Expected impacts of climate change on forests: Czech Republic as a case study

We provide fundamental information about the future development of selected climate elements in relation to anticipated threat to forests in the Czech Republic. All analyses were carried out in relation to four elevation zones with specific potential forest vegetation - up to 350 m a.s.l. (oak domin...

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Main Authors: T. Hlásny, J. Holuša, P. Štěpánek, M. Turčáni, N. Polčák
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences 2011-10-01
Series:Journal of Forest Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jfs.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/jfs-201110-0002_expected-impacts-of-climate-change-on-forests-czech-republic-as-a-case-study.php
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author T. Hlásny
J. Holuša
P. Štěpánek
M. Turčáni
N. Polčák
author_facet T. Hlásny
J. Holuša
P. Štěpánek
M. Turčáni
N. Polčák
author_sort T. Hlásny
collection DOAJ
description We provide fundamental information about the future development of selected climate elements in relation to anticipated threat to forests in the Czech Republic. All analyses were carried out in relation to four elevation zones with specific potential forest vegetation - up to 350 m a.s.l. (oak dominance), 350-600 m a.s.l. (beech dominance), 600-900 m a.s.l. (beech-fir dominance), 900-1,100 m a.s.l. (spruce dominance). We found out that while the projected increase in mean annual air temperature is almost constant over the Czech Republic (+3.25-3.5°C in the distant future), the frequency of heat spells at lower elevations is expected to increase dramatically compared to higher elevations. The precipitation totals during the vegetation season are projected to increase in the near future by up to 10% and to decrease in the distant future by up to 10% over all vegetation zones. In general, drought is presumed to become a key limiting factor at lower elevations, while increased temperature along with the prolonged vegetation season at higher elevations can be beneficial to forest vegetation. Consequently, northward progression of forest tree species and retraction of the species lower distribution range are a generic response pattern. Such impacts are presumed to be accompanied by changes in the distribution and population dynamics of pests and pathogens. Mainly the impacts on two key forest pests, Ips typographus and Lymantria dispar, are discussed.
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spelling doaj.art-98ec6217ccdb4ef6853c93c104e85e2a2023-02-23T03:42:16ZengCzech Academy of Agricultural SciencesJournal of Forest Science1212-48341805-935X2011-10-01571042243110.17221/103/2010-JFSjfs-201110-0002Expected impacts of climate change on forests: Czech Republic as a case studyT. Hlásny0J. Holuša1P. Štěpánek2M. Turčáni3N. Polčák4Department of Ecology and Biodiversity of Forest Ecosystems, National Forest Centre - Forest Research Institute, Zvolen, SlovakiaFaculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech RepublicCzech Hydrometeorological Institute, Brno, Czech RepublicFaculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech RepublicFaculty of Natural Science, Matej Bel University, Banská Bystrica, SlovakiaWe provide fundamental information about the future development of selected climate elements in relation to anticipated threat to forests in the Czech Republic. All analyses were carried out in relation to four elevation zones with specific potential forest vegetation - up to 350 m a.s.l. (oak dominance), 350-600 m a.s.l. (beech dominance), 600-900 m a.s.l. (beech-fir dominance), 900-1,100 m a.s.l. (spruce dominance). We found out that while the projected increase in mean annual air temperature is almost constant over the Czech Republic (+3.25-3.5°C in the distant future), the frequency of heat spells at lower elevations is expected to increase dramatically compared to higher elevations. The precipitation totals during the vegetation season are projected to increase in the near future by up to 10% and to decrease in the distant future by up to 10% over all vegetation zones. In general, drought is presumed to become a key limiting factor at lower elevations, while increased temperature along with the prolonged vegetation season at higher elevations can be beneficial to forest vegetation. Consequently, northward progression of forest tree species and retraction of the species lower distribution range are a generic response pattern. Such impacts are presumed to be accompanied by changes in the distribution and population dynamics of pests and pathogens. Mainly the impacts on two key forest pests, Ips typographus and Lymantria dispar, are discussed.https://jfs.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/jfs-201110-0002_expected-impacts-of-climate-change-on-forests-czech-republic-as-a-case-study.phpelevation zonesdrought stressheat spellsforest growth and distributionforest pests and pathogens
spellingShingle T. Hlásny
J. Holuša
P. Štěpánek
M. Turčáni
N. Polčák
Expected impacts of climate change on forests: Czech Republic as a case study
Journal of Forest Science
elevation zones
drought stress
heat spells
forest growth and distribution
forest pests and pathogens
title Expected impacts of climate change on forests: Czech Republic as a case study
title_full Expected impacts of climate change on forests: Czech Republic as a case study
title_fullStr Expected impacts of climate change on forests: Czech Republic as a case study
title_full_unstemmed Expected impacts of climate change on forests: Czech Republic as a case study
title_short Expected impacts of climate change on forests: Czech Republic as a case study
title_sort expected impacts of climate change on forests czech republic as a case study
topic elevation zones
drought stress
heat spells
forest growth and distribution
forest pests and pathogens
url https://jfs.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/jfs-201110-0002_expected-impacts-of-climate-change-on-forests-czech-republic-as-a-case-study.php
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