Improved dynamic state estimation of power system using unscented Kalman filter with more accurate prediction model

Power system dynamic state estimation plays an important role. However, rapid changes in states cause state estimation to become very hard. To reduce the residual between pseudo and real measurement, prediction models are adopted, which are strongly associated with the convergence rates and accuraci...

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Main Authors: Yanjie Yu, Qiang Li, Chuchu Chen, Xinze Zheng, Yingjie Tan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-11-01
Series:Energy Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722020492
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author Yanjie Yu
Qiang Li
Chuchu Chen
Xinze Zheng
Yingjie Tan
author_facet Yanjie Yu
Qiang Li
Chuchu Chen
Xinze Zheng
Yingjie Tan
author_sort Yanjie Yu
collection DOAJ
description Power system dynamic state estimation plays an important role. However, rapid changes in states cause state estimation to become very hard. To reduce the residual between pseudo and real measurement, prediction models are adopted, which are strongly associated with the convergence rates and accuracies of estimation methods. In this paper, to improve the estimation accuracy, a prediction model that consists of the convolutional neural network and long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM) is employed and then integrated into the unscented Kalman filter (UKF). In the proposed UKF with CNN-LSTM, state vectors are considered as time-series data, so CNN performs feature extraction for data pre-processing first, and then the features go through LSTM to improve its forecast accuracy in real-time. Next, online training and error normalization are introduced to UKF, which increases the estimation accuracy effectively. Finally, simulations are carried out on the IEEE 33-bus system. Simulation results show that the accuracies of the CNN-LSTM prediction model are much higher than those of conventional methods. Furthermore, compared to widely used state estimation methods, our method decreases RMSE and MAPE by about 2 multiples.
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spelling doaj.art-977f4a689d794afea736042e384716092023-01-16T04:08:25ZengElsevierEnergy Reports2352-48472022-11-018364376Improved dynamic state estimation of power system using unscented Kalman filter with more accurate prediction modelYanjie Yu0Qiang Li1Chuchu Chen2Xinze Zheng3Yingjie Tan4School of Electric Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing, 400030, ChinaSchool of Electric Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing, 400030, China; Corresponding author.School of Electric Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing, 400030, ChinaSchool of Electric Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing, 400030, ChinaElectric Power Research Institute, China Southern Power Grid Co., Ltd, Guangzhou, 510000, ChinaPower system dynamic state estimation plays an important role. However, rapid changes in states cause state estimation to become very hard. To reduce the residual between pseudo and real measurement, prediction models are adopted, which are strongly associated with the convergence rates and accuracies of estimation methods. In this paper, to improve the estimation accuracy, a prediction model that consists of the convolutional neural network and long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM) is employed and then integrated into the unscented Kalman filter (UKF). In the proposed UKF with CNN-LSTM, state vectors are considered as time-series data, so CNN performs feature extraction for data pre-processing first, and then the features go through LSTM to improve its forecast accuracy in real-time. Next, online training and error normalization are introduced to UKF, which increases the estimation accuracy effectively. Finally, simulations are carried out on the IEEE 33-bus system. Simulation results show that the accuracies of the CNN-LSTM prediction model are much higher than those of conventional methods. Furthermore, compared to widely used state estimation methods, our method decreases RMSE and MAPE by about 2 multiples.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722020492Smart gridDynamic state estimationLong short-term memoryUnscented Kalman filterPower system operation
spellingShingle Yanjie Yu
Qiang Li
Chuchu Chen
Xinze Zheng
Yingjie Tan
Improved dynamic state estimation of power system using unscented Kalman filter with more accurate prediction model
Energy Reports
Smart grid
Dynamic state estimation
Long short-term memory
Unscented Kalman filter
Power system operation
title Improved dynamic state estimation of power system using unscented Kalman filter with more accurate prediction model
title_full Improved dynamic state estimation of power system using unscented Kalman filter with more accurate prediction model
title_fullStr Improved dynamic state estimation of power system using unscented Kalman filter with more accurate prediction model
title_full_unstemmed Improved dynamic state estimation of power system using unscented Kalman filter with more accurate prediction model
title_short Improved dynamic state estimation of power system using unscented Kalman filter with more accurate prediction model
title_sort improved dynamic state estimation of power system using unscented kalman filter with more accurate prediction model
topic Smart grid
Dynamic state estimation
Long short-term memory
Unscented Kalman filter
Power system operation
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722020492
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AT chuchuchen improveddynamicstateestimationofpowersystemusingunscentedkalmanfilterwithmoreaccuratepredictionmodel
AT xinzezheng improveddynamicstateestimationofpowersystemusingunscentedkalmanfilterwithmoreaccuratepredictionmodel
AT yingjietan improveddynamicstateestimationofpowersystemusingunscentedkalmanfilterwithmoreaccuratepredictionmodel