Effects of Exchange Rate and World Prices on Export Price of Vietnamese Coffee

Identifying factors of export price fluctuation in agricultural products is necessary to equip decision makers and producers with bases and tools in forecasting price fluctuation and then suggesting solutions for risk mitigation. This research integrated quantitative and qualitative methods to analy...

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Main Author: To Thi Kim Hong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2016-10-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/2792
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author To Thi Kim Hong
author_facet To Thi Kim Hong
author_sort To Thi Kim Hong
collection DOAJ
description Identifying factors of export price fluctuation in agricultural products is necessary to equip decision makers and producers with bases and tools in forecasting price fluctuation and then suggesting solutions for risk mitigation. This research integrated quantitative and qualitative methods to analyze and measure effects of some major factors on export price of Vietnamese coffee. The data of 34 years from 1981-2014 shows that coffee price have fluctuated with a cycle of 5-year increase and 7-year decrease. The study found major factors of the price fluctuation are exchange rate and export prices of other exporting countries like Brazil and Colombia. Export price of Brazilian coffee made a positive effect on the price of Vietnamese suggesting a competition between two countries in the world coffee market while Colombian coffee occupied its own market share. To promote sustainable growth in exports, Vietnamese coffee needs to maintain stable markets and invest more on branding and product quality to improve its competition capacity.  Keywords: price, coffee, export, Vietnam, fluctuation JEL Classifications: F140, L110, M210 
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spelling doaj.art-966d3278e54c4caf9a00418f35f45a572023-02-15T16:09:49ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382016-10-0164Effects of Exchange Rate and World Prices on Export Price of Vietnamese CoffeeTo Thi Kim Hong0Hochiminh City Open UniversityIdentifying factors of export price fluctuation in agricultural products is necessary to equip decision makers and producers with bases and tools in forecasting price fluctuation and then suggesting solutions for risk mitigation. This research integrated quantitative and qualitative methods to analyze and measure effects of some major factors on export price of Vietnamese coffee. The data of 34 years from 1981-2014 shows that coffee price have fluctuated with a cycle of 5-year increase and 7-year decrease. The study found major factors of the price fluctuation are exchange rate and export prices of other exporting countries like Brazil and Colombia. Export price of Brazilian coffee made a positive effect on the price of Vietnamese suggesting a competition between two countries in the world coffee market while Colombian coffee occupied its own market share. To promote sustainable growth in exports, Vietnamese coffee needs to maintain stable markets and invest more on branding and product quality to improve its competition capacity.  Keywords: price, coffee, export, Vietnam, fluctuation JEL Classifications: F140, L110, M210  http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/2792
spellingShingle To Thi Kim Hong
Effects of Exchange Rate and World Prices on Export Price of Vietnamese Coffee
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Effects of Exchange Rate and World Prices on Export Price of Vietnamese Coffee
title_full Effects of Exchange Rate and World Prices on Export Price of Vietnamese Coffee
title_fullStr Effects of Exchange Rate and World Prices on Export Price of Vietnamese Coffee
title_full_unstemmed Effects of Exchange Rate and World Prices on Export Price of Vietnamese Coffee
title_short Effects of Exchange Rate and World Prices on Export Price of Vietnamese Coffee
title_sort effects of exchange rate and world prices on export price of vietnamese coffee
url http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/2792
work_keys_str_mv AT tothikimhong effectsofexchangerateandworldpricesonexportpriceofvietnamesecoffee