Prediction of Evaporation Changes in Half Well Reservoirs of Sistan By Using Randomized Simulator Models
Evaporation is one of the most important components of the hydrological cycle and its precise estimation is essential for many studies, including planning and managing water resources. In addition, water resource management has been considered on the basis of sustainable development in the world and...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | fas |
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University of Sistan and Baluchestan
2020-03-01
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| Series: | جغرافیا و توسعه |
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| Online Access: | https://gdij.usb.ac.ir/article_5362_cea6ce7d0ace0c523c4776d64f391d96.pdf |
| _version_ | 1797804961338228736 |
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| author | Abbas Ali Ghaderi heidar ali yosefian nazer |
| author_facet | Abbas Ali Ghaderi heidar ali yosefian nazer |
| author_sort | Abbas Ali Ghaderi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Evaporation is one of the most important components of the hydrological cycle and its precise estimation is essential for many studies, including planning and managing water resources. In addition, water resource management has been considered on the basis of sustainable development in the world and sustainable development, in simple terms, is such a development and management that can clearly establish, maintain and enhance human quality of life at all times. Therefore, management of this vital resource in the context of the above definition is of more importance in countries with a dry and semi-arid climate. In this regard, evaporation is one of the climatic parameters and has affected the arid and semi-arid regions more than ever. Therefore, increasing awareness about the evolution of evapotranspiration is of great help to experts in the field of water resources management in the area of watershed management and agricultural operations.In Sistan, the high temperatures and winds have caused the total of 1.5 billion cubic meters of water stored in four half wells in Sistan to evaporate very large volume water annually from the surface of the half wells. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to calculate the evaporation rate, study the process of evapotranspiration,evaluate the accuracy of time series models including ARIMA,Holt-Winters, and extracting the trend models in estimating the evaporation rate and prediction of evaporation over the coming years in the Sistan partial water half wells. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-13T05:43:58Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-99dbf6f94c1e40eb9f7c43ef2013a030 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1735-0735 2676-7791 |
| language | fas |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-13T05:43:58Z |
| publishDate | 2020-03-01 |
| publisher | University of Sistan and Baluchestan |
| record_format | Article |
| series | جغرافیا و توسعه |
| spelling | doaj.art-99dbf6f94c1e40eb9f7c43ef2013a0302023-06-13T20:24:15ZfasUniversity of Sistan and Baluchestanجغرافیا و توسعه1735-07352676-77912020-03-01185822523810.22111/gdij.2020.53625362Prediction of Evaporation Changes in Half Well Reservoirs of Sistan By Using Randomized Simulator ModelsAbbas Ali Ghaderi0heidar ali yosefian nazer1استادیار گروه عمران دانشکده فنی مهندسی دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، زاهدان، ایراندانش‌آموختۀ کارشناسی‌ارشد عمران، گروه عمران دانشکده فنی مهندسی دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، زاهدان، ایرانEvaporation is one of the most important components of the hydrological cycle and its precise estimation is essential for many studies, including planning and managing water resources. In addition, water resource management has been considered on the basis of sustainable development in the world and sustainable development, in simple terms, is such a development and management that can clearly establish, maintain and enhance human quality of life at all times. Therefore, management of this vital resource in the context of the above definition is of more importance in countries with a dry and semi-arid climate. In this regard, evaporation is one of the climatic parameters and has affected the arid and semi-arid regions more than ever. Therefore, increasing awareness about the evolution of evapotranspiration is of great help to experts in the field of water resources management in the area of watershed management and agricultural operations.In Sistan, the high temperatures and winds have caused the total of 1.5 billion cubic meters of water stored in four half wells in Sistan to evaporate very large volume water annually from the surface of the half wells. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to calculate the evaporation rate, study the process of evapotranspiration,evaluate the accuracy of time series models including ARIMA,Holt-Winters, and extracting the trend models in estimating the evaporation rate and prediction of evaporation over the coming years in the Sistan partial water half wells.https://gdij.usb.ac.ir/article_5362_cea6ce7d0ace0c523c4776d64f391d96.pdfevaporationextracting the trend curvehalf wellholt-winters modelsarima model |
| spellingShingle | Abbas Ali Ghaderi heidar ali yosefian nazer Prediction of Evaporation Changes in Half Well Reservoirs of Sistan By Using Randomized Simulator Models جغرافیا و توسعه evaporation extracting the trend curve half well holt-winters model sarima model |
| title | Prediction of Evaporation Changes in Half Well Reservoirs of Sistan By Using Randomized Simulator Models |
| title_full | Prediction of Evaporation Changes in Half Well Reservoirs of Sistan By Using Randomized Simulator Models |
| title_fullStr | Prediction of Evaporation Changes in Half Well Reservoirs of Sistan By Using Randomized Simulator Models |
| title_full_unstemmed | Prediction of Evaporation Changes in Half Well Reservoirs of Sistan By Using Randomized Simulator Models |
| title_short | Prediction of Evaporation Changes in Half Well Reservoirs of Sistan By Using Randomized Simulator Models |
| title_sort | prediction of evaporation changes in half well reservoirs of sistan by using randomized simulator models |
| topic | evaporation extracting the trend curve half well holt-winters model sarima model |
| url | https://gdij.usb.ac.ir/article_5362_cea6ce7d0ace0c523c4776d64f391d96.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT abbasalighaderi predictionofevaporationchangesinhalfwellreservoirsofsistanbyusingrandomizedsimulatormodels AT heidaraliyosefiannazer predictionofevaporationchangesinhalfwellreservoirsofsistanbyusingrandomizedsimulatormodels |