Spatial Modeling of Forest and Land Fire Susceptibility Using the Information Value Method in Kotawaringin Barat Regency, Indonesia
Kotawaringin Barat is a high-risk area for forest and land fires; a total of 564.13 km<sup>2</sup> of forest land was burned from 2015 to 2022, the majority of which spread to peatlands. The goal of this contribution is to use the information value method (IVM) to construct forest and la...
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| Format: | Article |
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MDPI AG
2023-04-01
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| Series: | Fire |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/6/4/170 |
| _version_ | 1797605522191417344 |
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| author | Arman Nur Ikhsan Danang Sri Hadmoko Prima Widayani |
| author_facet | Arman Nur Ikhsan Danang Sri Hadmoko Prima Widayani |
| author_sort | Arman Nur Ikhsan |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Kotawaringin Barat is a high-risk area for forest and land fires; a total of 564.13 km<sup>2</sup> of forest land was burned from 2015 to 2022, the majority of which spread to peatlands. The goal of this contribution is to use the information value method (IVM) to construct forest and land fire spatial susceptibility maps for the Kotawaringin Barat regency. MODIS hotspots from 2016 to 2020 were used as the dependent variable, with six independent variables included in the modeling. According to the data, there were 925 hotspots detected in Kotawaringin Barat between 2016 and 2020. The areas closest to rivers and roads are more susceptible to forest and land fires, while the areas closest to settlements are safer. Flat slopes have an IVM of 0.697, while peatlands have an IVM of 0.667, making them the most susceptible to forest and land fires. Furthermore, the most susceptive land covers are swamps (IVM = 1.071) and shrublands (IVM = 0.024). According to the IVM model of susceptibility mapping, Kotawaringin Barat is categorized as very high (18.32%) and high (27.97%) risk. About 33.57% of the study area is classified as moderately susceptible, while the remaining 20.14% is classified as low risk. The accuracy of the IVM for forest and land fires is 66.87% (AUC), indicating that the model can be used for susceptibility assessments particularly for very high to high susceptibility areas. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-11T05:02:17Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-98440fa04d514913a85e20eb64707513 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2571-6255 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-11T05:02:17Z |
| publishDate | 2023-04-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Fire |
| spelling | doaj.art-98440fa04d514913a85e20eb647075132023-11-17T19:12:10ZengMDPI AGFire2571-62552023-04-016417010.3390/fire6040170Spatial Modeling of Forest and Land Fire Susceptibility Using the Information Value Method in Kotawaringin Barat Regency, IndonesiaArman Nur Ikhsan0Danang Sri Hadmoko1Prima Widayani2Department of Environmental Science, The Graduate School, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta 55284, IndonesiaDepartment of Environmental Geography, Faculty of Geography, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta 55281, IndonesiaDepartment of Geographic Information Sciences, Faculty of Geography, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta 55281, IndonesiaKotawaringin Barat is a high-risk area for forest and land fires; a total of 564.13 km<sup>2</sup> of forest land was burned from 2015 to 2022, the majority of which spread to peatlands. The goal of this contribution is to use the information value method (IVM) to construct forest and land fire spatial susceptibility maps for the Kotawaringin Barat regency. MODIS hotspots from 2016 to 2020 were used as the dependent variable, with six independent variables included in the modeling. According to the data, there were 925 hotspots detected in Kotawaringin Barat between 2016 and 2020. The areas closest to rivers and roads are more susceptible to forest and land fires, while the areas closest to settlements are safer. Flat slopes have an IVM of 0.697, while peatlands have an IVM of 0.667, making them the most susceptible to forest and land fires. Furthermore, the most susceptive land covers are swamps (IVM = 1.071) and shrublands (IVM = 0.024). According to the IVM model of susceptibility mapping, Kotawaringin Barat is categorized as very high (18.32%) and high (27.97%) risk. About 33.57% of the study area is classified as moderately susceptible, while the remaining 20.14% is classified as low risk. The accuracy of the IVM for forest and land fires is 66.87% (AUC), indicating that the model can be used for susceptibility assessments particularly for very high to high susceptibility areas.https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/6/4/170forest and land firessusceptibilityGISinformation value methodIndonesia |
| spellingShingle | Arman Nur Ikhsan Danang Sri Hadmoko Prima Widayani Spatial Modeling of Forest and Land Fire Susceptibility Using the Information Value Method in Kotawaringin Barat Regency, Indonesia Fire forest and land fires susceptibility GIS information value method Indonesia |
| title | Spatial Modeling of Forest and Land Fire Susceptibility Using the Information Value Method in Kotawaringin Barat Regency, Indonesia |
| title_full | Spatial Modeling of Forest and Land Fire Susceptibility Using the Information Value Method in Kotawaringin Barat Regency, Indonesia |
| title_fullStr | Spatial Modeling of Forest and Land Fire Susceptibility Using the Information Value Method in Kotawaringin Barat Regency, Indonesia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Spatial Modeling of Forest and Land Fire Susceptibility Using the Information Value Method in Kotawaringin Barat Regency, Indonesia |
| title_short | Spatial Modeling of Forest and Land Fire Susceptibility Using the Information Value Method in Kotawaringin Barat Regency, Indonesia |
| title_sort | spatial modeling of forest and land fire susceptibility using the information value method in kotawaringin barat regency indonesia |
| topic | forest and land fires susceptibility GIS information value method Indonesia |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/6/4/170 |
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