A comparison of spatial-based targeted disease mitigation strategies using mobile phone data

Abstract Epidemic outbreaks are an important healthcare challenge, especially in developing countries where they represent one of the major causes of mortality. Approaches that can rapidly target subpopulations for surveillance and control are critical for enhancing containment and mitigation proces...

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Main Authors: Stefania Rubrichi, Zbigniew Smoreda, Mirco Musolesi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2018-06-01
Series:EPJ Data Science
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1140/epjds/s13688-018-0145-9
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author Stefania Rubrichi
Zbigniew Smoreda
Mirco Musolesi
author_facet Stefania Rubrichi
Zbigniew Smoreda
Mirco Musolesi
author_sort Stefania Rubrichi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Epidemic outbreaks are an important healthcare challenge, especially in developing countries where they represent one of the major causes of mortality. Approaches that can rapidly target subpopulations for surveillance and control are critical for enhancing containment and mitigation processes during epidemics. Using a real-world dataset from Ivory Coast, this work presents an attempt to unveil the socio-geographical heterogeneity of disease transmission dynamics. By employing a spatially explicit meta-population epidemic model derived from mobile phone Call Detail Records (CDRs), we investigate how the differences in mobility patterns may affect the course of a hypothetical infectious disease outbreak. We consider different existing measures of the spatial dimension of human mobility and interactions, and we analyse their relevance in identifying the highest risk sub-population of individuals, as the best candidates for isolation countermeasures. The approaches presented in this paper provide further evidence that mobile phone data can be effectively exploited to facilitate our understanding of individuals’ spatial behaviour and its relationship with the risk of infectious diseases’ contagion. In particular, we show that CDRs-based indicators of individuals’ spatial activities and interactions hold promise for gaining insight of contagion heterogeneity and thus for developing mitigation strategies to support decision-making during country-level epidemics.
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spelling doaj.art-947c66a53701471284c88e08c3a790e82022-12-21T23:40:42ZengSpringerOpenEPJ Data Science2193-11272018-06-017111510.1140/epjds/s13688-018-0145-9A comparison of spatial-based targeted disease mitigation strategies using mobile phone dataStefania Rubrichi0Zbigniew Smoreda1Mirco Musolesi2SENSE, Orange LabsSENSE, Orange LabsDepartment of Geography, University College LondonAbstract Epidemic outbreaks are an important healthcare challenge, especially in developing countries where they represent one of the major causes of mortality. Approaches that can rapidly target subpopulations for surveillance and control are critical for enhancing containment and mitigation processes during epidemics. Using a real-world dataset from Ivory Coast, this work presents an attempt to unveil the socio-geographical heterogeneity of disease transmission dynamics. By employing a spatially explicit meta-population epidemic model derived from mobile phone Call Detail Records (CDRs), we investigate how the differences in mobility patterns may affect the course of a hypothetical infectious disease outbreak. We consider different existing measures of the spatial dimension of human mobility and interactions, and we analyse their relevance in identifying the highest risk sub-population of individuals, as the best candidates for isolation countermeasures. The approaches presented in this paper provide further evidence that mobile phone data can be effectively exploited to facilitate our understanding of individuals’ spatial behaviour and its relationship with the risk of infectious diseases’ contagion. In particular, we show that CDRs-based indicators of individuals’ spatial activities and interactions hold promise for gaining insight of contagion heterogeneity and thus for developing mitigation strategies to support decision-making during country-level epidemics.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1140/epjds/s13688-018-0145-9Spatial networksMobile phone dataHuman mobilityEpidemic spread
spellingShingle Stefania Rubrichi
Zbigniew Smoreda
Mirco Musolesi
A comparison of spatial-based targeted disease mitigation strategies using mobile phone data
EPJ Data Science
Spatial networks
Mobile phone data
Human mobility
Epidemic spread
title A comparison of spatial-based targeted disease mitigation strategies using mobile phone data
title_full A comparison of spatial-based targeted disease mitigation strategies using mobile phone data
title_fullStr A comparison of spatial-based targeted disease mitigation strategies using mobile phone data
title_full_unstemmed A comparison of spatial-based targeted disease mitigation strategies using mobile phone data
title_short A comparison of spatial-based targeted disease mitigation strategies using mobile phone data
title_sort comparison of spatial based targeted disease mitigation strategies using mobile phone data
topic Spatial networks
Mobile phone data
Human mobility
Epidemic spread
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1140/epjds/s13688-018-0145-9
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