Scenarios of the 1400 Presidential Elections of the Islamic Republic of Iran based on the perspective of National Security
Elections are considered as the main symbol of democracy in the countries with democratic systems and It forms the foundation of national security and political stability in such a democratic society. in addition, since how the process of holding elections and participation in it is an indicator of...
| Hlavní autoři: | , |
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| Médium: | Článek |
| Jazyk: | English |
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Command and Staff University
2021-05-01
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| Edice: | آیندهپژوهی دفاعی |
| Témata: | |
| On-line přístup: | http://www.dfsr.ir/article_244748_a45e80836104478cea0a3d77f4b2360b.pdf |
| _version_ | 1828000237292093440 |
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| author | Abdolrahim Pedram Faezeh Panahi |
| author_facet | Abdolrahim Pedram Faezeh Panahi |
| author_sort | Abdolrahim Pedram |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Elections are considered as the main symbol of democracy in the countries with democratic systems and It forms the foundation of national security and political stability in such a democratic society. in addition, since how the process of holding elections and participation in it is an indicator of social capital for sovereign systems, one of the most important factors in the national security discourse is considered national security. The present study outlines the 1400 presidential election scenarios from a national security look. the aim of this study is to delineate the probable states facing the presidential election , and the avoidance of exposure in passive conditions . In this study, the literature review, observation and interviews. Likewise, the scenarios have been explained by utilizing the experts’ expertise through a host of factors and agents influencing the elections as well as influential fifteen actors and their ideals, and identifying Eightee driving forces and Three key uncertainties and the frameworks for scenarios. The Experts panel in this research were experts in futures studies, political sciences and international relations. Based on their views, four scenarios of “dull sunset”, “on the verge sunrise”, "slow slip" and "horrific slide" were identifies |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T06:11:57Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-96f6ea4ac79c4c33a3da3a3321fe3595 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2588-428X 2645-7172 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T06:11:57Z |
| publishDate | 2021-05-01 |
| publisher | Command and Staff University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | آیندهپژوهی دفاعی |
| spelling | doaj.art-96f6ea4ac79c4c33a3da3a3321fe35952023-03-02T12:30:40ZengCommand and Staff Universityآیندهپژوهی دفاعی2588-428X2645-71722021-05-0162073110.22034/dfsr.2021.525174.1471244748Scenarios of the 1400 Presidential Elections of the Islamic Republic of Iran based on the perspective of National SecurityAbdolrahim Pedram0Faezeh Panahi1Assistant Prof. & Faculty Member of the Higher National Defense UniversityMSc. of Toloue Mehr qom UniversityElections are considered as the main symbol of democracy in the countries with democratic systems and It forms the foundation of national security and political stability in such a democratic society. in addition, since how the process of holding elections and participation in it is an indicator of social capital for sovereign systems, one of the most important factors in the national security discourse is considered national security. The present study outlines the 1400 presidential election scenarios from a national security look. the aim of this study is to delineate the probable states facing the presidential election , and the avoidance of exposure in passive conditions . In this study, the literature review, observation and interviews. Likewise, the scenarios have been explained by utilizing the experts’ expertise through a host of factors and agents influencing the elections as well as influential fifteen actors and their ideals, and identifying Eightee driving forces and Three key uncertainties and the frameworks for scenarios. The Experts panel in this research were experts in futures studies, political sciences and international relations. Based on their views, four scenarios of “dull sunset”, “on the verge sunrise”, "slow slip" and "horrific slide" were identifieshttp://www.dfsr.ir/article_244748_a45e80836104478cea0a3d77f4b2360b.pdfelectionscenariofutures studiesnational security |
| spellingShingle | Abdolrahim Pedram Faezeh Panahi Scenarios of the 1400 Presidential Elections of the Islamic Republic of Iran based on the perspective of National Security آیندهپژوهی دفاعی election scenario futures studies national security |
| title | Scenarios of the 1400 Presidential Elections of the Islamic Republic of Iran based on the perspective of National Security |
| title_full | Scenarios of the 1400 Presidential Elections of the Islamic Republic of Iran based on the perspective of National Security |
| title_fullStr | Scenarios of the 1400 Presidential Elections of the Islamic Republic of Iran based on the perspective of National Security |
| title_full_unstemmed | Scenarios of the 1400 Presidential Elections of the Islamic Republic of Iran based on the perspective of National Security |
| title_short | Scenarios of the 1400 Presidential Elections of the Islamic Republic of Iran based on the perspective of National Security |
| title_sort | scenarios of the 1400 presidential elections of the islamic republic of iran based on the perspective of national security |
| topic | election scenario futures studies national security |
| url | http://www.dfsr.ir/article_244748_a45e80836104478cea0a3d77f4b2360b.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT abdolrahimpedram scenariosofthe1400presidentialelectionsoftheislamicrepublicofiranbasedontheperspectiveofnationalsecurity AT faezehpanahi scenariosofthe1400presidentialelectionsoftheislamicrepublicofiranbasedontheperspectiveofnationalsecurity |