The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in São Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs.
We analyze the trade-offs between health and the economy during the period of social distancing in São Paulo, the state hardest hit by the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil. We use longitudinal data with municipal-level information and check the robustness of our estimates to several sources of bias, incl...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2021-01-01
|
| Series: | PLoS ONE |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245011 |
| _version_ | 1819140786479955968 |
|---|---|
| author | Alexandre Gori Maia Leticia Marteleto Cristina Guimarães Rodrigues Luiz Gustavo Sereno |
| author_facet | Alexandre Gori Maia Leticia Marteleto Cristina Guimarães Rodrigues Luiz Gustavo Sereno |
| author_sort | Alexandre Gori Maia |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | We analyze the trade-offs between health and the economy during the period of social distancing in São Paulo, the state hardest hit by the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil. We use longitudinal data with municipal-level information and check the robustness of our estimates to several sources of bias, including spatial dependence, reverse causality, and time-variant omitted variables. We use exogenous climate shocks as instruments for social distancing since people are more likely to stay home in wetter and colder periods. Our findings suggest that the health benefits of social distancing differ by levels of municipal development and may have vanished if the COVID-19 spread was not controlled in neighboring municipalities. In turn, we did not find evidence that municipalities with tougher social distancing performed worse economically. Our results also highlight that estimates that do not account for endogeneity may largely underestimate the benefits of social distancing on reducing the spread of COVID-19. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-22T11:44:05Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-993551115744465c87b4279a9548ba4a |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1932-6203 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-22T11:44:05Z |
| publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
| publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | PLoS ONE |
| spelling | doaj.art-993551115744465c87b4279a9548ba4a2022-12-21T18:27:12ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032021-01-01162e024501110.1371/journal.pone.0245011The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in São Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs.Alexandre Gori MaiaLeticia MarteletoCristina Guimarães RodriguesLuiz Gustavo SerenoWe analyze the trade-offs between health and the economy during the period of social distancing in São Paulo, the state hardest hit by the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil. We use longitudinal data with municipal-level information and check the robustness of our estimates to several sources of bias, including spatial dependence, reverse causality, and time-variant omitted variables. We use exogenous climate shocks as instruments for social distancing since people are more likely to stay home in wetter and colder periods. Our findings suggest that the health benefits of social distancing differ by levels of municipal development and may have vanished if the COVID-19 spread was not controlled in neighboring municipalities. In turn, we did not find evidence that municipalities with tougher social distancing performed worse economically. Our results also highlight that estimates that do not account for endogeneity may largely underestimate the benefits of social distancing on reducing the spread of COVID-19.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245011 |
| spellingShingle | Alexandre Gori Maia Leticia Marteleto Cristina Guimarães Rodrigues Luiz Gustavo Sereno The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in São Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs. PLoS ONE |
| title | The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in São Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs. |
| title_full | The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in São Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs. |
| title_fullStr | The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in São Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs. |
| title_full_unstemmed | The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in São Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs. |
| title_short | The short-term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in São Paulo: The health-economy trade-offs. |
| title_sort | short term impacts of coronavirus quarantine in sao paulo the health economy trade offs |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245011 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT alexandregorimaia theshorttermimpactsofcoronavirusquarantineinsaopaulothehealtheconomytradeoffs AT leticiamarteleto theshorttermimpactsofcoronavirusquarantineinsaopaulothehealtheconomytradeoffs AT cristinaguimaraesrodrigues theshorttermimpactsofcoronavirusquarantineinsaopaulothehealtheconomytradeoffs AT luizgustavosereno theshorttermimpactsofcoronavirusquarantineinsaopaulothehealtheconomytradeoffs AT alexandregorimaia shorttermimpactsofcoronavirusquarantineinsaopaulothehealtheconomytradeoffs AT leticiamarteleto shorttermimpactsofcoronavirusquarantineinsaopaulothehealtheconomytradeoffs AT cristinaguimaraesrodrigues shorttermimpactsofcoronavirusquarantineinsaopaulothehealtheconomytradeoffs AT luizgustavosereno shorttermimpactsofcoronavirusquarantineinsaopaulothehealtheconomytradeoffs |