Vineyard-specific climate projections help growers manage risk and plan adaptation in the Paso Robles AVA

California's wine grape growers will face increasing challenges under a changing climate as most production occurs near the boundaries of current varieties' climatic thresholds. As part of this study, we developed a method for transforming downscaled climate information from the publicly a...

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Main Authors: N Babin, J Guerrero, D Rivera, A Singh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources 2022-01-01
Series:California Agriculture
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3733/ca.2021a0019
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author N Babin
J Guerrero
D Rivera
A Singh
author_facet N Babin
J Guerrero
D Rivera
A Singh
author_sort N Babin
collection DOAJ
description California's wine grape growers will face increasing challenges under a changing climate as most production occurs near the boundaries of current varieties' climatic thresholds. As part of this study, we developed a method for transforming downscaled climate information from the publicly available Cal-Adapt database into useful and useable climate projections for vineyard managers and advisors in the Paso Robles American Viticultural Area. We shared vineyard-specific projections during interviews of 20 managers and advisors. Overall, interviewees expressed trust in the projections and found them helpful in reducing their psychological distance from climate change. The projections prompted consideration of strategies for managing future climate risk and planning adaptation, with the majority of adaptations associated with long-term decisions such as row orientation, variety selection, dry farming, crop diversification and relocation. Agri-climatic decision support tools such as the one prototyped here may prove especially helpful for incorporating climate adaptation into the long-term business planning and vineyard redevelopment decisions facing managers and advisors in the near future. This approach could be extended to other California wine grape regions or to other perennial crops with expected vulnerabilities to climate change.
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spelling doaj.art-95f028ee1ca34d7b88f8b69d98ca0cf82024-04-07T22:49:03ZengUniversity of California Agriculture and Natural ResourcesCalifornia Agriculture0008-08452160-80912022-01-01753-4Vineyard-specific climate projections help growers manage risk and plan adaptation in the Paso Robles AVAN BabinJ GuerreroD RiveraA SinghCalifornia's wine grape growers will face increasing challenges under a changing climate as most production occurs near the boundaries of current varieties' climatic thresholds. As part of this study, we developed a method for transforming downscaled climate information from the publicly available Cal-Adapt database into useful and useable climate projections for vineyard managers and advisors in the Paso Robles American Viticultural Area. We shared vineyard-specific projections during interviews of 20 managers and advisors. Overall, interviewees expressed trust in the projections and found them helpful in reducing their psychological distance from climate change. The projections prompted consideration of strategies for managing future climate risk and planning adaptation, with the majority of adaptations associated with long-term decisions such as row orientation, variety selection, dry farming, crop diversification and relocation. Agri-climatic decision support tools such as the one prototyped here may prove especially helpful for incorporating climate adaptation into the long-term business planning and vineyard redevelopment decisions facing managers and advisors in the near future. This approach could be extended to other California wine grape regions or to other perennial crops with expected vulnerabilities to climate change.https://doi.org/10.3733/ca.2021a0019
spellingShingle N Babin
J Guerrero
D Rivera
A Singh
Vineyard-specific climate projections help growers manage risk and plan adaptation in the Paso Robles AVA
California Agriculture
title Vineyard-specific climate projections help growers manage risk and plan adaptation in the Paso Robles AVA
title_full Vineyard-specific climate projections help growers manage risk and plan adaptation in the Paso Robles AVA
title_fullStr Vineyard-specific climate projections help growers manage risk and plan adaptation in the Paso Robles AVA
title_full_unstemmed Vineyard-specific climate projections help growers manage risk and plan adaptation in the Paso Robles AVA
title_short Vineyard-specific climate projections help growers manage risk and plan adaptation in the Paso Robles AVA
title_sort vineyard specific climate projections help growers manage risk and plan adaptation in the paso robles ava
url https://doi.org/10.3733/ca.2021a0019
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