Comparative Analysis of Three Land Use Transition Models in Kunming City
[Objective] The simulation effects and land use prediction accuracy of three land use transition models (LogReg, MLP, and SimWeight) for multi-land change analysis were compared and analyzed in order to provide a reference for land space planning, soil and water conservation, and ecological restorat...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | zho |
| Published: |
Science Press
2023-02-01
|
| Series: | Shuitu baochi tongbao |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://stbctb.alljournal.com.cn/stbctben/article/abstract/20230117 |
| _version_ | 1797289609796780032 |
|---|---|
| author | Anze Xu Shuqing Zhang Daming Zhu Mulan Qiu hong Bao |
| author_facet | Anze Xu Shuqing Zhang Daming Zhu Mulan Qiu hong Bao |
| author_sort | Anze Xu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | [Objective] The simulation effects and land use prediction accuracy of three land use transition models (LogReg, MLP, and SimWeight) for multi-land change analysis were compared and analyzed in order to provide a reference for land space planning, soil and water conservation, and ecological restoration in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau. [Methods] Three models were used to simulate land use changes for Kunming City from 2000 to 2020. Various methods such as ROC curve, AUC coefficient, and kappa coefficient were used to evaluate model performance. [Results] The simulations of change trends for most land use classes by MLP and SimWeight were better than the simulations by LogReg, especially with regard to the change analysis of unused land where the AUC values for MLP and SimWeight were greater than 0.9. The kappa values for LogReg, MLP, and SimWeight were 0.906 6, 0.904 1, and 0.925 3, respectively. The overall prediction results for the three models were similar, and SimWeight was slightly better than the two other models. [Conclusion] For LUCC modeling of Kunming City, SimWeight is recommended when the user desires higher accuracy, MLP is recommended when the user cares more about calculation speed, and LogReg is recommended when the user wants to further analyze the relationship between driving factors and land use changes. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T19:07:36Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-971cde6f56f7433ca03c8b3a1254374a |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1000-288X |
| language | zho |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T19:07:36Z |
| publishDate | 2023-02-01 |
| publisher | Science Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Shuitu baochi tongbao |
| spelling | doaj.art-971cde6f56f7433ca03c8b3a1254374a2024-03-01T06:41:51ZzhoScience PressShuitu baochi tongbao1000-288X2023-02-0143114114810.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2023.01.0171000-288X(2023)01-0141-08Comparative Analysis of Three Land Use Transition Models in Kunming CityAnze Xu0Shuqing Zhang1Daming Zhu2Mulan Qiu3hong Bao4Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, Yunnan 650093, ChinaLand and Resources Planning and Design Institute of Yunnan Province, Kunming, Yunnan 650216, ChinaKunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, Yunnan 650093, ChinaKunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, Yunnan 650093, ChinaKunming Real Estate Ownership Investigation Center (Kunming Institute of Surveying and Mapping of Land Planning and Prospecting), Kunming, Yunnan 650200, China[Objective] The simulation effects and land use prediction accuracy of three land use transition models (LogReg, MLP, and SimWeight) for multi-land change analysis were compared and analyzed in order to provide a reference for land space planning, soil and water conservation, and ecological restoration in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau. [Methods] Three models were used to simulate land use changes for Kunming City from 2000 to 2020. Various methods such as ROC curve, AUC coefficient, and kappa coefficient were used to evaluate model performance. [Results] The simulations of change trends for most land use classes by MLP and SimWeight were better than the simulations by LogReg, especially with regard to the change analysis of unused land where the AUC values for MLP and SimWeight were greater than 0.9. The kappa values for LogReg, MLP, and SimWeight were 0.906 6, 0.904 1, and 0.925 3, respectively. The overall prediction results for the three models were similar, and SimWeight was slightly better than the two other models. [Conclusion] For LUCC modeling of Kunming City, SimWeight is recommended when the user desires higher accuracy, MLP is recommended when the user cares more about calculation speed, and LogReg is recommended when the user wants to further analyze the relationship between driving factors and land use changes.http://stbctb.alljournal.com.cn/stbctben/article/abstract/20230117lucclogregmlpsimweight |
| spellingShingle | Anze Xu Shuqing Zhang Daming Zhu Mulan Qiu hong Bao Comparative Analysis of Three Land Use Transition Models in Kunming City Shuitu baochi tongbao lucc logreg mlp simweight |
| title | Comparative Analysis of Three Land Use Transition Models in Kunming City |
| title_full | Comparative Analysis of Three Land Use Transition Models in Kunming City |
| title_fullStr | Comparative Analysis of Three Land Use Transition Models in Kunming City |
| title_full_unstemmed | Comparative Analysis of Three Land Use Transition Models in Kunming City |
| title_short | Comparative Analysis of Three Land Use Transition Models in Kunming City |
| title_sort | comparative analysis of three land use transition models in kunming city |
| topic | lucc logreg mlp simweight |
| url | http://stbctb.alljournal.com.cn/stbctben/article/abstract/20230117 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT anzexu comparativeanalysisofthreelandusetransitionmodelsinkunmingcity AT shuqingzhang comparativeanalysisofthreelandusetransitionmodelsinkunmingcity AT damingzhu comparativeanalysisofthreelandusetransitionmodelsinkunmingcity AT mulanqiu comparativeanalysisofthreelandusetransitionmodelsinkunmingcity AT hongbao comparativeanalysisofthreelandusetransitionmodelsinkunmingcity |