A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS

INTRODUCTION: The evolution of virulence in host-parasite relationships has been the subject of several publications. In the case of HIV virulence, some authors suggest that the evolution of HIV virulence correlates with the rate of acquisition of new sexual partners. In contrast some other authors...

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Main Authors: FAB Coutinho, E Massad, RX Menezes, MN Burattini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidade de São Paulo 1999-08-01
Series:Revista de Saúde Pública
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89101999000400002&lng=en&tlng=en
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author FAB Coutinho
E Massad
RX Menezes
MN Burattini
author_facet FAB Coutinho
E Massad
RX Menezes
MN Burattini
author_sort FAB Coutinho
collection DOAJ
description INTRODUCTION: The evolution of virulence in host-parasite relationships has been the subject of several publications. In the case of HIV virulence, some authors suggest that the evolution of HIV virulence correlates with the rate of acquisition of new sexual partners. In contrast some other authors argue that the level of HIV virulence is independent of the sexual activity of the host population. METHODS: Provide a mathematical model for the study of the potential influence of human sexual behaviour on the evolution of virulence of HIV is provided. RESULTS: The results indicated that, when the probability of acquisition of infection is a function both of the sexual activity and of the virulence level of HIV strains, the evolution of HIV virulence correlates positively with the rate of acquisition of new sexual partners. CONCLUSION: It is concluded that in the case of a host population with a low (high) rate of exchange of sexual partners the evolution of HIV virulence is such that the less (more) virulent strain prevails.
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spelling doaj.art-96db43501c6740c7a2d11e696bdcaa6f2022-12-21T21:55:54ZengUniversidade de São PauloRevista de Saúde Pública1518-87871999-08-0133432933310.1590/s0034-89101999000400002S0034-89101999000400002A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDSFAB Coutinho0E Massad1RX Menezes2MN Burattini3Universidade de São PauloUniversidade de São PauloUniversidade de São PauloUniversidade de São PauloINTRODUCTION: The evolution of virulence in host-parasite relationships has been the subject of several publications. In the case of HIV virulence, some authors suggest that the evolution of HIV virulence correlates with the rate of acquisition of new sexual partners. In contrast some other authors argue that the level of HIV virulence is independent of the sexual activity of the host population. METHODS: Provide a mathematical model for the study of the potential influence of human sexual behaviour on the evolution of virulence of HIV is provided. RESULTS: The results indicated that, when the probability of acquisition of infection is a function both of the sexual activity and of the virulence level of HIV strains, the evolution of HIV virulence correlates positively with the rate of acquisition of new sexual partners. CONCLUSION: It is concluded that in the case of a host population with a low (high) rate of exchange of sexual partners the evolution of HIV virulence is such that the less (more) virulent strain prevails.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89101999000400002&lng=en&tlng=enSíndrome de Imunodeficiência AdquiridaVirulênciaModelos estatísticos
spellingShingle FAB Coutinho
E Massad
RX Menezes
MN Burattini
A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
Revista de Saúde Pública
Síndrome de Imunodeficiência Adquirida
Virulência
Modelos estatísticos
title A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
title_full A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
title_fullStr A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
title_full_unstemmed A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
title_short A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
title_sort theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted hiv aids
topic Síndrome de Imunodeficiência Adquirida
Virulência
Modelos estatísticos
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89101999000400002&lng=en&tlng=en
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