Peaks Over Random Threshold Methodology for Tail Index and High Quantile Estimation

In this paper we present a class of semi-parametric high quantile estimators which enjoy a desirable property in the presence of linear transformations of the data. Such a feature is in accordance with the empirical counterpart of the theoretical linearity of a quantile χp: χp(δX + λ) = δχp(X) + λ,...

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Main Authors: Paulo Araújo Santos, M. Isabel Fraga Alves, M. Ivette Gomes
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Instituto Nacional de Estatística | Statistics Portugal 2006-11-01
Series:Revstat Statistical Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revstat.ine.pt/index.php/REVSTAT/article/view/37
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author Paulo Araújo Santos
M. Isabel Fraga Alves
M. Ivette Gomes
author_facet Paulo Araújo Santos
M. Isabel Fraga Alves
M. Ivette Gomes
author_sort Paulo Araújo Santos
collection DOAJ
description In this paper we present a class of semi-parametric high quantile estimators which enjoy a desirable property in the presence of linear transformations of the data. Such a feature is in accordance with the empirical counterpart of the theoretical linearity of a quantile χp: χp(δX + λ) = δχp(X) + λ, for any real λ and positive δ. This class of estimators is based on the sample of excesses over a random threshold, originating what we denominate PORT (Peaks Over Random Threshold) methodology. We prove consistency and asymptotic normality of two high quantile estimators in this class, associated with the PORT-estimators for the tail index. The exact performance of the new tail index and quantile PORT-estimators is compared with the original semiparametric estimators, through a simulation study.
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spelling doaj.art-9705a3c9c935483a979fbe9df8a758cb2022-12-22T01:28:34ZengInstituto Nacional de Estatística | Statistics PortugalRevstat Statistical Journal1645-67262183-03712006-11-014310.57805/revstat.v4i3.37Peaks Over Random Threshold Methodology for Tail Index and High Quantile EstimationPaulo Araújo Santos 0M. Isabel Fraga Alves 1M. Ivette Gomes 2Instituto Politécnico de SantarémUniversidade de LisboaUniversidade de Lisboa In this paper we present a class of semi-parametric high quantile estimators which enjoy a desirable property in the presence of linear transformations of the data. Such a feature is in accordance with the empirical counterpart of the theoretical linearity of a quantile χp: χp(δX + λ) = δχp(X) + λ, for any real λ and positive δ. This class of estimators is based on the sample of excesses over a random threshold, originating what we denominate PORT (Peaks Over Random Threshold) methodology. We prove consistency and asymptotic normality of two high quantile estimators in this class, associated with the PORT-estimators for the tail index. The exact performance of the new tail index and quantile PORT-estimators is compared with the original semiparametric estimators, through a simulation study. https://revstat.ine.pt/index.php/REVSTAT/article/view/37heavy tailshigh quantilessemi-parametric estimationlinear propertysample of excesses
spellingShingle Paulo Araújo Santos
M. Isabel Fraga Alves
M. Ivette Gomes
Peaks Over Random Threshold Methodology for Tail Index and High Quantile Estimation
Revstat Statistical Journal
heavy tails
high quantiles
semi-parametric estimation
linear property
sample of excesses
title Peaks Over Random Threshold Methodology for Tail Index and High Quantile Estimation
title_full Peaks Over Random Threshold Methodology for Tail Index and High Quantile Estimation
title_fullStr Peaks Over Random Threshold Methodology for Tail Index and High Quantile Estimation
title_full_unstemmed Peaks Over Random Threshold Methodology for Tail Index and High Quantile Estimation
title_short Peaks Over Random Threshold Methodology for Tail Index and High Quantile Estimation
title_sort peaks over random threshold methodology for tail index and high quantile estimation
topic heavy tails
high quantiles
semi-parametric estimation
linear property
sample of excesses
url https://revstat.ine.pt/index.php/REVSTAT/article/view/37
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AT mivettegomes peaksoverrandomthresholdmethodologyfortailindexandhighquantileestimation