A statistical boosting framework for polygenic risk scores based on large-scale genotype data

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) evaluate the individual genetic liability to a certain trait and are expected to play an increasingly important role in clinical risk stratification. Most often, PRS are estimated based on summary statistics of univariate effects derived from genome-wide association studi...

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Main Authors: Hannah Klinkhammer, Christian Staerk, Carlo Maj, Peter Michael Krawitz, Andreas Mayr
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Genetics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fgene.2022.1076440/full
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author Hannah Klinkhammer
Hannah Klinkhammer
Christian Staerk
Carlo Maj
Carlo Maj
Peter Michael Krawitz
Andreas Mayr
author_facet Hannah Klinkhammer
Hannah Klinkhammer
Christian Staerk
Carlo Maj
Carlo Maj
Peter Michael Krawitz
Andreas Mayr
author_sort Hannah Klinkhammer
collection DOAJ
description Polygenic risk scores (PRS) evaluate the individual genetic liability to a certain trait and are expected to play an increasingly important role in clinical risk stratification. Most often, PRS are estimated based on summary statistics of univariate effects derived from genome-wide association studies. To improve the predictive performance of PRS, it is desirable to fit multivariable models directly on the genetic data. Due to the large and high-dimensional data, a direct application of existing methods is often not feasible and new efficient algorithms are required to overcome the computational burden regarding efficiency and memory demands. We develop an adapted component-wise L2-boosting algorithm to fit genotype data from large cohort studies to continuous outcomes using linear base-learners for the genetic variants. Similar to the snpnet approach implementing lasso regression, the proposed snpboost approach iteratively works on smaller batches of variants. By restricting the set of possible base-learners in each boosting step to variants most correlated with the residuals from previous iterations, the computational efficiency can be substantially increased without losing prediction accuracy. Furthermore, for large-scale data based on various traits from the UK Biobank we show that our method yields competitive prediction accuracy and computational efficiency compared to the snpnet approach and further commonly used methods. Due to the modular structure of boosting, our framework can be further extended to construct PRS for different outcome data and effect types—we illustrate this for the prediction of binary traits.
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spelling doaj.art-9509bf080f0a42f3899f3de5a0a88e5d2023-01-10T18:53:59ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Genetics1664-80212023-01-011310.3389/fgene.2022.10764401076440A statistical boosting framework for polygenic risk scores based on large-scale genotype dataHannah Klinkhammer0Hannah Klinkhammer1Christian Staerk2Carlo Maj3Carlo Maj4Peter Michael Krawitz5Andreas Mayr6Institute for Medical Biometry, Informatics and Epidemiology, Medical Faculty, University of Bonn, Bonn, GermanyInstitute for Genomic Statistics and Bioinformatics, Medical Faculty, University of Bonn, Bonn, GermanyInstitute for Medical Biometry, Informatics and Epidemiology, Medical Faculty, University of Bonn, Bonn, GermanyInstitute for Genomic Statistics and Bioinformatics, Medical Faculty, University of Bonn, Bonn, GermanyCenter for Human Genetics, University of Marburg, Marburg, GermanyInstitute for Genomic Statistics and Bioinformatics, Medical Faculty, University of Bonn, Bonn, GermanyInstitute for Medical Biometry, Informatics and Epidemiology, Medical Faculty, University of Bonn, Bonn, GermanyPolygenic risk scores (PRS) evaluate the individual genetic liability to a certain trait and are expected to play an increasingly important role in clinical risk stratification. Most often, PRS are estimated based on summary statistics of univariate effects derived from genome-wide association studies. To improve the predictive performance of PRS, it is desirable to fit multivariable models directly on the genetic data. Due to the large and high-dimensional data, a direct application of existing methods is often not feasible and new efficient algorithms are required to overcome the computational burden regarding efficiency and memory demands. We develop an adapted component-wise L2-boosting algorithm to fit genotype data from large cohort studies to continuous outcomes using linear base-learners for the genetic variants. Similar to the snpnet approach implementing lasso regression, the proposed snpboost approach iteratively works on smaller batches of variants. By restricting the set of possible base-learners in each boosting step to variants most correlated with the residuals from previous iterations, the computational efficiency can be substantially increased without losing prediction accuracy. Furthermore, for large-scale data based on various traits from the UK Biobank we show that our method yields competitive prediction accuracy and computational efficiency compared to the snpnet approach and further commonly used methods. Due to the modular structure of boosting, our framework can be further extended to construct PRS for different outcome data and effect types—we illustrate this for the prediction of binary traits.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fgene.2022.1076440/fullpolygenic risk score (PRS)high-dimensional datavariable selectionboostingGWAS—genome-wide association studyprediction
spellingShingle Hannah Klinkhammer
Hannah Klinkhammer
Christian Staerk
Carlo Maj
Carlo Maj
Peter Michael Krawitz
Andreas Mayr
A statistical boosting framework for polygenic risk scores based on large-scale genotype data
Frontiers in Genetics
polygenic risk score (PRS)
high-dimensional data
variable selection
boosting
GWAS—genome-wide association study
prediction
title A statistical boosting framework for polygenic risk scores based on large-scale genotype data
title_full A statistical boosting framework for polygenic risk scores based on large-scale genotype data
title_fullStr A statistical boosting framework for polygenic risk scores based on large-scale genotype data
title_full_unstemmed A statistical boosting framework for polygenic risk scores based on large-scale genotype data
title_short A statistical boosting framework for polygenic risk scores based on large-scale genotype data
title_sort statistical boosting framework for polygenic risk scores based on large scale genotype data
topic polygenic risk score (PRS)
high-dimensional data
variable selection
boosting
GWAS—genome-wide association study
prediction
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fgene.2022.1076440/full
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