Analyses of Long-Term Epidemic Trends and Evolution Characteristics of Haplotype Subtypes Reveal the Dynamic Selection on SARS-CoV-2

The scale of SARS-CoV-2 infection and death is so enormous that further study of the molecular and evolutionary characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 will help us better understand and respond to SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks. The present study analyzed the epidemic and evolutionary characteristics of haplotype subt...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Binbin Xi, Yuhuan Meng, Dawei Jiang, Yunmeng Bai, Zixi Chen, Yimo Qu, Shuhua Li, Jinfen Wei, Lizhen Huang, Hongli Du
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-02-01
Series:Viruses
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/14/3/454
_version_ 1797441097379610624
author Binbin Xi
Yuhuan Meng
Dawei Jiang
Yunmeng Bai
Zixi Chen
Yimo Qu
Shuhua Li
Jinfen Wei
Lizhen Huang
Hongli Du
author_facet Binbin Xi
Yuhuan Meng
Dawei Jiang
Yunmeng Bai
Zixi Chen
Yimo Qu
Shuhua Li
Jinfen Wei
Lizhen Huang
Hongli Du
author_sort Binbin Xi
collection DOAJ
description The scale of SARS-CoV-2 infection and death is so enormous that further study of the molecular and evolutionary characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 will help us better understand and respond to SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks. The present study analyzed the epidemic and evolutionary characteristics of haplotype subtypes or regions based on 1.8 million high-quality SARS-CoV-2 genomic data. The estimated ratio of the rates of non-synonymous to synonymous changes (Ka/Ks) in North America and the United States were always more than 1.0, while the Ka/Ks in other continents and countries showed a sharp decline, then a slow increase to 1.0, and a dramatic increase over time. H1 (B.1) with the highest substitution rate has become the most dominant haplotype subtype since March 2020 and has evolved into multiple haplotype subtypes with smaller substitution rates. Many evolutionary characteristics of early SARS-CoV-2, such as H3 being the only early haplotype subtype that existed for the shortest time, the global prevalence of H1 and H1-5 (B.1.1) within a month after being detected, and many high divergent genome sequences early in February 2020, indicate the missing of early SARS-CoV-2 genomic data. SARS-CoV-2 experienced dynamic selection from December 2019 to August 2021 and has been under strong positive selection since May 2021. Its transmissibility and the ability of immune escape may be greatly enhanced over time. This will bring greater challenges to the control of the pandemic.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T12:19:01Z
format Article
id doaj.art-998551fe23ab4db6ae2754366e788d38
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1999-4915
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T12:19:01Z
publishDate 2022-02-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Viruses
spelling doaj.art-998551fe23ab4db6ae2754366e788d382023-11-30T22:43:41ZengMDPI AGViruses1999-49152022-02-0114345410.3390/v14030454Analyses of Long-Term Epidemic Trends and Evolution Characteristics of Haplotype Subtypes Reveal the Dynamic Selection on SARS-CoV-2Binbin Xi0Yuhuan Meng1Dawei Jiang2Yunmeng Bai3Zixi Chen4Yimo Qu5Shuhua Li6Jinfen Wei7Lizhen Huang8Hongli Du9School of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaGuangzhou KingMed Transformative Medicine Institute Co., Ltd., Guangzhou KingMed Center for Clinical Laboratory Co., Ltd. & Guangzhou KingMed Diagnostics Group Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510220, ChinaSchool of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaSchool of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaSchool of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaSchool of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaSchool of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaSchool of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaSchool of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaSchool of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaThe scale of SARS-CoV-2 infection and death is so enormous that further study of the molecular and evolutionary characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 will help us better understand and respond to SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks. The present study analyzed the epidemic and evolutionary characteristics of haplotype subtypes or regions based on 1.8 million high-quality SARS-CoV-2 genomic data. The estimated ratio of the rates of non-synonymous to synonymous changes (Ka/Ks) in North America and the United States were always more than 1.0, while the Ka/Ks in other continents and countries showed a sharp decline, then a slow increase to 1.0, and a dramatic increase over time. H1 (B.1) with the highest substitution rate has become the most dominant haplotype subtype since March 2020 and has evolved into multiple haplotype subtypes with smaller substitution rates. Many evolutionary characteristics of early SARS-CoV-2, such as H3 being the only early haplotype subtype that existed for the shortest time, the global prevalence of H1 and H1-5 (B.1.1) within a month after being detected, and many high divergent genome sequences early in February 2020, indicate the missing of early SARS-CoV-2 genomic data. SARS-CoV-2 experienced dynamic selection from December 2019 to August 2021 and has been under strong positive selection since May 2021. Its transmissibility and the ability of immune escape may be greatly enhanced over time. This will bring greater challenges to the control of the pandemic.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/14/3/454SARS-CoV-2haplotype subtypesevolutionepidemic trendsKa/Kssubstitution rate
spellingShingle Binbin Xi
Yuhuan Meng
Dawei Jiang
Yunmeng Bai
Zixi Chen
Yimo Qu
Shuhua Li
Jinfen Wei
Lizhen Huang
Hongli Du
Analyses of Long-Term Epidemic Trends and Evolution Characteristics of Haplotype Subtypes Reveal the Dynamic Selection on SARS-CoV-2
Viruses
SARS-CoV-2
haplotype subtypes
evolution
epidemic trends
Ka/Ks
substitution rate
title Analyses of Long-Term Epidemic Trends and Evolution Characteristics of Haplotype Subtypes Reveal the Dynamic Selection on SARS-CoV-2
title_full Analyses of Long-Term Epidemic Trends and Evolution Characteristics of Haplotype Subtypes Reveal the Dynamic Selection on SARS-CoV-2
title_fullStr Analyses of Long-Term Epidemic Trends and Evolution Characteristics of Haplotype Subtypes Reveal the Dynamic Selection on SARS-CoV-2
title_full_unstemmed Analyses of Long-Term Epidemic Trends and Evolution Characteristics of Haplotype Subtypes Reveal the Dynamic Selection on SARS-CoV-2
title_short Analyses of Long-Term Epidemic Trends and Evolution Characteristics of Haplotype Subtypes Reveal the Dynamic Selection on SARS-CoV-2
title_sort analyses of long term epidemic trends and evolution characteristics of haplotype subtypes reveal the dynamic selection on sars cov 2
topic SARS-CoV-2
haplotype subtypes
evolution
epidemic trends
Ka/Ks
substitution rate
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/14/3/454
work_keys_str_mv AT binbinxi analysesoflongtermepidemictrendsandevolutioncharacteristicsofhaplotypesubtypesrevealthedynamicselectiononsarscov2
AT yuhuanmeng analysesoflongtermepidemictrendsandevolutioncharacteristicsofhaplotypesubtypesrevealthedynamicselectiononsarscov2
AT daweijiang analysesoflongtermepidemictrendsandevolutioncharacteristicsofhaplotypesubtypesrevealthedynamicselectiononsarscov2
AT yunmengbai analysesoflongtermepidemictrendsandevolutioncharacteristicsofhaplotypesubtypesrevealthedynamicselectiononsarscov2
AT zixichen analysesoflongtermepidemictrendsandevolutioncharacteristicsofhaplotypesubtypesrevealthedynamicselectiononsarscov2
AT yimoqu analysesoflongtermepidemictrendsandevolutioncharacteristicsofhaplotypesubtypesrevealthedynamicselectiononsarscov2
AT shuhuali analysesoflongtermepidemictrendsandevolutioncharacteristicsofhaplotypesubtypesrevealthedynamicselectiononsarscov2
AT jinfenwei analysesoflongtermepidemictrendsandevolutioncharacteristicsofhaplotypesubtypesrevealthedynamicselectiononsarscov2
AT lizhenhuang analysesoflongtermepidemictrendsandevolutioncharacteristicsofhaplotypesubtypesrevealthedynamicselectiononsarscov2
AT honglidu analysesoflongtermepidemictrendsandevolutioncharacteristicsofhaplotypesubtypesrevealthedynamicselectiononsarscov2