ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement
<p>The Arctic is warming at almost 4 times the global average rate. Here we reframe this amplified Arctic warming in terms of global climate ambition to show that without Arctic amplification, the world would breach the Paris Agreement's 1.5 and 2 <span class="inline-formula"...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2023-11-01
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| Series: | Earth System Dynamics |
| Online Access: | https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/14/1165/2023/esd-14-1165-2023.pdf |
| Summary: | <p>The Arctic is warming at almost 4 times the global average rate. Here we reframe this amplified Arctic warming in terms of global climate ambition to show that without Arctic amplification, the world would breach the Paris Agreement's 1.5 and 2 <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C limits 5 and 8 years later, respectively. We also find the Arctic to be a disproportionate contributor to uncertainty in the timing of breaches. The outsized influence of Arctic warming on global climate targets highlights the need for better modelling and monitoring of Arctic change.</p> |
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| ISSN: | 2190-4979 2190-4987 |