Testing the forecasting skills of aftershock models using a Bayesian framework

The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model and the modified Omori law (MOL) are two aftershock rate models that are used for operational earthquake/aftershock forecasting. Previous studies have investigated the relative performance of the two models for specific case studies. However, a rigo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Elisa Dong, Robert Shcherbakov, Katsuichiro Goda
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-06-01
Series:Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fams.2023.1126511/full