Risk Assessment and Response Strategy for Pig Epidemics in China

Strengthening the analysis and risk assessment of the pig epidemic will help to better prevent and mitigate epidemic risks and promote the high-quality development of the pig industry. Based on a systematic understanding of live pig epidemics, a risk assessment index system was constructed, and the...

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Main Authors: Zizhong Shi, Junru Li, Xiangdong Hu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-07-01
Series:Veterinary Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2306-7381/10/8/485
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author Zizhong Shi
Junru Li
Xiangdong Hu
author_facet Zizhong Shi
Junru Li
Xiangdong Hu
author_sort Zizhong Shi
collection DOAJ
description Strengthening the analysis and risk assessment of the pig epidemic will help to better prevent and mitigate epidemic risks and promote the high-quality development of the pig industry. Based on a systematic understanding of live pig epidemics, a risk assessment index system was constructed, and the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of pig epidemics in China were explored by the entropy method. In recent years, the overall trend in pig epidemics over time first increased and then decreased; in space, the acceleration of the spread of epidemics across the country weakened. China still faces challenges, including many types and a wide range of diseases, large total livestock breeding and weak epidemic prevention and control capacity, and a large risk of introduced foreign animal epidemics. The spatial and temporal variations in the pig epidemic risk were obvious; one high-risk area, two medium–high-risk areas and 10 medium-risk areas have been found in recent years, during which time, the epidemic risk was highest in Beijing, Hainan, Liaoning, Tibet and Zhejiang. However, there were significant differences in the regional distribution of the risk level of pig epidemics in different years. To further build a secure “defense system” for the high-quality development of the pig industry, it is recommended to improve the monitoring and early warning system of pig epidemic risk, perfect the pig epidemic prevention and control system, and strengthen the regional collaboration mechanism of epidemic prevention and control.
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spelling doaj.art-9903c29b73e347d385f6d91a3d68dccf2023-11-19T03:18:36ZengMDPI AGVeterinary Sciences2306-73812023-07-0110848510.3390/vetsci10080485Risk Assessment and Response Strategy for Pig Epidemics in ChinaZizhong Shi0Junru Li1Xiangdong Hu2Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, ChinaCollege of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, ChinaInstitute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, ChinaStrengthening the analysis and risk assessment of the pig epidemic will help to better prevent and mitigate epidemic risks and promote the high-quality development of the pig industry. Based on a systematic understanding of live pig epidemics, a risk assessment index system was constructed, and the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of pig epidemics in China were explored by the entropy method. In recent years, the overall trend in pig epidemics over time first increased and then decreased; in space, the acceleration of the spread of epidemics across the country weakened. China still faces challenges, including many types and a wide range of diseases, large total livestock breeding and weak epidemic prevention and control capacity, and a large risk of introduced foreign animal epidemics. The spatial and temporal variations in the pig epidemic risk were obvious; one high-risk area, two medium–high-risk areas and 10 medium-risk areas have been found in recent years, during which time, the epidemic risk was highest in Beijing, Hainan, Liaoning, Tibet and Zhejiang. However, there were significant differences in the regional distribution of the risk level of pig epidemics in different years. To further build a secure “defense system” for the high-quality development of the pig industry, it is recommended to improve the monitoring and early warning system of pig epidemic risk, perfect the pig epidemic prevention and control system, and strengthen the regional collaboration mechanism of epidemic prevention and control.https://www.mdpi.com/2306-7381/10/8/485piganimal diseaseAfrican swine feverrisk assessmentpolicy recommendations
spellingShingle Zizhong Shi
Junru Li
Xiangdong Hu
Risk Assessment and Response Strategy for Pig Epidemics in China
Veterinary Sciences
pig
animal disease
African swine fever
risk assessment
policy recommendations
title Risk Assessment and Response Strategy for Pig Epidemics in China
title_full Risk Assessment and Response Strategy for Pig Epidemics in China
title_fullStr Risk Assessment and Response Strategy for Pig Epidemics in China
title_full_unstemmed Risk Assessment and Response Strategy for Pig Epidemics in China
title_short Risk Assessment and Response Strategy for Pig Epidemics in China
title_sort risk assessment and response strategy for pig epidemics in china
topic pig
animal disease
African swine fever
risk assessment
policy recommendations
url https://www.mdpi.com/2306-7381/10/8/485
work_keys_str_mv AT zizhongshi riskassessmentandresponsestrategyforpigepidemicsinchina
AT junruli riskassessmentandresponsestrategyforpigepidemicsinchina
AT xiangdonghu riskassessmentandresponsestrategyforpigepidemicsinchina