Linking a farmer crop selection model (FCS) with an agronomic model (EPIC) to simulate cropping pattern in Northeast China

In this paper, authors established a farmer crop selection model (FCS) for the three provinces of Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang of the Northeast China. With linking to the environmental policy integrated climate model (EPIC), the simulated results of FCS model for maize, rice and soybean were spa...

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Main Authors: Ying-bin HE, Wei-min CAI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2016-10-01
Series:Journal of Integrative Agriculture
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311915612473
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author Ying-bin HE
Wei-min CAI
author_facet Ying-bin HE
Wei-min CAI
author_sort Ying-bin HE
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, authors established a farmer crop selection model (FCS) for the three provinces of Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang of the Northeast China. With linking to the environmental policy integrated climate model (EPIC), the simulated results of FCS model for maize, rice and soybean were spatialized with 1 km×1 km grids to obtain cropping pattern. The reference map of spatial distribution for the three staple crops acquired by remote sensing imageries was applied to validate the simulated cropping pattern. The results showed that (1) the total simulation accuracy for the study area was 78.62%, which proved simulation method was applicable and feasible; (2) simulation accuracy for Jilin Province was the highest among the three provinces with a rate of 82.45% since its simple cropping system and not complex topography; (3) simulation accuracy for maize was the best among the three staple crops with a ratio of 81.14% because the study area is very suitable for maize growth. We hope this study could provide the reference for cropping pattern forecasting and decision-making.
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spelling doaj.art-9731a3174bd24515b519f3671f0c171b2022-12-21T18:41:04ZengElsevierJournal of Integrative Agriculture2095-31192016-10-01151024172425Linking a farmer crop selection model (FCS) with an agronomic model (EPIC) to simulate cropping pattern in Northeast ChinaYing-bin HE0Wei-min CAI1Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, P.R. China; Management School, Tianjin Polytechnic University, Tianjin 300387, P.R. China; HE Ying-bin, Tel: +86-10-82106225Management School, Tianjin Polytechnic University, Tianjin 300387, P.R. China; Correspondence CAI Wei-min, Tel/Fax: +86-22-83956271In this paper, authors established a farmer crop selection model (FCS) for the three provinces of Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang of the Northeast China. With linking to the environmental policy integrated climate model (EPIC), the simulated results of FCS model for maize, rice and soybean were spatialized with 1 km×1 km grids to obtain cropping pattern. The reference map of spatial distribution for the three staple crops acquired by remote sensing imageries was applied to validate the simulated cropping pattern. The results showed that (1) the total simulation accuracy for the study area was 78.62%, which proved simulation method was applicable and feasible; (2) simulation accuracy for Jilin Province was the highest among the three provinces with a rate of 82.45% since its simple cropping system and not complex topography; (3) simulation accuracy for maize was the best among the three staple crops with a ratio of 81.14% because the study area is very suitable for maize growth. We hope this study could provide the reference for cropping pattern forecasting and decision-making.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311915612473cropping patternstaple cropsEPIC modelFCS modelsimulation
spellingShingle Ying-bin HE
Wei-min CAI
Linking a farmer crop selection model (FCS) with an agronomic model (EPIC) to simulate cropping pattern in Northeast China
Journal of Integrative Agriculture
cropping pattern
staple crops
EPIC model
FCS model
simulation
title Linking a farmer crop selection model (FCS) with an agronomic model (EPIC) to simulate cropping pattern in Northeast China
title_full Linking a farmer crop selection model (FCS) with an agronomic model (EPIC) to simulate cropping pattern in Northeast China
title_fullStr Linking a farmer crop selection model (FCS) with an agronomic model (EPIC) to simulate cropping pattern in Northeast China
title_full_unstemmed Linking a farmer crop selection model (FCS) with an agronomic model (EPIC) to simulate cropping pattern in Northeast China
title_short Linking a farmer crop selection model (FCS) with an agronomic model (EPIC) to simulate cropping pattern in Northeast China
title_sort linking a farmer crop selection model fcs with an agronomic model epic to simulate cropping pattern in northeast china
topic cropping pattern
staple crops
EPIC model
FCS model
simulation
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311915612473
work_keys_str_mv AT yingbinhe linkingafarmercropselectionmodelfcswithanagronomicmodelepictosimulatecroppingpatterninnortheastchina
AT weimincai linkingafarmercropselectionmodelfcswithanagronomicmodelepictosimulatecroppingpatterninnortheastchina