Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction
Potražnja i obezbeđenje rezervnih delova predstavlja jedan od ključnih faktora uspešnosti sistema održavanja, a zavisi od mogućnosti prognoziranja potražnje. Postoji vise grupa modela prognoziranja potražnje, a jednu čini grupa statističnih modela. U ovom radu prikazana su dva statistička modela jed...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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University of Defence in Belgrade
2002-01-01
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Series: | Vojnotehnički Glasnik |
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Online Access: | http://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0042-8469/2002/0042-84690201005M.pdf |
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author | Vasilije Mišković Siniša Borović |
author_facet | Vasilije Mišković Siniša Borović |
author_sort | Vasilije Mišković |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Potražnja i obezbeđenje rezervnih delova predstavlja jedan od ključnih faktora uspešnosti sistema održavanja, a zavisi od mogućnosti prognoziranja potražnje. Postoji vise grupa modela prognoziranja potražnje, a jednu čini grupa statističnih modela. U ovom radu prikazana su dva statistička modela jedan kada ne postoje podaci o potražnji rezervnih delova u prošlosti i jedan kada ti podaci postoje. Jedan model je eksperimentalno primenjen i na osnovu dobijenih efekata može se zaključiti da daje veoma dobre rezultate. / Spare part supply is one of the key parts of effective system maintenance A successful spare part providing depends on the possibility to predict requirements. There are several kinds of production models and the statistical one is one of them. In this article we present two statistical models. One model is applicable if there is no data about spare part requirements in the past. Another model is used if such data exists. The first model was experimentally verified and, considering the experimental results, we can conclude that the proposed model gives very good results. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-18T01:02:13Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-94dbd31c6a444bcebb713f4cfb6e7dec |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 0042-8469 2217-4753 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-18T01:02:13Z |
publishDate | 2002-01-01 |
publisher | University of Defence in Belgrade |
record_format | Article |
series | Vojnotehnički Glasnik |
spelling | doaj.art-94dbd31c6a444bcebb713f4cfb6e7dec2022-12-21T21:26:20ZengUniversity of Defence in BelgradeVojnotehnički Glasnik0042-84692217-47532002-01-0150151310.5937/vojtehg0201005MStatistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement predictionVasilije Mišković 0Siniša Borović 1Military Academy, Belgrade, Republic of SerbiaBelgrade, Republic of SerbiaPotražnja i obezbeđenje rezervnih delova predstavlja jedan od ključnih faktora uspešnosti sistema održavanja, a zavisi od mogućnosti prognoziranja potražnje. Postoji vise grupa modela prognoziranja potražnje, a jednu čini grupa statističnih modela. U ovom radu prikazana su dva statistička modela jedan kada ne postoje podaci o potražnji rezervnih delova u prošlosti i jedan kada ti podaci postoje. Jedan model je eksperimentalno primenjen i na osnovu dobijenih efekata može se zaključiti da daje veoma dobre rezultate. / Spare part supply is one of the key parts of effective system maintenance A successful spare part providing depends on the possibility to predict requirements. There are several kinds of production models and the statistical one is one of them. In this article we present two statistical models. One model is applicable if there is no data about spare part requirements in the past. Another model is used if such data exists. The first model was experimentally verified and, considering the experimental results, we can conclude that the proposed model gives very good results.http://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0042-8469/2002/0042-84690201005M.pdfrezervni deopotražnjamodelprognozaspare partrequirementprediction |
spellingShingle | Vasilije Mišković Siniša Borović Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction Vojnotehnički Glasnik rezervni deo potražnja model prognoza spare part requirement prediction |
title | Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction |
title_full | Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction |
title_fullStr | Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction |
title_full_unstemmed | Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction |
title_short | Statistički modeli prognoziranja potražnje rezervnih delova / Statistical models of spare part requirement prediction |
title_sort | statisticki modeli prognoziranja potraznje rezervnih delova statistical models of spare part requirement prediction |
topic | rezervni deo potražnja model prognoza spare part requirement prediction |
url | http://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0042-8469/2002/0042-84690201005M.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv | AT vasilijemiskovic statistickimodeliprognoziranjapotraznjerezervnihdelovastatisticalmodelsofsparepartrequirementprediction AT sinisaborovic statistickimodeliprognoziranjapotraznjerezervnihdelovastatisticalmodelsofsparepartrequirementprediction |