Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand
The aim of this research is to forecast CO2emissions from consumption of energy in Industry sectors in Thailand. To study, input-output tables based on Thailand for the years 2000 to 2015 are deployed to estimate CO2emissions, population growth and GDP growth. Moreover, those are also used to antici...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Sciendo
2018-11-01
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Series: | Environmental and Climate Technologies |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2018-0007 |
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author | Sutthichaimethee Pruethsan Ariyasajjakorn Danupon |
author_facet | Sutthichaimethee Pruethsan Ariyasajjakorn Danupon |
author_sort | Sutthichaimethee Pruethsan |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The aim of this research is to forecast CO2emissions from consumption of energy in Industry sectors in Thailand. To study, input-output tables based on Thailand for the years 2000 to 2015 are deployed to estimate CO2emissions, population growth and GDP growth. Moreover, those are also used to anticipate the energy consumption for fifteen years and thirty years ahead. The ARIMAX Model is applied to two sub-models, and the result indicates that Thailand will have 14.3541 % on average higher in CO2emissions in a fifteen-year period (2016-2030), and 31.1536 % in a thirty-year period (2016-2045). This study hopes to be useful in shaping future national policies and more effective planning. The researcher uses a statistical model called the ARIMAX Model, which is a stationary data model, and is a model that eliminates the problems of autocorrelations, heteroskedasticity, and multicollinearity. Thus, the forecasts will be made with minor error. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-21T19:25:34Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-94be66b91e8441648ba9e7bc37f55127 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2255-8837 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-21T19:25:34Z |
publishDate | 2018-11-01 |
publisher | Sciendo |
record_format | Article |
series | Environmental and Climate Technologies |
spelling | doaj.art-94be66b91e8441648ba9e7bc37f551272022-12-21T18:52:51ZengSciendoEnvironmental and Climate Technologies2255-88372018-11-0122110711710.2478/rtuect-2018-0007rtuect-2018-0007Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in ThailandSutthichaimethee Pruethsan0Ariyasajjakorn Danupon1Faculty of Economics, Chulalongkorn University, Wang Mai, Khet Pathum Wan,Bangkok, ThailandFaculty of Economics, Chulalongkorn University, Wang Mai, Khet Pathum Wan,Bangkok, ThailandThe aim of this research is to forecast CO2emissions from consumption of energy in Industry sectors in Thailand. To study, input-output tables based on Thailand for the years 2000 to 2015 are deployed to estimate CO2emissions, population growth and GDP growth. Moreover, those are also used to anticipate the energy consumption for fifteen years and thirty years ahead. The ARIMAX Model is applied to two sub-models, and the result indicates that Thailand will have 14.3541 % on average higher in CO2emissions in a fifteen-year period (2016-2030), and 31.1536 % in a thirty-year period (2016-2045). This study hopes to be useful in shaping future national policies and more effective planning. The researcher uses a statistical model called the ARIMAX Model, which is a stationary data model, and is a model that eliminates the problems of autocorrelations, heteroskedasticity, and multicollinearity. Thus, the forecasts will be made with minor error.https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2018-0007co2 emissionsgdp growthenergy consumptionincome per capitapopulation growth |
spellingShingle | Sutthichaimethee Pruethsan Ariyasajjakorn Danupon Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand Environmental and Climate Technologies co2 emissions gdp growth energy consumption income per capita population growth |
title | Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand |
title_full | Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand |
title_fullStr | Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand |
title_full_unstemmed | Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand |
title_short | Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand |
title_sort | forecast of carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption in industry sectors in thailand |
topic | co2 emissions gdp growth energy consumption income per capita population growth |
url | https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2018-0007 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT sutthichaimetheepruethsan forecastofcarbondioxideemissionsfromenergyconsumptioninindustrysectorsinthailand AT ariyasajjakorndanupon forecastofcarbondioxideemissionsfromenergyconsumptioninindustrysectorsinthailand |