Updated distribution maps of predominant Culex mosquitoes across the Americas

Abstract Background Estimates of the geographical distribution of Culex mosquitoes in the Americas have been limited to state and provincial levels in the United States and Canada and based on data from the 1980s. Since these estimates were made, there have been many more documented observations of...

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Main Authors: Morgan E. Gorris, Andrew W. Bartlow, Seth D. Temple, Daniel Romero-Alvarez, Deborah P. Shutt, Jeanne M. Fair, Kimberly A. Kaufeld, Sara Y. Del Valle, Carrie A. Manore
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2021-10-01
Series:Parasites & Vectors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-021-05051-3
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author Morgan E. Gorris
Andrew W. Bartlow
Seth D. Temple
Daniel Romero-Alvarez
Deborah P. Shutt
Jeanne M. Fair
Kimberly A. Kaufeld
Sara Y. Del Valle
Carrie A. Manore
author_facet Morgan E. Gorris
Andrew W. Bartlow
Seth D. Temple
Daniel Romero-Alvarez
Deborah P. Shutt
Jeanne M. Fair
Kimberly A. Kaufeld
Sara Y. Del Valle
Carrie A. Manore
author_sort Morgan E. Gorris
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Estimates of the geographical distribution of Culex mosquitoes in the Americas have been limited to state and provincial levels in the United States and Canada and based on data from the 1980s. Since these estimates were made, there have been many more documented observations of mosquitoes and new methods have been developed for species distribution modeling. Moreover, mosquito distributions are affected by environmental conditions, which have changed since the 1980s. This calls for updated estimates of these distributions to understand the risk of emerging and re-emerging mosquito-borne diseases. Methods We used contemporary mosquito data, environmental drivers, and a machine learning ecological niche model to create updated estimates of the geographical range of seven predominant Culex species across North America and South America: Culex erraticus, Culex nigripalpus, Culex pipiens, Culex quinquefasciatus, Culex restuans, Culex salinarius, and Culex tarsalis. Results We found that Culex mosquito species differ in their geographical range. Each Culex species is sensitive to both natural and human-influenced environmental factors, especially climate and land cover type. Some prefer urban environments instead of rural ones, and some are limited to tropical or humid areas. Many are found throughout the Central Plains of the USA. Conclusions Our updated contemporary Culex distribution maps may be used to assess mosquito-borne disease risk. It is critical to understand the current geographical distributions of these important disease vectors and the key environmental predictors structuring their distributions not only to assess current risk, but also to understand how they will respond to climate change. Since the environmental predictors structuring the geographical distribution of mosquito species varied, we hypothesize that each species may have a different response to climate change. Graphical abstract
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spelling doaj.art-9634a4f55ea0456d9ba39bf53c61f3c92022-12-21T23:10:04ZengBMCParasites & Vectors1756-33052021-10-0114111310.1186/s13071-021-05051-3Updated distribution maps of predominant Culex mosquitoes across the AmericasMorgan E. Gorris0Andrew W. Bartlow1Seth D. Temple2Daniel Romero-Alvarez3Deborah P. Shutt4Jeanne M. Fair5Kimberly A. Kaufeld6Sara Y. Del Valle7Carrie A. Manore8Information Systems and Modeling, Los Alamos National LaboratoryBiosecurity and Public Health, Los Alamos National LaboratoryStatistical Sciences, Los Alamos National LaboratoryInformation Systems and Modeling, Los Alamos National LaboratoryInformation Systems and Modeling, Los Alamos National LaboratoryBiosecurity and Public Health, Los Alamos National LaboratoryStatistical Sciences, Los Alamos National LaboratoryInformation Systems and Modeling, Los Alamos National LaboratoryInformation Systems and Modeling, Los Alamos National LaboratoryAbstract Background Estimates of the geographical distribution of Culex mosquitoes in the Americas have been limited to state and provincial levels in the United States and Canada and based on data from the 1980s. Since these estimates were made, there have been many more documented observations of mosquitoes and new methods have been developed for species distribution modeling. Moreover, mosquito distributions are affected by environmental conditions, which have changed since the 1980s. This calls for updated estimates of these distributions to understand the risk of emerging and re-emerging mosquito-borne diseases. Methods We used contemporary mosquito data, environmental drivers, and a machine learning ecological niche model to create updated estimates of the geographical range of seven predominant Culex species across North America and South America: Culex erraticus, Culex nigripalpus, Culex pipiens, Culex quinquefasciatus, Culex restuans, Culex salinarius, and Culex tarsalis. Results We found that Culex mosquito species differ in their geographical range. Each Culex species is sensitive to both natural and human-influenced environmental factors, especially climate and land cover type. Some prefer urban environments instead of rural ones, and some are limited to tropical or humid areas. Many are found throughout the Central Plains of the USA. Conclusions Our updated contemporary Culex distribution maps may be used to assess mosquito-borne disease risk. It is critical to understand the current geographical distributions of these important disease vectors and the key environmental predictors structuring their distributions not only to assess current risk, but also to understand how they will respond to climate change. Since the environmental predictors structuring the geographical distribution of mosquito species varied, we hypothesize that each species may have a different response to climate change. Graphical abstracthttps://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-021-05051-3MosquitoesNiche modelSpecies distributionVectorsMosquito-borne diseaseInfectious disease
spellingShingle Morgan E. Gorris
Andrew W. Bartlow
Seth D. Temple
Daniel Romero-Alvarez
Deborah P. Shutt
Jeanne M. Fair
Kimberly A. Kaufeld
Sara Y. Del Valle
Carrie A. Manore
Updated distribution maps of predominant Culex mosquitoes across the Americas
Parasites & Vectors
Mosquitoes
Niche model
Species distribution
Vectors
Mosquito-borne disease
Infectious disease
title Updated distribution maps of predominant Culex mosquitoes across the Americas
title_full Updated distribution maps of predominant Culex mosquitoes across the Americas
title_fullStr Updated distribution maps of predominant Culex mosquitoes across the Americas
title_full_unstemmed Updated distribution maps of predominant Culex mosquitoes across the Americas
title_short Updated distribution maps of predominant Culex mosquitoes across the Americas
title_sort updated distribution maps of predominant culex mosquitoes across the americas
topic Mosquitoes
Niche model
Species distribution
Vectors
Mosquito-borne disease
Infectious disease
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-021-05051-3
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