Ozone Variation Trends under Different CMIP6 Scenarios
This study compares and analyzes simulations of ozone under different scenarios by three CMIP6 models (IPSL-CM6A, MRI-ESM2 and CESM-WACCM). Results indicate that as the social vulnerability and anthropogenic radiative forcing is increasing, the change of total column ozone in the tropical stratosphe...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2021-01-01
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| Series: | Atmosphere |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/1/112 |
| _version_ | 1797411637822488576 |
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| author | Lin Shang Jiali Luo Chunxiao Wang |
| author_facet | Lin Shang Jiali Luo Chunxiao Wang |
| author_sort | Lin Shang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study compares and analyzes simulations of ozone under different scenarios by three CMIP6 models (IPSL-CM6A, MRI-ESM2 and CESM-WACCM). Results indicate that as the social vulnerability and anthropogenic radiative forcing is increasing, the change of total column ozone in the tropical stratosphere is not linear. Compared to the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, the SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0 are more favorable for the increase in stratospheric ozone mass in the tropics. Arctic ozone would never recover under the SSP1-2.6 scenario; however, the Antarctica ozone would gradually recover in all scenarios. Under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 scenarios, the trend of tropical total column ozone is mainly determined by the trend of column ozone in the tropical troposphere. Under the SSP3-7.0 scenario, tropospheric ozone concentration will significantly increase; under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, ozone concentration will distinctly increase in the middle and lower troposphere. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T04:48:06Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-9580abe94de9425bb4a2af4a44d58739 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2073-4433 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T04:48:06Z |
| publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Atmosphere |
| spelling | doaj.art-9580abe94de9425bb4a2af4a44d587392023-12-03T13:13:11ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332021-01-0112111210.3390/atmos12010112Ozone Variation Trends under Different CMIP6 ScenariosLin Shang0Jiali Luo1Chunxiao Wang2Shandong Climate Center, Jinan 250031, ChinaKey Laboratory of Semi-Arid Climate Change and College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, ChinaHenan Meteorological Observatory, Zhengzhou 450003, ChinaThis study compares and analyzes simulations of ozone under different scenarios by three CMIP6 models (IPSL-CM6A, MRI-ESM2 and CESM-WACCM). Results indicate that as the social vulnerability and anthropogenic radiative forcing is increasing, the change of total column ozone in the tropical stratosphere is not linear. Compared to the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, the SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0 are more favorable for the increase in stratospheric ozone mass in the tropics. Arctic ozone would never recover under the SSP1-2.6 scenario; however, the Antarctica ozone would gradually recover in all scenarios. Under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 scenarios, the trend of tropical total column ozone is mainly determined by the trend of column ozone in the tropical troposphere. Under the SSP3-7.0 scenario, tropospheric ozone concentration will significantly increase; under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, ozone concentration will distinctly increase in the middle and lower troposphere.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/1/112stratospheric ozonetropospheric ozonetrendCMIP6 |
| spellingShingle | Lin Shang Jiali Luo Chunxiao Wang Ozone Variation Trends under Different CMIP6 Scenarios Atmosphere stratospheric ozone tropospheric ozone trend CMIP6 |
| title | Ozone Variation Trends under Different CMIP6 Scenarios |
| title_full | Ozone Variation Trends under Different CMIP6 Scenarios |
| title_fullStr | Ozone Variation Trends under Different CMIP6 Scenarios |
| title_full_unstemmed | Ozone Variation Trends under Different CMIP6 Scenarios |
| title_short | Ozone Variation Trends under Different CMIP6 Scenarios |
| title_sort | ozone variation trends under different cmip6 scenarios |
| topic | stratospheric ozone tropospheric ozone trend CMIP6 |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/1/112 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT linshang ozonevariationtrendsunderdifferentcmip6scenarios AT jialiluo ozonevariationtrendsunderdifferentcmip6scenarios AT chunxiaowang ozonevariationtrendsunderdifferentcmip6scenarios |