Optimal Power Investment and Pandemics: A Micro-Economic Analysis

This paper derives the optimal investment policy of an electricity producer during a pandemic. We consider three problems: (1) investing in a gas-fired plant, (2) investing in a wind plant, and (3) investing in the best of a gas plant and a wind plant. Optimal investment boundaries are characterized...

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Main Authors: Jerome Detemple, Yerkin Kitapbayev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-02-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/4/814
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author Jerome Detemple
Yerkin Kitapbayev
author_facet Jerome Detemple
Yerkin Kitapbayev
author_sort Jerome Detemple
collection DOAJ
description This paper derives the optimal investment policy of an electricity producer during a pandemic. We consider three problems: (1) investing in a gas-fired plant, (2) investing in a wind plant, and (3) investing in the best of a gas plant and a wind plant. Optimal investment boundaries are characterized and valuation formulas derived. For single technology projects, a pandemic postpones wind investment, but can accelerate gas investment when the relative price of gas decreases. For choices between the two technologies, a substitution effect can reinforce the single technology effects, accelerating gas investment under certain conditions. The paper examines the impact of pandemic parameters, economic parameters and policy parameters on the investment boundaries, the values of projects and the premium for green energy.
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spelling doaj.art-96f8e3d229c44fc684c7f93dcd7809132023-12-03T12:20:13ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732021-02-0114481410.3390/en14040814Optimal Power Investment and Pandemics: A Micro-Economic AnalysisJerome Detemple0Yerkin Kitapbayev1Department of Finance, Questrom School of Business, Boston University, 595 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USADepartment of Mathematics, North Carolina State University, 2311 Stinson Drive, Raleigh, NC 27695, USAThis paper derives the optimal investment policy of an electricity producer during a pandemic. We consider three problems: (1) investing in a gas-fired plant, (2) investing in a wind plant, and (3) investing in the best of a gas plant and a wind plant. Optimal investment boundaries are characterized and valuation formulas derived. For single technology projects, a pandemic postpones wind investment, but can accelerate gas investment when the relative price of gas decreases. For choices between the two technologies, a substitution effect can reinforce the single technology effects, accelerating gas investment under certain conditions. The paper examines the impact of pandemic parameters, economic parameters and policy parameters on the investment boundaries, the values of projects and the premium for green energy.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/4/814investmentpandemicelectricitygasmutually exclusive projectsgreen energy
spellingShingle Jerome Detemple
Yerkin Kitapbayev
Optimal Power Investment and Pandemics: A Micro-Economic Analysis
Energies
investment
pandemic
electricity
gas
mutually exclusive projects
green energy
title Optimal Power Investment and Pandemics: A Micro-Economic Analysis
title_full Optimal Power Investment and Pandemics: A Micro-Economic Analysis
title_fullStr Optimal Power Investment and Pandemics: A Micro-Economic Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Optimal Power Investment and Pandemics: A Micro-Economic Analysis
title_short Optimal Power Investment and Pandemics: A Micro-Economic Analysis
title_sort optimal power investment and pandemics a micro economic analysis
topic investment
pandemic
electricity
gas
mutually exclusive projects
green energy
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/4/814
work_keys_str_mv AT jeromedetemple optimalpowerinvestmentandpandemicsamicroeconomicanalysis
AT yerkinkitapbayev optimalpowerinvestmentandpandemicsamicroeconomicanalysis