Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia

Abstract Accurate prediction of coastal flooding requires a detailed understanding of all individual contributions to sea level variability and how they interact to trigger extreme sea level (ESL) events. In this study, we focus on the expansive (∼10,000 km) coastline of Western Australia, a region...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ryan J. Lowe, Michael V. W. Cuttler, Jeff E. Hansen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-04-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001620
_version_ 1828359163379449856
author Ryan J. Lowe
Michael V. W. Cuttler
Jeff E. Hansen
author_facet Ryan J. Lowe
Michael V. W. Cuttler
Jeff E. Hansen
author_sort Ryan J. Lowe
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Accurate prediction of coastal flooding requires a detailed understanding of all individual contributions to sea level variability and how they interact to trigger extreme sea level (ESL) events. In this study, we focus on the expansive (∼10,000 km) coastline of Western Australia, a region that experiences large latitudinal gradients in met‐ocean sources of sea level variability, as a case study to investigate the mechanisms responsible for ESLs and trends over the past 54 years (1966–2019). Using long‐term sea level records from tide gauges and satellite altimetry, we explore how different contributions to sea level variability at different time scales (from hourly to interannual) interact to generate ESLs. We observe that all individual, nontidal contributions to ESLs (i.e., atmospheric surge, seasonal and interannual variability) are of similar magnitude (of order 10 cm) along the entire coast and comparable to the tidal variations in the microtidal southwestern region. The results reveal the important role that seasonal and interannual sea level variability plays in generating ESLs, with these low‐frequency contributions being relatively large compared to typical global values. With mean sea level having risen by ∼10 cm over this 54‐year study period, sea level rise was also identified as making an increasingly significant contribution to observed increases in the frequency of ESLs. Overall, due to the comparatively large magnitude of low‐frequency sea level contributions (seasonal and longer), the Western Australia coast provides a useful case study to investigate how sustained periods of elevated sea level will impact coastlines worldwide more broadly in the future.
first_indexed 2024-04-14T03:38:48Z
format Article
id doaj.art-97016005582043618fd781d901c2bef5
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2328-4277
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-14T03:38:48Z
publishDate 2021-04-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Earth's Future
spelling doaj.art-97016005582043618fd781d901c2bef52022-12-22T02:14:39ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772021-04-0194n/an/a10.1029/2020EF001620Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western AustraliaRyan J. Lowe0Michael V. W. Cuttler1Jeff E. Hansen2Oceans Graduate School and UWA Oceans Institute The University of Western Australia Crawley WA AustraliaOceans Graduate School and UWA Oceans Institute The University of Western Australia Crawley WA AustraliaSchool of Earth Sciences The University of Western Australia Crawley WA AustraliaAbstract Accurate prediction of coastal flooding requires a detailed understanding of all individual contributions to sea level variability and how they interact to trigger extreme sea level (ESL) events. In this study, we focus on the expansive (∼10,000 km) coastline of Western Australia, a region that experiences large latitudinal gradients in met‐ocean sources of sea level variability, as a case study to investigate the mechanisms responsible for ESLs and trends over the past 54 years (1966–2019). Using long‐term sea level records from tide gauges and satellite altimetry, we explore how different contributions to sea level variability at different time scales (from hourly to interannual) interact to generate ESLs. We observe that all individual, nontidal contributions to ESLs (i.e., atmospheric surge, seasonal and interannual variability) are of similar magnitude (of order 10 cm) along the entire coast and comparable to the tidal variations in the microtidal southwestern region. The results reveal the important role that seasonal and interannual sea level variability plays in generating ESLs, with these low‐frequency contributions being relatively large compared to typical global values. With mean sea level having risen by ∼10 cm over this 54‐year study period, sea level rise was also identified as making an increasingly significant contribution to observed increases in the frequency of ESLs. Overall, due to the comparatively large magnitude of low‐frequency sea level contributions (seasonal and longer), the Western Australia coast provides a useful case study to investigate how sustained periods of elevated sea level will impact coastlines worldwide more broadly in the future.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001620climate variabilitycoastal floodingENSOextreme eventssea levelWestern Australia
spellingShingle Ryan J. Lowe
Michael V. W. Cuttler
Jeff E. Hansen
Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia
Earth's Future
climate variability
coastal flooding
ENSO
extreme events
sea level
Western Australia
title Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia
title_full Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia
title_fullStr Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia
title_full_unstemmed Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia
title_short Climatic Drivers of Extreme Sea Level Events Along the Coastline of Western Australia
title_sort climatic drivers of extreme sea level events along the coastline of western australia
topic climate variability
coastal flooding
ENSO
extreme events
sea level
Western Australia
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001620
work_keys_str_mv AT ryanjlowe climaticdriversofextremesealeveleventsalongthecoastlineofwesternaustralia
AT michaelvwcuttler climaticdriversofextremesealeveleventsalongthecoastlineofwesternaustralia
AT jeffehansen climaticdriversofextremesealeveleventsalongthecoastlineofwesternaustralia