ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement
<p>The Arctic is warming at almost 4 times the global average rate. Here we reframe this amplified Arctic warming in terms of global climate ambition to show that without Arctic amplification, the world would breach the Paris Agreement's 1.5 and 2 <span class="inline-formula"...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2023-11-01
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| Series: | Earth System Dynamics |
| Online Access: | https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/14/1165/2023/esd-14-1165-2023.pdf |
| _version_ | 1797629003012505600 |
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| author | A. Duffey R. Mallett R. Mallett P. J. Irvine M. Tsamados J. Stroeve J. Stroeve J. Stroeve |
| author_facet | A. Duffey R. Mallett R. Mallett P. J. Irvine M. Tsamados J. Stroeve J. Stroeve J. Stroeve |
| author_sort | A. Duffey |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | <p>The Arctic is warming at almost 4 times the global average rate. Here we reframe this amplified Arctic warming in terms of global climate ambition to show that without Arctic amplification, the world would breach the Paris Agreement's 1.5 and 2 <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C limits 5 and 8 years later, respectively. We also find the Arctic to be a disproportionate contributor to uncertainty in the timing of breaches. The outsized influence of Arctic warming on global climate targets highlights the need for better modelling and monitoring of Arctic change.</p> |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-11T10:47:16Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-9833b6825d5c4e889148acfd193eeddf |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2190-4979 2190-4987 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-11T10:47:16Z |
| publishDate | 2023-11-01 |
| publisher | Copernicus Publications |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Earth System Dynamics |
| spelling | doaj.art-9833b6825d5c4e889148acfd193eeddf2023-11-14T00:02:13ZengCopernicus PublicationsEarth System Dynamics2190-49792190-49872023-11-01141165116910.5194/esd-14-1165-2023ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris AgreementA. Duffey0R. Mallett1R. Mallett2P. J. Irvine3M. Tsamados4J. Stroeve5J. Stroeve6J. Stroeve7Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, Earth Sciences, UCL, London, UKCentre for Polar Observation and Modelling, Earth Sciences, UCL, London, UKCentre for Earth Observation Science, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, CanadaEarth Sciences, UCL, London, UKCentre for Polar Observation and Modelling, Earth Sciences, UCL, London, UKCentre for Polar Observation and Modelling, Earth Sciences, UCL, London, UKCentre for Earth Observation Science, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, CanadaNational Snow and Ice Data Center, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, USA<p>The Arctic is warming at almost 4 times the global average rate. Here we reframe this amplified Arctic warming in terms of global climate ambition to show that without Arctic amplification, the world would breach the Paris Agreement's 1.5 and 2 <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C limits 5 and 8 years later, respectively. We also find the Arctic to be a disproportionate contributor to uncertainty in the timing of breaches. The outsized influence of Arctic warming on global climate targets highlights the need for better modelling and monitoring of Arctic change.</p>https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/14/1165/2023/esd-14-1165-2023.pdf |
| spellingShingle | A. Duffey R. Mallett R. Mallett P. J. Irvine M. Tsamados J. Stroeve J. Stroeve J. Stroeve ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement Earth System Dynamics |
| title | ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
| title_full | ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
| title_fullStr | ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
| title_full_unstemmed | ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
| title_short | ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
| title_sort | esd ideas arctic amplification s contribution to breaches of the paris agreement |
| url | https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/14/1165/2023/esd-14-1165-2023.pdf |
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