Enhancing the Prediction of Stock Market Movement Using Neutrosophic-Logic-Based Sentiment Analysis

Social media platforms have allowed many people to publicly express and disseminate their opinions. A topic of considerable interest among researchers is the impact of social media on predicting the stock market. Positive or negative feedback about a company or service can potentially impact its sto...

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Main Authors: Bassant A. Abdelfattah, Saad M. Darwish, Saleh M. Elkaffas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-01-01
Series:Journal of Theoretical and Applied Electronic Commerce Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/0718-1876/19/1/7
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author Bassant A. Abdelfattah
Saad M. Darwish
Saleh M. Elkaffas
author_facet Bassant A. Abdelfattah
Saad M. Darwish
Saleh M. Elkaffas
author_sort Bassant A. Abdelfattah
collection DOAJ
description Social media platforms have allowed many people to publicly express and disseminate their opinions. A topic of considerable interest among researchers is the impact of social media on predicting the stock market. Positive or negative feedback about a company or service can potentially impact its stock price. Nevertheless, the prediction of stock market movement using sentiment analysis (SA) encounters hurdles stemming from the imprecisions observed in SA techniques demonstrated in prior studies, which overlook the uncertainty inherent in the data and consequently directly undermine the credibility of stock market indicators. In this paper, we proposed a novel model to enhance the prediction of stock market movements using SA by improving the process of SA using neutrosophic logic (NL), which accurately classifies tweets by handling uncertain and indeterminate data. For the prediction model, we use the result of sentiment analysis and historical stock market data as input for a deep learning algorithm called long short-term memory (LSTM) to predict the stock movement after a specific number of days. The results of this study demonstrated a predictive accuracy that surpasses the accuracy rate of previous studies in predicting stock price fluctuations when using the same dataset.
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spelling doaj.art-97349f304ce04cc1a077c865076cf8842024-03-27T13:50:19ZengMDPI AGJournal of Theoretical and Applied Electronic Commerce Research0718-18762024-01-0119111613410.3390/jtaer19010007Enhancing the Prediction of Stock Market Movement Using Neutrosophic-Logic-Based Sentiment AnalysisBassant A. Abdelfattah0Saad M. Darwish1Saleh M. Elkaffas2Department of Information Technology, Institute of Graduate Studies and Research, Alexandria University, 163 Horreya Avenue, El-Shatby, Alexandria 21526, EgyptDepartment of Information Technology, Institute of Graduate Studies and Research, Alexandria University, 163 Horreya Avenue, El-Shatby, Alexandria 21526, EgyptDepartment of Information Systems, Arab Academy for Science and Technology, Alexandria 1029, EgyptSocial media platforms have allowed many people to publicly express and disseminate their opinions. A topic of considerable interest among researchers is the impact of social media on predicting the stock market. Positive or negative feedback about a company or service can potentially impact its stock price. Nevertheless, the prediction of stock market movement using sentiment analysis (SA) encounters hurdles stemming from the imprecisions observed in SA techniques demonstrated in prior studies, which overlook the uncertainty inherent in the data and consequently directly undermine the credibility of stock market indicators. In this paper, we proposed a novel model to enhance the prediction of stock market movements using SA by improving the process of SA using neutrosophic logic (NL), which accurately classifies tweets by handling uncertain and indeterminate data. For the prediction model, we use the result of sentiment analysis and historical stock market data as input for a deep learning algorithm called long short-term memory (LSTM) to predict the stock movement after a specific number of days. The results of this study demonstrated a predictive accuracy that surpasses the accuracy rate of previous studies in predicting stock price fluctuations when using the same dataset.https://www.mdpi.com/0718-1876/19/1/7long short-term memoryneutrosophic logicsentiment analysis
spellingShingle Bassant A. Abdelfattah
Saad M. Darwish
Saleh M. Elkaffas
Enhancing the Prediction of Stock Market Movement Using Neutrosophic-Logic-Based Sentiment Analysis
Journal of Theoretical and Applied Electronic Commerce Research
long short-term memory
neutrosophic logic
sentiment analysis
title Enhancing the Prediction of Stock Market Movement Using Neutrosophic-Logic-Based Sentiment Analysis
title_full Enhancing the Prediction of Stock Market Movement Using Neutrosophic-Logic-Based Sentiment Analysis
title_fullStr Enhancing the Prediction of Stock Market Movement Using Neutrosophic-Logic-Based Sentiment Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Enhancing the Prediction of Stock Market Movement Using Neutrosophic-Logic-Based Sentiment Analysis
title_short Enhancing the Prediction of Stock Market Movement Using Neutrosophic-Logic-Based Sentiment Analysis
title_sort enhancing the prediction of stock market movement using neutrosophic logic based sentiment analysis
topic long short-term memory
neutrosophic logic
sentiment analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/0718-1876/19/1/7
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AT salehmelkaffas enhancingthepredictionofstockmarketmovementusingneutrosophiclogicbasedsentimentanalysis