Factors associated with the onset and survival of subsequent primary breast cancer in female non‐metastatic breast cancer survivors

Abstract This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for the onset of subsequent primary breast cancer (SPBC) in women with a previous diagnosis of early‐stage breast cancer (BC) and to construct a prognostic prediction model for patients with SPBC. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End...

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Main Authors: Shunshun Liang, Rongwu Xiang, Shubing Jia, Sihan Zhou, Hongmiao Lian, YunChun Hu, Qian Cheng, Mingyi Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-03-01
Series:Precision Medical Sciences
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/prm2.12122
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author Shunshun Liang
Rongwu Xiang
Shubing Jia
Sihan Zhou
Hongmiao Lian
YunChun Hu
Qian Cheng
Mingyi Zhao
author_facet Shunshun Liang
Rongwu Xiang
Shubing Jia
Sihan Zhou
Hongmiao Lian
YunChun Hu
Qian Cheng
Mingyi Zhao
author_sort Shunshun Liang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for the onset of subsequent primary breast cancer (SPBC) in women with a previous diagnosis of early‐stage breast cancer (BC) and to construct a prognostic prediction model for patients with SPBC. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results‐17 (SEER‐17) database, we conducted a retrospective cohort analysis on women with initial primary early‐stage BC from 2004 to 2015. Standardized incidence ratio (SIR) was calculated to determine the risk of subsequent primary cancer (SPC). A competing risk model was built to identify the risk factors for the onset of SPBC. And risk factors associated with breast cancer‐specific mortality in SPBC patients were evaluated and presented in the form of nomogram. Compared with the general population, the overall risk of SPC for all sites was significantly elevated in women with early‐stage BC (SIR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.20–1.23), and breast is the most frequent site. Age, race and ethnicity, year of diagnosis, history of other tumors, histological type, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, tumor size, positive lymph nodes numbers and ER status were independent risk factors (p < .05) for the onset of SPBC. A new prognosis nomogram demonstrated good discrimination after internal validation with a C‐index of 0.869 (95% CI: 0.859–0.880), and showed favorable consistency and clinical usefulness. The incidence of SPBC and prognosis of patients with SPBC were well estimated based on a large cohort. Our nomogram model had excellent prediction performance and could be a useful tool to predict prognosis.
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spelling doaj.art-98f039cfdfa9443380b4c7faef1552142024-04-15T00:19:33ZengWileyPrecision Medical Sciences2642-25142024-03-01131294210.1002/prm2.12122Factors associated with the onset and survival of subsequent primary breast cancer in female non‐metastatic breast cancer survivorsShunshun Liang0Rongwu Xiang1Shubing Jia2Sihan Zhou3Hongmiao Lian4YunChun Hu5Qian Cheng6Mingyi Zhao7Faculty of Life Science and Biopharmaceutics Shenyang Pharmaceutical University Shenyang ChinaSchool of Medical Devices Shenyang Pharmaceutical University Shenyang ChinaDepartment of Clinical Pharmacy Shenyang Pharmaceutical University Shenyang ChinaFaculty of Life Science and Biopharmaceutics Shenyang Pharmaceutical University Shenyang ChinaFaculty of Life Science and Biopharmaceutics Shenyang Pharmaceutical University Shenyang ChinaFaculty of Life Science and Biopharmaceutics Shenyang Pharmaceutical University Shenyang ChinaFaculty of Life Science and Biopharmaceutics Shenyang Pharmaceutical University Shenyang ChinaDepartment of Clinical Pharmacy Shenyang Pharmaceutical University Shenyang ChinaAbstract This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for the onset of subsequent primary breast cancer (SPBC) in women with a previous diagnosis of early‐stage breast cancer (BC) and to construct a prognostic prediction model for patients with SPBC. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results‐17 (SEER‐17) database, we conducted a retrospective cohort analysis on women with initial primary early‐stage BC from 2004 to 2015. Standardized incidence ratio (SIR) was calculated to determine the risk of subsequent primary cancer (SPC). A competing risk model was built to identify the risk factors for the onset of SPBC. And risk factors associated with breast cancer‐specific mortality in SPBC patients were evaluated and presented in the form of nomogram. Compared with the general population, the overall risk of SPC for all sites was significantly elevated in women with early‐stage BC (SIR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.20–1.23), and breast is the most frequent site. Age, race and ethnicity, year of diagnosis, history of other tumors, histological type, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, tumor size, positive lymph nodes numbers and ER status were independent risk factors (p < .05) for the onset of SPBC. A new prognosis nomogram demonstrated good discrimination after internal validation with a C‐index of 0.869 (95% CI: 0.859–0.880), and showed favorable consistency and clinical usefulness. The incidence of SPBC and prognosis of patients with SPBC were well estimated based on a large cohort. Our nomogram model had excellent prediction performance and could be a useful tool to predict prognosis.https://doi.org/10.1002/prm2.12122
spellingShingle Shunshun Liang
Rongwu Xiang
Shubing Jia
Sihan Zhou
Hongmiao Lian
YunChun Hu
Qian Cheng
Mingyi Zhao
Factors associated with the onset and survival of subsequent primary breast cancer in female non‐metastatic breast cancer survivors
Precision Medical Sciences
title Factors associated with the onset and survival of subsequent primary breast cancer in female non‐metastatic breast cancer survivors
title_full Factors associated with the onset and survival of subsequent primary breast cancer in female non‐metastatic breast cancer survivors
title_fullStr Factors associated with the onset and survival of subsequent primary breast cancer in female non‐metastatic breast cancer survivors
title_full_unstemmed Factors associated with the onset and survival of subsequent primary breast cancer in female non‐metastatic breast cancer survivors
title_short Factors associated with the onset and survival of subsequent primary breast cancer in female non‐metastatic breast cancer survivors
title_sort factors associated with the onset and survival of subsequent primary breast cancer in female non metastatic breast cancer survivors
url https://doi.org/10.1002/prm2.12122
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