Methodological Approaches to the Diagnosis and Forecast of the Long-Wave Fluctuations in the Economy

Evolutionary development of economic systems demonstrates the cyclical nature in time. In such a case these cyclical fluctuations comprise all facets of economic relations, starting from the production sector and ending the sphere of services, focused on ensuring the interaction effectiveness of ec...

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Main Authors: Marat Rashitovich Safiullin, Leonid Alekseevich Elshin, Elvira Gumarovna Nikiforova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2016-10-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/3028
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author Marat Rashitovich Safiullin
Leonid Alekseevich Elshin
Elvira Gumarovna Nikiforova
author_facet Marat Rashitovich Safiullin
Leonid Alekseevich Elshin
Elvira Gumarovna Nikiforova
author_sort Marat Rashitovich Safiullin
collection DOAJ
description Evolutionary development of economic systems demonstrates the cyclical nature in time. In such a case these cyclical fluctuations comprise all facets of economic relations, starting from the production sector and ending the sphere of services, focused on ensuring the interaction effectiveness of economic relations. As the modern world experience shows  the cyclical dynamics has a number of its individual features depending on a wide range of factors, such as the type of economic system  (planned or market), market type, forms and methods of state or other effects on the regulation of cycles within smoothing process, etc. The knowledge of these factors, the nature of their origin and the impact on the long-term cyclical fluctuations is not a trivial matter and requires a comprehensive system analysis, based on a synthesis and a dialectic of the established approaches. Keywords: long-term cycles, phase shifts, advanced development cycles, technological modes. JEL Classifications: С10, C53, E37, F17, O10
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spelling doaj.art-95efe33553174128861a557f933476d62023-02-15T16:20:06ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382016-10-0164Methodological Approaches to the Diagnosis and Forecast of the Long-Wave Fluctuations in the EconomyMarat Rashitovich SafiullinLeonid Alekseevich ElshinElvira Gumarovna Nikiforova Evolutionary development of economic systems demonstrates the cyclical nature in time. In such a case these cyclical fluctuations comprise all facets of economic relations, starting from the production sector and ending the sphere of services, focused on ensuring the interaction effectiveness of economic relations. As the modern world experience shows  the cyclical dynamics has a number of its individual features depending on a wide range of factors, such as the type of economic system  (planned or market), market type, forms and methods of state or other effects on the regulation of cycles within smoothing process, etc. The knowledge of these factors, the nature of their origin and the impact on the long-term cyclical fluctuations is not a trivial matter and requires a comprehensive system analysis, based on a synthesis and a dialectic of the established approaches. Keywords: long-term cycles, phase shifts, advanced development cycles, technological modes. JEL Classifications: С10, C53, E37, F17, O10 https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/3028
spellingShingle Marat Rashitovich Safiullin
Leonid Alekseevich Elshin
Elvira Gumarovna Nikiforova
Methodological Approaches to the Diagnosis and Forecast of the Long-Wave Fluctuations in the Economy
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Methodological Approaches to the Diagnosis and Forecast of the Long-Wave Fluctuations in the Economy
title_full Methodological Approaches to the Diagnosis and Forecast of the Long-Wave Fluctuations in the Economy
title_fullStr Methodological Approaches to the Diagnosis and Forecast of the Long-Wave Fluctuations in the Economy
title_full_unstemmed Methodological Approaches to the Diagnosis and Forecast of the Long-Wave Fluctuations in the Economy
title_short Methodological Approaches to the Diagnosis and Forecast of the Long-Wave Fluctuations in the Economy
title_sort methodological approaches to the diagnosis and forecast of the long wave fluctuations in the economy
url https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/3028
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