The effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of falling stock prices (Case study: companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange)

This article examines the effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of stock price falls in companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. To measure the uncertainty of economic policy, indicators of economic growth and exchange rates have been used, and to measure the variable risk of stock...

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Main Authors: Ali Pazhooyan, Kobra Meskini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Rasht: Javad Deljoo Shahir 2020-03-01
Series:New Applied Studies in Management, Economics & Accounting
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.nasme-journal.ir/article_181167_d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e.pdf
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author Ali Pazhooyan
Kobra Meskini
author_facet Ali Pazhooyan
Kobra Meskini
author_sort Ali Pazhooyan
collection DOAJ
description This article examines the effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of stock price falls in companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. To measure the uncertainty of economic policy, indicators of economic growth and exchange rates have been used, and to measure the variable risk of stock price falls, two methods of high and low fluctuations and negative skewness of monthly stock returns have been applied. This research is empirical and descriptive-correlation. in order to analyse the data and extract the research results, Excel, stata14 and Eviwse10 software were used and 123 companies were selected as sample to test the hypotheses during the period 2013-2018. The results show that economic growth has no significant relationship with positive and negative fluctuations, the foreign exchange rate has a positive and significant relationship with high and low fluctuations. On the other hand, economic growth has a positive and significant relationship with negative stock returns and foreign exchange rate has a negative and significant relationship with negative skewness stock returns. Also, the results in the present study show that the coefficient of state ownership in economic growth does not have a significant relationship with high and low fluctuations. The coefficient of state ownership in the exchange rate has a negative and significant relationship with high and low fluctuations.
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spelling doaj.art-9540e65b998a47dbae980350c9e4b6bd2024-08-03T07:00:05ZengRasht: Javad Deljoo ShahirNew Applied Studies in Management, Economics & Accounting2783-31192020-03-0131264510.22034/nasmea.2020.181167181167The effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of falling stock prices (Case study: companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange)Ali Pazhooyan0Kobra Meskini1Master of Accounting, Allameh Mohaddes Nouri University, Mazandaran, IranMaster of Accounting, Allameh Mohaddes Nouri University, Mazandaran, IranThis article examines the effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of stock price falls in companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. To measure the uncertainty of economic policy, indicators of economic growth and exchange rates have been used, and to measure the variable risk of stock price falls, two methods of high and low fluctuations and negative skewness of monthly stock returns have been applied. This research is empirical and descriptive-correlation. in order to analyse the data and extract the research results, Excel, stata14 and Eviwse10 software were used and 123 companies were selected as sample to test the hypotheses during the period 2013-2018. The results show that economic growth has no significant relationship with positive and negative fluctuations, the foreign exchange rate has a positive and significant relationship with high and low fluctuations. On the other hand, economic growth has a positive and significant relationship with negative stock returns and foreign exchange rate has a negative and significant relationship with negative skewness stock returns. Also, the results in the present study show that the coefficient of state ownership in economic growth does not have a significant relationship with high and low fluctuations. The coefficient of state ownership in the exchange rate has a negative and significant relationship with high and low fluctuations.https://www.nasme-journal.ir/article_181167_d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e.pdfeconomic policy uncertaintystock price riskexchange rategovernment ownershipeconomic growth
spellingShingle Ali Pazhooyan
Kobra Meskini
The effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of falling stock prices (Case study: companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange)
New Applied Studies in Management, Economics & Accounting
economic policy uncertainty
stock price risk
exchange rate
government ownership
economic growth
title The effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of falling stock prices (Case study: companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange)
title_full The effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of falling stock prices (Case study: companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange)
title_fullStr The effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of falling stock prices (Case study: companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange)
title_full_unstemmed The effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of falling stock prices (Case study: companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange)
title_short The effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of falling stock prices (Case study: companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange)
title_sort effect of economic policy uncertainty on the risk of falling stock prices case study companies listed on the tehran stock exchange
topic economic policy uncertainty
stock price risk
exchange rate
government ownership
economic growth
url https://www.nasme-journal.ir/article_181167_d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e.pdf
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AT alipazhooyan effectofeconomicpolicyuncertaintyontheriskoffallingstockpricescasestudycompanieslistedonthetehranstockexchange
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