Potential for tree rings to reveal spatial patterns of past drought variability across western Australia

Proxy records have provided major insights into the variability of past climates over long timescales. However, for much of the Southern Hemisphere, the ability to identify spatial patterns of past climatic variability is constrained by the sparse distribution of proxy records. This is particularly...

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Main Authors: Alison J O’Donnell, Edward R Cook, Jonathan G Palmer, Chris S M Turney, Pauline F Grierson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2018-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa204
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author Alison J O’Donnell
Edward R Cook
Jonathan G Palmer
Chris S M Turney
Pauline F Grierson
author_facet Alison J O’Donnell
Edward R Cook
Jonathan G Palmer
Chris S M Turney
Pauline F Grierson
author_sort Alison J O’Donnell
collection DOAJ
description Proxy records have provided major insights into the variability of past climates over long timescales. However, for much of the Southern Hemisphere, the ability to identify spatial patterns of past climatic variability is constrained by the sparse distribution of proxy records. This is particularly true for mainland Australia, where relatively few proxy records are located. Here, we (1) assess the potential to use existing proxy records in the Australasian region—starting with the only two multi-century tree-ring proxies from mainland Australia—to reveal spatial patterns of past hydroclimatic variability across the western third of the continent, and (2) identify strategic locations to target for the development of new proxy records. We show that the two existing tree-ring records allow robust reconstructions of past hydroclimatic variability over spatially broad areas (i.e. > 3° × 3°) in inland north- and south-western Australia. Our results reveal synchronous periods of drought and wet conditions between the inland northern and southern regions of western Australia as well as a generally anti-phase relationship with hydroclimate in eastern Australia over the last two centuries. The inclusion of 174 tree-ring proxy records from Tasmania, New Zealand and Indonesia and a coral record from Queensland did not improve the reconstruction potential over western Australia. However, our findings suggest that the addition of relatively few new proxy records from key locations in western Australia that currently have low reconstruction skill will enable the development of a comprehensive drought atlas for the region, and provide a critical link to the drought atlases of monsoonal Asia and eastern Australia and New Zealand.
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spelling doaj.art-94d433076c49496395ddb6b59e3072912023-08-09T14:38:22ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262018-01-0113202402010.1088/1748-9326/aaa204Potential for tree rings to reveal spatial patterns of past drought variability across western AustraliaAlison J O’Donnell0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7597-7965Edward R Cook1Jonathan G Palmer2Chris S M Turney3Pauline F Grierson4Ecosystems Research Group, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Western Australia , Perth, Western Australia, Australia; Author to whom any correspondence should be addressed.Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University , Palisades, New York, United States of AmericaPalaeontology, Geobiology and Earth Archives Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Australian Biodiversity and Heritage, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales , Sydney, New South Wales, AustraliaPalaeontology, Geobiology and Earth Archives Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Australian Biodiversity and Heritage, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales , Sydney, New South Wales, AustraliaEcosystems Research Group, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Western Australia , Perth, Western Australia, AustraliaProxy records have provided major insights into the variability of past climates over long timescales. However, for much of the Southern Hemisphere, the ability to identify spatial patterns of past climatic variability is constrained by the sparse distribution of proxy records. This is particularly true for mainland Australia, where relatively few proxy records are located. Here, we (1) assess the potential to use existing proxy records in the Australasian region—starting with the only two multi-century tree-ring proxies from mainland Australia—to reveal spatial patterns of past hydroclimatic variability across the western third of the continent, and (2) identify strategic locations to target for the development of new proxy records. We show that the two existing tree-ring records allow robust reconstructions of past hydroclimatic variability over spatially broad areas (i.e. > 3° × 3°) in inland north- and south-western Australia. Our results reveal synchronous periods of drought and wet conditions between the inland northern and southern regions of western Australia as well as a generally anti-phase relationship with hydroclimate in eastern Australia over the last two centuries. The inclusion of 174 tree-ring proxy records from Tasmania, New Zealand and Indonesia and a coral record from Queensland did not improve the reconstruction potential over western Australia. However, our findings suggest that the addition of relatively few new proxy records from key locations in western Australia that currently have low reconstruction skill will enable the development of a comprehensive drought atlas for the region, and provide a critical link to the drought atlases of monsoonal Asia and eastern Australia and New Zealand.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa204Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI)drought atlasdendrochronologyhydroclimate variabilitydendroclimatology
spellingShingle Alison J O’Donnell
Edward R Cook
Jonathan G Palmer
Chris S M Turney
Pauline F Grierson
Potential for tree rings to reveal spatial patterns of past drought variability across western Australia
Environmental Research Letters
Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI)
drought atlas
dendrochronology
hydroclimate variability
dendroclimatology
title Potential for tree rings to reveal spatial patterns of past drought variability across western Australia
title_full Potential for tree rings to reveal spatial patterns of past drought variability across western Australia
title_fullStr Potential for tree rings to reveal spatial patterns of past drought variability across western Australia
title_full_unstemmed Potential for tree rings to reveal spatial patterns of past drought variability across western Australia
title_short Potential for tree rings to reveal spatial patterns of past drought variability across western Australia
title_sort potential for tree rings to reveal spatial patterns of past drought variability across western australia
topic Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI)
drought atlas
dendrochronology
hydroclimate variability
dendroclimatology
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa204
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