Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling of Climate and Non-climatic Determinants Affecting Cereal Production: Empirical Evidence from Somalia
This study investigates the impact of climate and non-climate factors on cereal production in Somalia from 1990 to 2019. The study used the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modeling approach to analyze the effect of CO2, temperature, rainfall, land under cereal production, and rural population...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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EconJournals
2023-09-01
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| Series: | International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/14553 |
| _version_ | 1827791946748264448 |
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| author | Dahir Abdi Ali Aisha Mohamed Dahir Sagal Mohamed Yusuf |
| author_facet | Dahir Abdi Ali Aisha Mohamed Dahir Sagal Mohamed Yusuf |
| author_sort | Dahir Abdi Ali |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
This study investigates the impact of climate and non-climate factors on cereal production in Somalia from 1990 to 2019. The study used the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modeling approach to analyze the effect of CO2, temperature, rainfall, land under cereal production, and rural population on cereal production. The study employed the ARDL model to determine the long-run and short-run effects of the variables. The results indicate that all variables negatively impacted cereal production, except for land under cereal production, which had a positive effect on cereal production in both the short and long run. These findings suggest that policymakers should prioritize investment in land management practices to increase cereal production in Somalia. The study's results have important implications for stakeholders in the agricultural sector, highlighting the need for sustainable land use policies and climate change adaptation measures to ensure the country's food security.
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| first_indexed | 2024-03-11T17:55:15Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-971e66e3fabc48b9986713c0995d270c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2146-4553 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-11T17:55:15Z |
| publishDate | 2023-09-01 |
| publisher | EconJournals |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy |
| spelling | doaj.art-971e66e3fabc48b9986713c0995d270c2023-10-17T14:39:24ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Energy Economics and Policy2146-45532023-09-0113510.32479/ijeep.14553Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling of Climate and Non-climatic Determinants Affecting Cereal Production: Empirical Evidence from SomaliaDahir Abdi Ali0Aisha Mohamed Dahir1Sagal Mohamed Yusuf2Faculty of Economics, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, Somalia.Faculty of Economics, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, Somalia.Faculty of Economics, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, Somalia. This study investigates the impact of climate and non-climate factors on cereal production in Somalia from 1990 to 2019. The study used the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modeling approach to analyze the effect of CO2, temperature, rainfall, land under cereal production, and rural population on cereal production. The study employed the ARDL model to determine the long-run and short-run effects of the variables. The results indicate that all variables negatively impacted cereal production, except for land under cereal production, which had a positive effect on cereal production in both the short and long run. These findings suggest that policymakers should prioritize investment in land management practices to increase cereal production in Somalia. The study's results have important implications for stakeholders in the agricultural sector, highlighting the need for sustainable land use policies and climate change adaptation measures to ensure the country's food security. http://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/14553Climate Factors, Non-climatic Factors, Autoregressive Distributed Lag, Somalia |
| spellingShingle | Dahir Abdi Ali Aisha Mohamed Dahir Sagal Mohamed Yusuf Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling of Climate and Non-climatic Determinants Affecting Cereal Production: Empirical Evidence from Somalia International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Climate Factors, Non-climatic Factors, Autoregressive Distributed Lag, Somalia |
| title | Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling of Climate and Non-climatic Determinants Affecting Cereal Production: Empirical Evidence from Somalia |
| title_full | Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling of Climate and Non-climatic Determinants Affecting Cereal Production: Empirical Evidence from Somalia |
| title_fullStr | Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling of Climate and Non-climatic Determinants Affecting Cereal Production: Empirical Evidence from Somalia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling of Climate and Non-climatic Determinants Affecting Cereal Production: Empirical Evidence from Somalia |
| title_short | Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling of Climate and Non-climatic Determinants Affecting Cereal Production: Empirical Evidence from Somalia |
| title_sort | autoregressive distributed lag modeling of climate and non climatic determinants affecting cereal production empirical evidence from somalia |
| topic | Climate Factors, Non-climatic Factors, Autoregressive Distributed Lag, Somalia |
| url | http://econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/14553 |
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