The association between fasting plasma glucose variability and incident eGFR decline: evidence from two cohort studies

Abstract Background Glycemic variability (GV) is developing as a marker of glycemic control, which can be utilized as a promising predictor of complications. To determine whether long-term GV is associated with incident eGFR decline in two cohorts of Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) and Multi-E...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Niloofar Deravi, Yasaman Sharifi, Fatemeh Koohi, Seyed Saeed Tamehri Zadeh, Soroush Masrouri, Fereidoun Azizi, Farzad Hadaegh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-03-01
Series:BMC Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-15463-8
_version_ 1797853531649081344
author Niloofar Deravi
Yasaman Sharifi
Fatemeh Koohi
Seyed Saeed Tamehri Zadeh
Soroush Masrouri
Fereidoun Azizi
Farzad Hadaegh
author_facet Niloofar Deravi
Yasaman Sharifi
Fatemeh Koohi
Seyed Saeed Tamehri Zadeh
Soroush Masrouri
Fereidoun Azizi
Farzad Hadaegh
author_sort Niloofar Deravi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Glycemic variability (GV) is developing as a marker of glycemic control, which can be utilized as a promising predictor of complications. To determine whether long-term GV is associated with incident eGFR decline in two cohorts of Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) during a median follow-up of 12.2 years. Methods Study participants included 4422 Iranian adults (including 528 patients with T2D) aged ≥ 20 years from TLGS and 4290 American adults (including 521 patients with T2D) aged ≥ 45 years from MESA. The Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the risk of incident eGFR decline for each of the fasting plasma glucose (FPG) variability measures including standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV), average real variability (ARV), and variability independent of the mean (VIM) both as continuous and categorical variables. The time of start for eGFR decline and FPG variability assessment was the same, but the event cases were excluded during the exposure period. Results In TLGS participants without T2D, for each unit change in FPG variability measures, the hazards (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for eGFR decline ≥ 40% of SD, CV, and VIM were 1.07(1.01–1.13), 1.06(1.01–1.11), and 1.07(1.01–1.13), respectively. Moreover, the third tertile of FPG-SD and FPG-VIM parameters was significantly associated with a 60 and 69% higher risk for eGFR decline ≥ 40%, respectively. In MESA participants with T2D, each unit change in FPG variability measures was significantly associated with a higher risk for eGFR decline ≥ 40%.Regarding eGFR decline ≥ 30% as the outcome, in the TLGS, regardless of diabetes status, no association was shown between FPG variability measures and risk of eGFR decline in any of the models; however, in the MESA the results were in line with those of GFR decline ≥ 40%.Using pooled data from the two cohorts we found that generally FPG variability were associated with higher risk of eGFR decline ≥ 40% only among non-T2D individuals. Conclusions Higher FPG variability was associated with an increased risk of eGFR decline in the diabetic American population; however, this unfavorable impact was found only among the non-diabetic Iranian population.
first_indexed 2024-04-09T19:52:07Z
format Article
id doaj.art-95179848c60d4a569fe41d4ae614cc2c
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1471-2458
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-09T19:52:07Z
publishDate 2023-03-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series BMC Public Health
spelling doaj.art-95179848c60d4a569fe41d4ae614cc2c2023-04-03T05:43:13ZengBMCBMC Public Health1471-24582023-03-0123111710.1186/s12889-023-15463-8The association between fasting plasma glucose variability and incident eGFR decline: evidence from two cohort studiesNiloofar Deravi0Yasaman Sharifi1Fatemeh Koohi2Seyed Saeed Tamehri Zadeh3Soroush Masrouri4Fereidoun Azizi5Farzad Hadaegh6Prevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesPrevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesPrevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesPrevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesPrevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesEndocrine Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesPrevention of Metabolic Disorders Research Center, Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesAbstract Background Glycemic variability (GV) is developing as a marker of glycemic control, which can be utilized as a promising predictor of complications. To determine whether long-term GV is associated with incident eGFR decline in two cohorts of Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) during a median follow-up of 12.2 years. Methods Study participants included 4422 Iranian adults (including 528 patients with T2D) aged ≥ 20 years from TLGS and 4290 American adults (including 521 patients with T2D) aged ≥ 45 years from MESA. The Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the risk of incident eGFR decline for each of the fasting plasma glucose (FPG) variability measures including standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV), average real variability (ARV), and variability independent of the mean (VIM) both as continuous and categorical variables. The time of start for eGFR decline and FPG variability assessment was the same, but the event cases were excluded during the exposure period. Results In TLGS participants without T2D, for each unit change in FPG variability measures, the hazards (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for eGFR decline ≥ 40% of SD, CV, and VIM were 1.07(1.01–1.13), 1.06(1.01–1.11), and 1.07(1.01–1.13), respectively. Moreover, the third tertile of FPG-SD and FPG-VIM parameters was significantly associated with a 60 and 69% higher risk for eGFR decline ≥ 40%, respectively. In MESA participants with T2D, each unit change in FPG variability measures was significantly associated with a higher risk for eGFR decline ≥ 40%.Regarding eGFR decline ≥ 30% as the outcome, in the TLGS, regardless of diabetes status, no association was shown between FPG variability measures and risk of eGFR decline in any of the models; however, in the MESA the results were in line with those of GFR decline ≥ 40%.Using pooled data from the two cohorts we found that generally FPG variability were associated with higher risk of eGFR decline ≥ 40% only among non-T2D individuals. Conclusions Higher FPG variability was associated with an increased risk of eGFR decline in the diabetic American population; however, this unfavorable impact was found only among the non-diabetic Iranian population.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-15463-8Glycemic variabilityFasting plasma glucoseType 2 diabetesEstimated glomerular filtration rate declineeGFR decline
spellingShingle Niloofar Deravi
Yasaman Sharifi
Fatemeh Koohi
Seyed Saeed Tamehri Zadeh
Soroush Masrouri
Fereidoun Azizi
Farzad Hadaegh
The association between fasting plasma glucose variability and incident eGFR decline: evidence from two cohort studies
BMC Public Health
Glycemic variability
Fasting plasma glucose
Type 2 diabetes
Estimated glomerular filtration rate decline
eGFR decline
title The association between fasting plasma glucose variability and incident eGFR decline: evidence from two cohort studies
title_full The association between fasting plasma glucose variability and incident eGFR decline: evidence from two cohort studies
title_fullStr The association between fasting plasma glucose variability and incident eGFR decline: evidence from two cohort studies
title_full_unstemmed The association between fasting plasma glucose variability and incident eGFR decline: evidence from two cohort studies
title_short The association between fasting plasma glucose variability and incident eGFR decline: evidence from two cohort studies
title_sort association between fasting plasma glucose variability and incident egfr decline evidence from two cohort studies
topic Glycemic variability
Fasting plasma glucose
Type 2 diabetes
Estimated glomerular filtration rate decline
eGFR decline
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-15463-8
work_keys_str_mv AT niloofarderavi theassociationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT yasamansharifi theassociationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT fatemehkoohi theassociationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT seyedsaeedtamehrizadeh theassociationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT soroushmasrouri theassociationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT fereidounazizi theassociationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT farzadhadaegh theassociationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT niloofarderavi associationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT yasamansharifi associationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT fatemehkoohi associationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT seyedsaeedtamehrizadeh associationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT soroushmasrouri associationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT fereidounazizi associationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies
AT farzadhadaegh associationbetweenfastingplasmaglucosevariabilityandincidentegfrdeclineevidencefromtwocohortstudies