Global Value Chains Participation during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Dynamic Panel Approach

In recent decades, the emergence of global value chains (GVCs) has changed international trade patterns. Today, the production of goods involves international production sharing, which allows countries to trace the value-added distribution to international trade. However, the COVID-19 pandemic has l...

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Main Authors: Josephine Wuri, Tri Widodo, Amirullah Setya Hardi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-05-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/10/5/121
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author Josephine Wuri
Tri Widodo
Amirullah Setya Hardi
author_facet Josephine Wuri
Tri Widodo
Amirullah Setya Hardi
author_sort Josephine Wuri
collection DOAJ
description In recent decades, the emergence of global value chains (GVCs) has changed international trade patterns. Today, the production of goods involves international production sharing, which allows countries to trace the value-added distribution to international trade. However, the COVID-19 pandemic has lowered the trade intensity between countries and can disrupt many sectors. This study uses a dynamic panel approach with the generalized method of moments estimator to investigate the pandemic’s impact on GVC participation. We also investigate whether gross domestic product (GDP) per capita may influence GVC participation, and use institutional quality as control variables. We used the Asian Development Bank Multi-Regional Input-Output (ADB MRIO) data for the 2010–2020 period. We employ backward and forward linkage approaches based on value-added exports to address the overvaluation problems in gross exports. The empirical results illustrate that the COVID-19 pandemic led to a decrease in GVC participation, on average. Furthermore, GDP per capita plays a significant role in GVC participation in backward and forward linkages with higher-quality institutions.
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spelling doaj.art-96bb4e8dc9884c308527dd379d444cfb2023-11-23T10:44:53ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992022-05-0110512110.3390/economies10050121Global Value Chains Participation during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Dynamic Panel ApproachJosephine Wuri0Tri Widodo1Amirullah Setya Hardi2Faculty of Economics and Business, Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta 55281, IndonesiaFaculty of Economics and Business, Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta 55281, IndonesiaFaculty of Economics and Business, Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta 55281, IndonesiaIn recent decades, the emergence of global value chains (GVCs) has changed international trade patterns. Today, the production of goods involves international production sharing, which allows countries to trace the value-added distribution to international trade. However, the COVID-19 pandemic has lowered the trade intensity between countries and can disrupt many sectors. This study uses a dynamic panel approach with the generalized method of moments estimator to investigate the pandemic’s impact on GVC participation. We also investigate whether gross domestic product (GDP) per capita may influence GVC participation, and use institutional quality as control variables. We used the Asian Development Bank Multi-Regional Input-Output (ADB MRIO) data for the 2010–2020 period. We employ backward and forward linkage approaches based on value-added exports to address the overvaluation problems in gross exports. The empirical results illustrate that the COVID-19 pandemic led to a decrease in GVC participation, on average. Furthermore, GDP per capita plays a significant role in GVC participation in backward and forward linkages with higher-quality institutions.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/10/5/121participationglobal value chainsCOVID-19 pandemicbackward linkageforward linkageGDP per capita
spellingShingle Josephine Wuri
Tri Widodo
Amirullah Setya Hardi
Global Value Chains Participation during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Dynamic Panel Approach
Economies
participation
global value chains
COVID-19 pandemic
backward linkage
forward linkage
GDP per capita
title Global Value Chains Participation during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Dynamic Panel Approach
title_full Global Value Chains Participation during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Dynamic Panel Approach
title_fullStr Global Value Chains Participation during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Dynamic Panel Approach
title_full_unstemmed Global Value Chains Participation during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Dynamic Panel Approach
title_short Global Value Chains Participation during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Dynamic Panel Approach
title_sort global value chains participation during the covid 19 pandemic a dynamic panel approach
topic participation
global value chains
COVID-19 pandemic
backward linkage
forward linkage
GDP per capita
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/10/5/121
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AT amirullahsetyahardi globalvaluechainsparticipationduringthecovid19pandemicadynamicpanelapproach