A New Architecture Based on IoT and Machine Learning Paradigms in Photovoltaic Systems to Nowcast Output Energy

The classic models used to predict the behavior of photovoltaic systems, which are based on the physical process of the solar cell, are limited to defining the analytical equation to obtain its electrical parameter. In this paper, we evaluate several machine learning models to nowcast the behavior a...

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Main Authors: Guillermo Almonacid-Olleros, Gabino Almonacid, Juan Ignacio Fernandez-Carrasco, Macarena Espinilla-Estevez, Javier Medina-Quero
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-07-01
Series:Sensors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/20/15/4224
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author Guillermo Almonacid-Olleros
Gabino Almonacid
Juan Ignacio Fernandez-Carrasco
Macarena Espinilla-Estevez
Javier Medina-Quero
author_facet Guillermo Almonacid-Olleros
Gabino Almonacid
Juan Ignacio Fernandez-Carrasco
Macarena Espinilla-Estevez
Javier Medina-Quero
author_sort Guillermo Almonacid-Olleros
collection DOAJ
description The classic models used to predict the behavior of photovoltaic systems, which are based on the physical process of the solar cell, are limited to defining the analytical equation to obtain its electrical parameter. In this paper, we evaluate several machine learning models to nowcast the behavior and energy production of a photovoltaic (PV) system in conjunction with ambient data provided by IoT environmental devices. We have evaluated the estimation of output power generation by human-crafted features with multiple temporal windows and deep learning approaches to obtain comparative results regarding the analytical models of PV systems in terms of error metrics and learning time. The ambient data and ground truth of energy production have been collected in a photovoltaic system with IoT capabilities developed within the Opera Digital Platform under the UniVer Project, which has been deployed for 20 years in the Campus of the University of Jaén (Spain). Machine learning models offer improved results compared with the state-of-the-art analytical model, with significant differences in learning time and performance. The use of multiple temporal windows is shown as a suitable tool for modeling temporal features to improve performance.
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spelling doaj.art-97fb94906dfd45fbaf5e524e3ad428eb2023-11-20T08:23:24ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202020-07-012015422410.3390/s20154224A New Architecture Based on IoT and Machine Learning Paradigms in Photovoltaic Systems to Nowcast Output EnergyGuillermo Almonacid-Olleros0Gabino Almonacid1Juan Ignacio Fernandez-Carrasco2Macarena Espinilla-Estevez3Javier Medina-Quero4Department of Electronic Engineering, Campus Las Lagunillas, 23071 Jaén, SpainDepartment of Electronic Engineering, Campus Las Lagunillas, 23071 Jaén, SpainDepartment of Electronic Engineering, Campus Las Lagunillas, 23071 Jaén, SpainDepartment of Computer Science, Campus Las Lagunillas, 23071 Jaén, SpainDepartment of Computer Science, Campus Las Lagunillas, 23071 Jaén, SpainThe classic models used to predict the behavior of photovoltaic systems, which are based on the physical process of the solar cell, are limited to defining the analytical equation to obtain its electrical parameter. In this paper, we evaluate several machine learning models to nowcast the behavior and energy production of a photovoltaic (PV) system in conjunction with ambient data provided by IoT environmental devices. We have evaluated the estimation of output power generation by human-crafted features with multiple temporal windows and deep learning approaches to obtain comparative results regarding the analytical models of PV systems in terms of error metrics and learning time. The ambient data and ground truth of energy production have been collected in a photovoltaic system with IoT capabilities developed within the Opera Digital Platform under the UniVer Project, which has been deployed for 20 years in the Campus of the University of Jaén (Spain). Machine learning models offer improved results compared with the state-of-the-art analytical model, with significant differences in learning time and performance. The use of multiple temporal windows is shown as a suitable tool for modeling temporal features to improve performance.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/20/15/4224photovoltaic systemsnowcasting energy generationtemporal windows
spellingShingle Guillermo Almonacid-Olleros
Gabino Almonacid
Juan Ignacio Fernandez-Carrasco
Macarena Espinilla-Estevez
Javier Medina-Quero
A New Architecture Based on IoT and Machine Learning Paradigms in Photovoltaic Systems to Nowcast Output Energy
Sensors
photovoltaic systems
nowcasting energy generation
temporal windows
title A New Architecture Based on IoT and Machine Learning Paradigms in Photovoltaic Systems to Nowcast Output Energy
title_full A New Architecture Based on IoT and Machine Learning Paradigms in Photovoltaic Systems to Nowcast Output Energy
title_fullStr A New Architecture Based on IoT and Machine Learning Paradigms in Photovoltaic Systems to Nowcast Output Energy
title_full_unstemmed A New Architecture Based on IoT and Machine Learning Paradigms in Photovoltaic Systems to Nowcast Output Energy
title_short A New Architecture Based on IoT and Machine Learning Paradigms in Photovoltaic Systems to Nowcast Output Energy
title_sort new architecture based on iot and machine learning paradigms in photovoltaic systems to nowcast output energy
topic photovoltaic systems
nowcasting energy generation
temporal windows
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/20/15/4224
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