Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction waves

Abstract Birds are among the best-studied animal groups, but their prehistoric diversity is poorly known due to low fossilization potential. Hence, while many human-driven bird extinctions (i.e., extinctions caused directly by human activities such as hunting, as well as indirectly through human-ass...

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Main Authors: Rob Cooke, Ferran Sayol, Tobias Andermann, Tim M. Blackburn, Manuel J. Steinbauer, Alexandre Antonelli, Søren Faurby
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-12-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43445-2
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author Rob Cooke
Ferran Sayol
Tobias Andermann
Tim M. Blackburn
Manuel J. Steinbauer
Alexandre Antonelli
Søren Faurby
author_facet Rob Cooke
Ferran Sayol
Tobias Andermann
Tim M. Blackburn
Manuel J. Steinbauer
Alexandre Antonelli
Søren Faurby
author_sort Rob Cooke
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Birds are among the best-studied animal groups, but their prehistoric diversity is poorly known due to low fossilization potential. Hence, while many human-driven bird extinctions (i.e., extinctions caused directly by human activities such as hunting, as well as indirectly through human-associated impacts such as land use change, fire, and the introduction of invasive species) have been recorded, the true number is likely much larger. Here, by combining recorded extinctions with model estimates based on the completeness of the fossil record, we suggest that at least ~1300–1500 bird species (~12% of the total) have gone extinct since the Late Pleistocene, with 55% of these extinctions undiscovered (not yet discovered or left no trace). We estimate that the Pacific accounts for 61% of total bird extinctions. Bird extinction rate varied through time with an intense episode ~1300 CE, which likely represents the largest human-driven vertebrate extinction wave ever, and a rate 80 (60–95) times the background extinction rate. Thus, humans have already driven more than one in nine bird species to extinction, with likely severe, and potentially irreversible, ecological and evolutionary consequences.
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spelling doaj.art-96d0ba76dff042e184dcec5066c1a3cb2023-12-24T12:23:56ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232023-12-0114111410.1038/s41467-023-43445-2Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction wavesRob Cooke0Ferran Sayol1Tobias Andermann2Tim M. Blackburn3Manuel J. Steinbauer4Alexandre Antonelli5Søren Faurby6UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Maclean Building, Crowmarsh GiffordDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Box 463Department of Organismal Biology, SciLifeLab, Uppsala UniversityCentre for Biodiversity and Environment Research, Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, University College LondonBayreuth Center of Ecology and Environmental Research (BayCEER) & Bayreuth Center of Sport Science (BaySpo), University of BayreuthDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Box 463Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Box 463Abstract Birds are among the best-studied animal groups, but their prehistoric diversity is poorly known due to low fossilization potential. Hence, while many human-driven bird extinctions (i.e., extinctions caused directly by human activities such as hunting, as well as indirectly through human-associated impacts such as land use change, fire, and the introduction of invasive species) have been recorded, the true number is likely much larger. Here, by combining recorded extinctions with model estimates based on the completeness of the fossil record, we suggest that at least ~1300–1500 bird species (~12% of the total) have gone extinct since the Late Pleistocene, with 55% of these extinctions undiscovered (not yet discovered or left no trace). We estimate that the Pacific accounts for 61% of total bird extinctions. Bird extinction rate varied through time with an intense episode ~1300 CE, which likely represents the largest human-driven vertebrate extinction wave ever, and a rate 80 (60–95) times the background extinction rate. Thus, humans have already driven more than one in nine bird species to extinction, with likely severe, and potentially irreversible, ecological and evolutionary consequences.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43445-2
spellingShingle Rob Cooke
Ferran Sayol
Tobias Andermann
Tim M. Blackburn
Manuel J. Steinbauer
Alexandre Antonelli
Søren Faurby
Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction waves
Nature Communications
title Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction waves
title_full Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction waves
title_fullStr Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction waves
title_full_unstemmed Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction waves
title_short Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction waves
title_sort undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human driven extinction waves
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43445-2
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