Spatial-temporal risk factors in the occurrence of rabies in Mexico
Rabies is a zoonotic disease that affects livestock worldwide. The distribution of rabies is highly correlated with the distribution of the vampire bat Desmodus rotundus, the main vector of the disease. In this study, climatic, topographic, livestock population, vampire distribution and urban and r...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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PAGEPress Publications
2024-01-01
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| Series: | Geospatial Health |
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| Online Access: | https://geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/1245 |
| _version_ | 1827368547281534976 |
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| author | Reyna Ortega-Sánchez Isabel Bárcenas-Reyes Jesús Luna-Cozar Edith Rojas-Anaya José Quintín Cuador-Gil Germinal Jorge Cantó-Alarcón Nerina Veyna-Salazar Sara González-Ruiz Feliciano Milián-Suazo |
| author_facet | Reyna Ortega-Sánchez Isabel Bárcenas-Reyes Jesús Luna-Cozar Edith Rojas-Anaya José Quintín Cuador-Gil Germinal Jorge Cantó-Alarcón Nerina Veyna-Salazar Sara González-Ruiz Feliciano Milián-Suazo |
| author_sort | Reyna Ortega-Sánchez |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
Rabies is a zoonotic disease that affects livestock worldwide. The distribution of rabies is highly correlated with the distribution of the vampire bat Desmodus rotundus, the main vector of the disease. In this study, climatic, topographic, livestock population, vampire distribution and urban and rural zones were used to estimate the risk for presentation of cases of rabies in Mexico by co- Kriging interpolation. The highest risk for the presentation of cases is in the endemic areas of the disease, i.e. the States of Yucatán, Chiapas, Campeche, Quintana Roo, Tabasco, Veracruz, San Luis Potosí, Nayarit and Baja California Sur. A transition zone for cases was identified across northern Mexico, involving the States of Sonora, Sinaloa, Chihuahua, and Durango. The variables topography, vampire distribution, bovine population and rural zones are the most important to explain the risk of cases in livestock. This study provides robust estimates of risk and spread of rabies based on geostatistical methods. The information presented should be useful for authorities responsible of public and animal health when they plan and establish strategies preventing the spread of rabies into rabies-free regions of México.
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| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T09:33:06Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-98d57e5aa0984c728a8fd6be67fb7a0c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1827-1987 1970-7096 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-08T09:33:06Z |
| publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
| publisher | PAGEPress Publications |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Geospatial Health |
| spelling | doaj.art-98d57e5aa0984c728a8fd6be67fb7a0c2024-01-30T20:08:59ZengPAGEPress PublicationsGeospatial Health1827-19871970-70962024-01-0119110.4081/gh.2024.1245Spatial-temporal risk factors in the occurrence of rabies in MexicoReyna Ortega-Sánchez0Isabel Bárcenas-Reyes1Jesús Luna-Cozar2Edith Rojas-Anaya3José Quintín Cuador-Gil4Germinal Jorge Cantó-Alarcón5Nerina Veyna-Salazar6Sara González-Ruiz7Feliciano Milián-Suazo8Faculty of Natural Sciences, Autonomous University of Querétaro, Querétaro, Mexico; PhD Program in Biological Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Autonomous University of Querétaro, QuerétaroFaculty of Natural Sciences, Autonomous University of Querétaro, QuerétaroFaculty of Natural Sciences, Autonomous University of Querétaro, QuerétaroNational Center for Genetic Resources, National Institute of Forestry, Agricultural and Livestock Research, JaliscoDepartment of Physics, “Hermanos Saíz Montes de Oca” University of Pinar del Rio, Pinar del RíoFaculty of Natural Sciences, Autonomous University of Querétaro, QuerétaroFaculty of Natural Sciences, Autonomous University of Querétaro, Querétaro, Mexico; PhD Program in Biological Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Autonomous University of Querétaro, QuerétaroFaculty of Natural Sciences, Autonomous University of Querétaro, QuerétaroFaculty of Natural Sciences, Autonomous University of Querétaro, Querétaro Rabies is a zoonotic disease that affects livestock worldwide. The distribution of rabies is highly correlated with the distribution of the vampire bat Desmodus rotundus, the main vector of the disease. In this study, climatic, topographic, livestock population, vampire distribution and urban and rural zones were used to estimate the risk for presentation of cases of rabies in Mexico by co- Kriging interpolation. The highest risk for the presentation of cases is in the endemic areas of the disease, i.e. the States of Yucatán, Chiapas, Campeche, Quintana Roo, Tabasco, Veracruz, San Luis Potosí, Nayarit and Baja California Sur. A transition zone for cases was identified across northern Mexico, involving the States of Sonora, Sinaloa, Chihuahua, and Durango. The variables topography, vampire distribution, bovine population and rural zones are the most important to explain the risk of cases in livestock. This study provides robust estimates of risk and spread of rabies based on geostatistical methods. The information presented should be useful for authorities responsible of public and animal health when they plan and establish strategies preventing the spread of rabies into rabies-free regions of México. https://geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/1245Co-krigingrabiescattlewildlifeepidemiologyMexico |
| spellingShingle | Reyna Ortega-Sánchez Isabel Bárcenas-Reyes Jesús Luna-Cozar Edith Rojas-Anaya José Quintín Cuador-Gil Germinal Jorge Cantó-Alarcón Nerina Veyna-Salazar Sara González-Ruiz Feliciano Milián-Suazo Spatial-temporal risk factors in the occurrence of rabies in Mexico Geospatial Health Co-kriging rabies cattle wildlife epidemiology Mexico |
| title | Spatial-temporal risk factors in the occurrence of rabies in Mexico |
| title_full | Spatial-temporal risk factors in the occurrence of rabies in Mexico |
| title_fullStr | Spatial-temporal risk factors in the occurrence of rabies in Mexico |
| title_full_unstemmed | Spatial-temporal risk factors in the occurrence of rabies in Mexico |
| title_short | Spatial-temporal risk factors in the occurrence of rabies in Mexico |
| title_sort | spatial temporal risk factors in the occurrence of rabies in mexico |
| topic | Co-kriging rabies cattle wildlife epidemiology Mexico |
| url | https://geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/1245 |
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