchange Market and the Housing Market
title_sort bubble migration between the foreign exchange market and the housing market
topic bubble migration
bubble dating
foreign exchange market
housing market
url https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_12078_1df9d66c59ca6e7019149474e137eba9.pdf
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