Assessing mortality associated with heatwaves in the cool climate region of Tasmania, Australia
Background: Anthropogenic climate change is causing a rise in global temperatures, with this trend projected to increase into the future. Heatwaves are associated with a rise in preventable deaths, however this association is less well understood in regions experiencing cooler climates. Methods: We...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2024-05-01
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| Series: | The Journal of Climate Change and Health |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667278224000051 |
| _version_ | 1827239314106351616 |
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| author | Sharon L. Campbell Nicolas Borchers-Arriagada Grant J. Williamson Fay H. Johnston |
| author_facet | Sharon L. Campbell Nicolas Borchers-Arriagada Grant J. Williamson Fay H. Johnston |
| author_sort | Sharon L. Campbell |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Background: Anthropogenic climate change is causing a rise in global temperatures, with this trend projected to increase into the future. Heatwaves are associated with a rise in preventable deaths, however this association is less well understood in regions experiencing cooler climates. Methods: We used a space-time-stratified conditional Poisson (-quasi) regression analysis to assess if heatwaves were associated with all-cause mortality in Tasmania, Australia, for the period 2010–2018. Results: We found that across Tasmania, low-intensity heatwaves were relatively common, with less occurrence of severe and extreme heatwaves. We found that for all heatwave types combined, there was a rise in mortality of 8 % (RR=1.08, 95 %CI 1.01–1.16). For low-intensity heatwaves, we found mortality increased by 9 % (RR=1.09, 95 %CI 1.02–1.17). Conclusion: These results have health promotion and health protection policy and practice implications for Tasmanian healthcare services, and potentially other cooler climate regions around the world. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-24T12:50:11Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-982ccb4b9e5a4477891d9996b67a87ab |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2667-2782 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2025-03-21T21:06:43Z |
| publishDate | 2024-05-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | The Journal of Climate Change and Health |
| spelling | doaj.art-982ccb4b9e5a4477891d9996b67a87ab2024-05-30T04:57:59ZengElsevierThe Journal of Climate Change and Health2667-27822024-05-0117100302Assessing mortality associated with heatwaves in the cool climate region of Tasmania, AustraliaSharon L. Campbell0Nicolas Borchers-Arriagada1Grant J. Williamson2Fay H. Johnston3Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, 17 Liverpool St, Hobart, Tasmania 7000, Australia; Corresponding author at: Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, 17 Liverpool St, Hobart TAS 7000, Australia.Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, 17 Liverpool St, Hobart, Tasmania 7000, AustraliaSchool of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, College Rd, Sandy Bay, Tasmania 7000, AustraliaMenzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, 17 Liverpool St, Hobart, Tasmania 7000, Australia; Public Health Services, Department of Health (Tasmania), Level 1, 50 Elizabeth St, Hobart, Tasmania 7000, AustraliaBackground: Anthropogenic climate change is causing a rise in global temperatures, with this trend projected to increase into the future. Heatwaves are associated with a rise in preventable deaths, however this association is less well understood in regions experiencing cooler climates. Methods: We used a space-time-stratified conditional Poisson (-quasi) regression analysis to assess if heatwaves were associated with all-cause mortality in Tasmania, Australia, for the period 2010–2018. Results: We found that across Tasmania, low-intensity heatwaves were relatively common, with less occurrence of severe and extreme heatwaves. We found that for all heatwave types combined, there was a rise in mortality of 8 % (RR=1.08, 95 %CI 1.01–1.16). For low-intensity heatwaves, we found mortality increased by 9 % (RR=1.09, 95 %CI 1.02–1.17). Conclusion: These results have health promotion and health protection policy and practice implications for Tasmanian healthcare services, and potentially other cooler climate regions around the world.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667278224000051HeatwaveMortalityClimate changeTasmania |
| spellingShingle | Sharon L. Campbell Nicolas Borchers-Arriagada Grant J. Williamson Fay H. Johnston Assessing mortality associated with heatwaves in the cool climate region of Tasmania, Australia The Journal of Climate Change and Health Heatwave Mortality Climate change Tasmania |
| title | Assessing mortality associated with heatwaves in the cool climate region of Tasmania, Australia |
| title_full | Assessing mortality associated with heatwaves in the cool climate region of Tasmania, Australia |
| title_fullStr | Assessing mortality associated with heatwaves in the cool climate region of Tasmania, Australia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing mortality associated with heatwaves in the cool climate region of Tasmania, Australia |
| title_short | Assessing mortality associated with heatwaves in the cool climate region of Tasmania, Australia |
| title_sort | assessing mortality associated with heatwaves in the cool climate region of tasmania australia |
| topic | Heatwave Mortality Climate change Tasmania |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667278224000051 |
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