Qualitative development scenario planning of medical science education in Iran

Background: Futures study is a science that, given changes in society, identifies future trends for making appropriate and practical decisions. Universities benefit from futures study research to improve their efficiency and make effective decisions. This is increasingly seen in medical sciences uni...

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Main Authors: Ebrahim Salehi Omran, Samad Izadi, Siavash Moradi, Nassim Ghahrani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tabriz University of Medical Sciences 2019-12-01
Series:Research and Development in Medical Education
Subjects:
Online Access:https://rdme.tbzmed.ac.ir/PDF/rdme-31753
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author Ebrahim Salehi Omran
Samad Izadi
Siavash Moradi
Nassim Ghahrani
author_facet Ebrahim Salehi Omran
Samad Izadi
Siavash Moradi
Nassim Ghahrani
author_sort Ebrahim Salehi Omran
collection DOAJ
description Background: Futures study is a science that, given changes in society, identifies future trends for making appropriate and practical decisions. Universities benefit from futures study research to improve their efficiency and make effective decisions. This is increasingly seen in medical sciences universities, which are responsible for public and specialized health education, and their quality development should be addressed. The purpose of this study was to identify components and key indicators of the qualitative development of medical sciences education and writing scenarios based on these. Methods: The present study is a mixed methods study carried out in the medical universities of Iran in 2018-2019. In this qualitative approach, the components and indicators of qualitative development of medical sciences education were identified by the classical Delphi method according to targeted sampling from 10 experts with content analysis that was identified and coded. Following the qualitative portion, a quantitative approach using Scenario Wizards software was used to design robust scenarios. Results: In all, 13 components and 48 indicators were identified in the qualitative development of medical sciences education from which robust scenarios can be considered for futures study,including optimistic, intermediary, and pessimistic scenarios. Conclusion: These results indicate how using each of the medical sciences education’s qualitative development components and indicators can lead medical sciences universities to consider favorable and unfavorable futures for planning and direction. Recognizing correct components and drawing scenarios for desired futures is essential.
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spelling doaj.art-96ddb6c23c304cd2a7d83bfb77bf30ec2022-12-21T22:37:06ZengTabriz University of Medical SciencesResearch and Development in Medical Education2322-27192019-12-01829710410.15171/rdme.2019.019rdme-31753Qualitative development scenario planning of medical science education in IranEbrahim Salehi Omran0Samad Izadi1Siavash Moradi2Nassim Ghahrani3Department of Educational Science, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Mazandaran, Babolsar, IranDepartment of Educational Science, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Mazandaran, Babolsar, IranCommunity Medicine Specialist, Education Development Center, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, IranDepartment of Educational Science, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Mazandaran, Babolsar, IranBackground: Futures study is a science that, given changes in society, identifies future trends for making appropriate and practical decisions. Universities benefit from futures study research to improve their efficiency and make effective decisions. This is increasingly seen in medical sciences universities, which are responsible for public and specialized health education, and their quality development should be addressed. The purpose of this study was to identify components and key indicators of the qualitative development of medical sciences education and writing scenarios based on these. Methods: The present study is a mixed methods study carried out in the medical universities of Iran in 2018-2019. In this qualitative approach, the components and indicators of qualitative development of medical sciences education were identified by the classical Delphi method according to targeted sampling from 10 experts with content analysis that was identified and coded. Following the qualitative portion, a quantitative approach using Scenario Wizards software was used to design robust scenarios. Results: In all, 13 components and 48 indicators were identified in the qualitative development of medical sciences education from which robust scenarios can be considered for futures study,including optimistic, intermediary, and pessimistic scenarios. Conclusion: These results indicate how using each of the medical sciences education’s qualitative development components and indicators can lead medical sciences universities to consider favorable and unfavorable futures for planning and direction. Recognizing correct components and drawing scenarios for desired futures is essential.https://rdme.tbzmed.ac.ir/PDF/rdme-31753qualitativedevelopmentscenariomedical education
spellingShingle Ebrahim Salehi Omran
Samad Izadi
Siavash Moradi
Nassim Ghahrani
Qualitative development scenario planning of medical science education in Iran
Research and Development in Medical Education
qualitative
development
scenario
medical education
title Qualitative development scenario planning of medical science education in Iran
title_full Qualitative development scenario planning of medical science education in Iran
title_fullStr Qualitative development scenario planning of medical science education in Iran
title_full_unstemmed Qualitative development scenario planning of medical science education in Iran
title_short Qualitative development scenario planning of medical science education in Iran
title_sort qualitative development scenario planning of medical science education in iran
topic qualitative
development
scenario
medical education
url https://rdme.tbzmed.ac.ir/PDF/rdme-31753
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