Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction

Potražnja i obezbeđenje rezervnih delova predstavlja jedan od ključnih faktora uspešnosti sistema održavanja, a zavisi od mogućnosti prognoziranja potražnje. Postoji vise grupa modela prognoziranja potražnje, a jednu čini grupa statističnih modela. U ovom radu prikazana su dva statistička modela jed...

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Main Authors: Vasilije Mišković, Siniša Borović
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Defence in Belgrade 2002-01-01
Series:Vojnotehnički Glasnik
Subjects:
Online Access:http://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0042-8469/2002/0042-84690201005M.pdf
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author Vasilije Mišković
Siniša Borović
author_facet Vasilije Mišković
Siniša Borović
author_sort Vasilije Mišković
collection DOAJ
description Potražnja i obezbeđenje rezervnih delova predstavlja jedan od ključnih faktora uspešnosti sistema održavanja, a zavisi od mogućnosti prognoziranja potražnje. Postoji vise grupa modela prognoziranja potražnje, a jednu čini grupa statističnih modela. U ovom radu prikazana su dva statistička modela jedan kada ne postoje podaci o potražnji rezervnih delova u prošlosti i jedan kada ti podaci postoje. Jedan model je eksperimentalno primenjen i na osnovu dobijenih efekata može se zaključiti da daje veoma dobre rezultate. / Spare part supply is one of the key parts of effective system maintenance A successful spare part providing depends on the possibility to predict requirements. There are several kinds of production models and the statistical one is one of them. In this article we present two statistical models. One model is applicable if there is no data about spare part requirements in the past. Another model is used if such data exists. The first model was experimentally verified and, considering the experimental results, we can conclude that the proposed model gives very good results.
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spelling doaj.art-94dbd31c6a444bcebb713f4cfb6e7dec2022-12-21T21:26:20ZengUniversity of Defence in BelgradeVojnotehnički Glasnik0042-84692217-47532002-01-0150151310.5937/vojtehg0201005MStatistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement predictionVasilije Mišković 0Siniša Borović 1Military Academy, Belgrade, Republic of SerbiaBelgrade, Republic of SerbiaPotražnja i obezbeđenje rezervnih delova predstavlja jedan od ključnih faktora uspešnosti sistema održavanja, a zavisi od mogućnosti prognoziranja potražnje. Postoji vise grupa modela prognoziranja potražnje, a jednu čini grupa statističnih modela. U ovom radu prikazana su dva statistička modela jedan kada ne postoje podaci o potražnji rezervnih delova u prošlosti i jedan kada ti podaci postoje. Jedan model je eksperimentalno primenjen i na osnovu dobijenih efekata može se zaključiti da daje veoma dobre rezultate. / Spare part supply is one of the key parts of effective system maintenance A successful spare part providing depends on the possibility to predict requirements. There are several kinds of production models and the statistical one is one of them. In this article we present two statistical models. One model is applicable if there is no data about spare part requirements in the past. Another model is used if such data exists. The first model was experimentally verified and, considering the experimental results, we can conclude that the proposed model gives very good results.http://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0042-8469/2002/0042-84690201005M.pdfrezervni deopotražnjamodelprognozaspare partrequirementprediction
spellingShingle Vasilije Mišković
Siniša Borović
Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction
Vojnotehnički Glasnik
rezervni deo
potražnja
model
prognoza
spare part
requirement
prediction
title Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction
title_full Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction
title_fullStr Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction
title_full_unstemmed Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction
title_short Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction
title_sort statisticki modeli prognoziranja potraznje rezervnih delova statistical models of spare part requirement prediction
topic rezervni deo
potražnja
model
prognoza
spare part
requirement
prediction
url http://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0042-8469/2002/0042-84690201005M.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT vasilijemiskovic statistickimodeliprognoziranjapotraznjerezervnihdelovastatisticalmodelsofsparepartrequirementprediction
AT sinisaborovic statistickimodeliprognoziranjapotraznjerezervnihdelovastatisticalmodelsofsparepartrequirementprediction