Discrete-event simulation modeling for housing of homeless populations.

The San Francisco Bay Area has experienced a rapid rise in homelessness over the past decade. There is a critical need for quantitative analysis to help determine how to increase the amount of housing to meet the needs of people experiencing homelessness. Noting that the shortage of housing availabl...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dashi I Singham, Jennifer Lucky, Stephanie Reinauer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2023-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0284336
_version_ 1827948708469145600
author Dashi I Singham
Jennifer Lucky
Stephanie Reinauer
author_facet Dashi I Singham
Jennifer Lucky
Stephanie Reinauer
author_sort Dashi I Singham
collection DOAJ
description The San Francisco Bay Area has experienced a rapid rise in homelessness over the past decade. There is a critical need for quantitative analysis to help determine how to increase the amount of housing to meet the needs of people experiencing homelessness. Noting that the shortage of housing available through the homelessness response system can be modeled as a queue, we propose a discrete-event simulation to model the long-term flow of people through the homelessness response system. The model takes as input the rate of additional housing and shelter available each year and delivers as output the predicted number of people housed, sheltered, or unsheltered in the system. We worked with a team of stakeholders to analyze the data and processes for Alameda County in California and use this information to build and calibrate two simulation models. One model looks at aggregate need for housing, while the other differentiates the housing needs of the population into eight different types. The model suggests that a large investment in permanent housing and an initial ramp up of shelter is needed to solve unsheltered homelessness and accommodate future inflow to the system.
first_indexed 2024-04-09T12:58:21Z
format Article
id doaj.art-99b034f3d88c4c34b45d8297faeba1d4
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1932-6203
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-09T12:58:21Z
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj.art-99b034f3d88c4c34b45d8297faeba1d42023-05-13T05:31:38ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032023-01-01184e028433610.1371/journal.pone.0284336Discrete-event simulation modeling for housing of homeless populations.Dashi I SinghamJennifer LuckyStephanie ReinauerThe San Francisco Bay Area has experienced a rapid rise in homelessness over the past decade. There is a critical need for quantitative analysis to help determine how to increase the amount of housing to meet the needs of people experiencing homelessness. Noting that the shortage of housing available through the homelessness response system can be modeled as a queue, we propose a discrete-event simulation to model the long-term flow of people through the homelessness response system. The model takes as input the rate of additional housing and shelter available each year and delivers as output the predicted number of people housed, sheltered, or unsheltered in the system. We worked with a team of stakeholders to analyze the data and processes for Alameda County in California and use this information to build and calibrate two simulation models. One model looks at aggregate need for housing, while the other differentiates the housing needs of the population into eight different types. The model suggests that a large investment in permanent housing and an initial ramp up of shelter is needed to solve unsheltered homelessness and accommodate future inflow to the system.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0284336
spellingShingle Dashi I Singham
Jennifer Lucky
Stephanie Reinauer
Discrete-event simulation modeling for housing of homeless populations.
PLoS ONE
title Discrete-event simulation modeling for housing of homeless populations.
title_full Discrete-event simulation modeling for housing of homeless populations.
title_fullStr Discrete-event simulation modeling for housing of homeless populations.
title_full_unstemmed Discrete-event simulation modeling for housing of homeless populations.
title_short Discrete-event simulation modeling for housing of homeless populations.
title_sort discrete event simulation modeling for housing of homeless populations
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0284336
work_keys_str_mv AT dashiisingham discreteeventsimulationmodelingforhousingofhomelesspopulations
AT jenniferlucky discreteeventsimulationmodelingforhousingofhomelesspopulations
AT stephaniereinauer discreteeventsimulationmodelingforhousingofhomelesspopulations