Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand

The aim of this research is to forecast CO2emissions from consumption of energy in Industry sectors in Thailand. To study, input-output tables based on Thailand for the years 2000 to 2015 are deployed to estimate CO2emissions, population growth and GDP growth. Moreover, those are also used to antici...

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Main Authors: Sutthichaimethee Pruethsan, Ariyasajjakorn Danupon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2018-11-01
Series:Environmental and Climate Technologies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2018-0007
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author Sutthichaimethee Pruethsan
Ariyasajjakorn Danupon
author_facet Sutthichaimethee Pruethsan
Ariyasajjakorn Danupon
author_sort Sutthichaimethee Pruethsan
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this research is to forecast CO2emissions from consumption of energy in Industry sectors in Thailand. To study, input-output tables based on Thailand for the years 2000 to 2015 are deployed to estimate CO2emissions, population growth and GDP growth. Moreover, those are also used to anticipate the energy consumption for fifteen years and thirty years ahead. The ARIMAX Model is applied to two sub-models, and the result indicates that Thailand will have 14.3541 % on average higher in CO2emissions in a fifteen-year period (2016-2030), and 31.1536 % in a thirty-year period (2016-2045). This study hopes to be useful in shaping future national policies and more effective planning. The researcher uses a statistical model called the ARIMAX Model, which is a stationary data model, and is a model that eliminates the problems of autocorrelations, heteroskedasticity, and multicollinearity. Thus, the forecasts will be made with minor error.
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spelling doaj.art-94be66b91e8441648ba9e7bc37f551272022-12-21T18:52:51ZengSciendoEnvironmental and Climate Technologies2255-88372018-11-0122110711710.2478/rtuect-2018-0007rtuect-2018-0007Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in ThailandSutthichaimethee Pruethsan0Ariyasajjakorn Danupon1Faculty of Economics, Chulalongkorn University, Wang Mai, Khet Pathum Wan,Bangkok, ThailandFaculty of Economics, Chulalongkorn University, Wang Mai, Khet Pathum Wan,Bangkok, ThailandThe aim of this research is to forecast CO2emissions from consumption of energy in Industry sectors in Thailand. To study, input-output tables based on Thailand for the years 2000 to 2015 are deployed to estimate CO2emissions, population growth and GDP growth. Moreover, those are also used to anticipate the energy consumption for fifteen years and thirty years ahead. The ARIMAX Model is applied to two sub-models, and the result indicates that Thailand will have 14.3541 % on average higher in CO2emissions in a fifteen-year period (2016-2030), and 31.1536 % in a thirty-year period (2016-2045). This study hopes to be useful in shaping future national policies and more effective planning. The researcher uses a statistical model called the ARIMAX Model, which is a stationary data model, and is a model that eliminates the problems of autocorrelations, heteroskedasticity, and multicollinearity. Thus, the forecasts will be made with minor error.https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2018-0007co2 emissionsgdp growthenergy consumptionincome per capitapopulation growth
spellingShingle Sutthichaimethee Pruethsan
Ariyasajjakorn Danupon
Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand
Environmental and Climate Technologies
co2 emissions
gdp growth
energy consumption
income per capita
population growth
title Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand
title_full Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand
title_fullStr Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand
title_full_unstemmed Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand
title_short Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Industry Sectors in Thailand
title_sort forecast of carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption in industry sectors in thailand
topic co2 emissions
gdp growth
energy consumption
income per capita
population growth
url https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2018-0007
work_keys_str_mv AT sutthichaimetheepruethsan forecastofcarbondioxideemissionsfromenergyconsumptioninindustrysectorsinthailand
AT ariyasajjakorndanupon forecastofcarbondioxideemissionsfromenergyconsumptioninindustrysectorsinthailand