The Impact of Model Uncertainties on Analyzed Data in a Global Data Assimilation System

The impact of model uncertainties on analyzed data is investigated using a global data assimilation system. This issue is explored in a 3D-Var system based on the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/Department of Energy (DOE) system using two convective parameterization schemes, the...

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Main Authors: Song-You Hong, Hyun Mee Kim, Jung-Eun Kim, Seung-On Hwang, Hoon Park
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2011-01-01
Series:Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access: http://tao.cgu.org.tw/images/attachments/v221p015.pdf
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author Song-You Hong
Hyun Mee Kim
Jung-Eun Kim
Seung-On Hwang
Hoon Park
author_facet Song-You Hong
Hyun Mee Kim
Jung-Eun Kim
Seung-On Hwang
Hoon Park
author_sort Song-You Hong
collection DOAJ
description The impact of model uncertainties on analyzed data is investigated using a global data assimilation system. This issue is explored in a 3D-Var system based on the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/Department of Energy (DOE) system using two convective parameterization schemes, the Simplified Arakawa scheme and the Community Climate Model (CCM) scheme. Two sets of six-hourly analysis data are generated for the summer of 2004. The difference between the resulting analyses using different convective parameterization schemes is found to be significantly greater than that between two well-known analyzed data sets, the NCEP/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) reanalysis (RA1) and the NCEP/DOE reanalysis (RA2). This dependency is more pronounced in data-sparse areas like the East Asian region than in data-rich areas like the North American region. Our study indicates that predictabilities for short- to medium-range forecasts in the global forecast system are indirectly influenced by forecast model accuracy via the quality of the initial conditions.
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spelling doaj.art-95882def5c0f41e1a30f6f579f35b5d92022-12-22T03:03:26ZengSpringerTerrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences1017-08392311-76802011-01-0122101510.3319/TAO.2010.05.18.01(A)986The Impact of Model Uncertainties on Analyzed Data in a Global Data Assimilation SystemSong-You HongHyun Mee KimJung-Eun KimSeung-On HwangHoon ParkThe impact of model uncertainties on analyzed data is investigated using a global data assimilation system. This issue is explored in a 3D-Var system based on the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/Department of Energy (DOE) system using two convective parameterization schemes, the Simplified Arakawa scheme and the Community Climate Model (CCM) scheme. Two sets of six-hourly analysis data are generated for the summer of 2004. The difference between the resulting analyses using different convective parameterization schemes is found to be significantly greater than that between two well-known analyzed data sets, the NCEP/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) reanalysis (RA1) and the NCEP/DOE reanalysis (RA2). This dependency is more pronounced in data-sparse areas like the East Asian region than in data-rich areas like the North American region. Our study indicates that predictabilities for short- to medium-range forecasts in the global forecast system are indirectly influenced by forecast model accuracy via the quality of the initial conditions. http://tao.cgu.org.tw/images/attachments/v221p015.pdf Data assimilation systemConvective parameterization schemeModel physicsPredictability
spellingShingle Song-You Hong
Hyun Mee Kim
Jung-Eun Kim
Seung-On Hwang
Hoon Park
The Impact of Model Uncertainties on Analyzed Data in a Global Data Assimilation System
Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
Data assimilation system
Convective parameterization scheme
Model physics
Predictability
title The Impact of Model Uncertainties on Analyzed Data in a Global Data Assimilation System
title_full The Impact of Model Uncertainties on Analyzed Data in a Global Data Assimilation System
title_fullStr The Impact of Model Uncertainties on Analyzed Data in a Global Data Assimilation System
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Model Uncertainties on Analyzed Data in a Global Data Assimilation System
title_short The Impact of Model Uncertainties on Analyzed Data in a Global Data Assimilation System
title_sort impact of model uncertainties on analyzed data in a global data assimilation system
topic Data assimilation system
Convective parameterization scheme
Model physics
Predictability
url http://tao.cgu.org.tw/images/attachments/v221p015.pdf
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