Use of study-specific MOE-like estimates to prioritize health effects from chemical exposure for analysis in human health assessments

There are unique challenges in estimating dose-response with chemicals that are associated with multiple health outcomes and numerous studies. Some studies are more suitable than others for quantitative dose-response analyses. For such chemicals, an efficient method of screening studies and endpoint...

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Main Authors: Kevin Hobbie, Kan Shao, Cara Henning, William Mendez, Jr., Janice S. Lee, Ila Cote, Ingrid L. Druwe, J. Allen Davis, Jeffrey S. Gift
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-11-01
Series:Environment International
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412020319413
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author Kevin Hobbie
Kan Shao
Cara Henning
William Mendez, Jr.
Janice S. Lee
Ila Cote
Ingrid L. Druwe
J. Allen Davis
Jeffrey S. Gift
author_facet Kevin Hobbie
Kan Shao
Cara Henning
William Mendez, Jr.
Janice S. Lee
Ila Cote
Ingrid L. Druwe
J. Allen Davis
Jeffrey S. Gift
author_sort Kevin Hobbie
collection DOAJ
description There are unique challenges in estimating dose-response with chemicals that are associated with multiple health outcomes and numerous studies. Some studies are more suitable than others for quantitative dose-response analyses. For such chemicals, an efficient method of screening studies and endpoints to identify suitable studies and potentially important health effects for dose-response modeling is valuable. Using inorganic arsenic as a test case, we developed a tiered approach that involves estimating study-specific margin of exposure (MOE)-like unitless ratios for two hypothetical scenarios. These study-specific unitless ratios are derived by dividing the exposure estimated to result in a 20% increase in relative risk over the background exposure (RRE20) by the background exposure, as estimated in two different ways. In our case study illustration, separate study-specific ratios are derived using estimates of United States population background exposure (RRB-US) and the mean study population reference group background exposure (RRB-SP). Systematic review methods were used to identify and evaluate epidemiologic studies, which were categorized based on study design (case-control, cohort, cross-sectional), various study quality criteria specific to dose-response analysis (number of dose groups, exposure ascertainment, exposure uncertainty), and availability of necessary dose-response data. Both case-control and cohort studies were included in the RRB analysis. The RRE20 estimates were derived by modeling effective counts of cases and controls estimated from study-reported adjusted odds ratios and relative risks. Using a broad (but not necessarily comprehensive) set of epidemiologic studies of multiple health outcomes selected for the purposes of illustrating the RRB approach, this test case analysis would suggest that diseases of the circulatory system, bladder cancer, and lung cancer may be arsenic health outcomes that warrant further analysis. This is suggested by the number of datasets from adequate dose-response studies demonstrating an effect with RRBs close to 1 (i.e., RRE20 values close to estimated background arsenic exposure levels).
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spelling doaj.art-9661e66fbc25460d94fee6cd4c0ebf972022-12-22T00:00:49ZengElsevierEnvironment International0160-41202020-11-01144105986Use of study-specific MOE-like estimates to prioritize health effects from chemical exposure for analysis in human health assessmentsKevin Hobbie0Kan Shao1Cara Henning2William Mendez, Jr.3Janice S. Lee4Ila Cote5Ingrid L. Druwe6J. Allen Davis7Jeffrey S. Gift8ICF, 9300 Lee Highway, Fairfax, VA 22031-1207, USADepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USAICF, 2635 Meridian Parkway Suite 200, Durham, NC 27713, USAICF, 9300 Lee Highway, Fairfax, VA 22031-1207, USACPHEA, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, USACPHEA, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, USACPHEA, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, USACPHEA, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, OH, USACPHEA, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, USA; Corresponding author at: CPHEA, United States Environmental Protection Agency, 109 T.W. Alexander Drive, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, USA.There are unique challenges in estimating dose-response with chemicals that are associated with multiple health outcomes and numerous studies. Some studies are more suitable than others for quantitative dose-response analyses. For such chemicals, an efficient method of screening studies and endpoints to identify suitable studies and potentially important health effects for dose-response modeling is valuable. Using inorganic arsenic as a test case, we developed a tiered approach that involves estimating study-specific margin of exposure (MOE)-like unitless ratios for two hypothetical scenarios. These study-specific unitless ratios are derived by dividing the exposure estimated to result in a 20% increase in relative risk over the background exposure (RRE20) by the background exposure, as estimated in two different ways. In our case study illustration, separate study-specific ratios are derived using estimates of United States population background exposure (RRB-US) and the mean study population reference group background exposure (RRB-SP). Systematic review methods were used to identify and evaluate epidemiologic studies, which were categorized based on study design (case-control, cohort, cross-sectional), various study quality criteria specific to dose-response analysis (number of dose groups, exposure ascertainment, exposure uncertainty), and availability of necessary dose-response data. Both case-control and cohort studies were included in the RRB analysis. The RRE20 estimates were derived by modeling effective counts of cases and controls estimated from study-reported adjusted odds ratios and relative risks. Using a broad (but not necessarily comprehensive) set of epidemiologic studies of multiple health outcomes selected for the purposes of illustrating the RRB approach, this test case analysis would suggest that diseases of the circulatory system, bladder cancer, and lung cancer may be arsenic health outcomes that warrant further analysis. This is suggested by the number of datasets from adequate dose-response studies demonstrating an effect with RRBs close to 1 (i.e., RRE20 values close to estimated background arsenic exposure levels).http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412020319413Case-controlCohortMargin of exposureBenchmark doseInorganic arsenic
spellingShingle Kevin Hobbie
Kan Shao
Cara Henning
William Mendez, Jr.
Janice S. Lee
Ila Cote
Ingrid L. Druwe
J. Allen Davis
Jeffrey S. Gift
Use of study-specific MOE-like estimates to prioritize health effects from chemical exposure for analysis in human health assessments
Environment International
Case-control
Cohort
Margin of exposure
Benchmark dose
Inorganic arsenic
title Use of study-specific MOE-like estimates to prioritize health effects from chemical exposure for analysis in human health assessments
title_full Use of study-specific MOE-like estimates to prioritize health effects from chemical exposure for analysis in human health assessments
title_fullStr Use of study-specific MOE-like estimates to prioritize health effects from chemical exposure for analysis in human health assessments
title_full_unstemmed Use of study-specific MOE-like estimates to prioritize health effects from chemical exposure for analysis in human health assessments
title_short Use of study-specific MOE-like estimates to prioritize health effects from chemical exposure for analysis in human health assessments
title_sort use of study specific moe like estimates to prioritize health effects from chemical exposure for analysis in human health assessments
topic Case-control
Cohort
Margin of exposure
Benchmark dose
Inorganic arsenic
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412020319413
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