Forecasting of University Students' Turkish Language Course Exam Results According to Their Exam Preparation Levels

There are many algorithms and software in the field of forecasting. These methods are also used in education. There are studies on forecasting of student achievement in education. Forecasting of academic achievement of university students is important in terms of seeing possible situations. In this...

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Main Authors: Emrah Aydemir, Feyzi Kaysi, Sevinç Gülseçen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Istanbul University 2019-12-01
Series:Alphanumeric Journal
Subjects:
Online Access: http://alphanumericjournal.com/media/Issue/volume-7-issue-2-2019/universite-ogrencilerinin-turk-dili-dersi-sinav-sonuclarinin_g6Hawew.pdf
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author Emrah Aydemir
Feyzi Kaysi
Sevinç Gülseçen
author_facet Emrah Aydemir
Feyzi Kaysi
Sevinç Gülseçen
author_sort Emrah Aydemir
collection DOAJ
description There are many algorithms and software in the field of forecasting. These methods are also used in education. There are studies on forecasting of student achievement in education. Forecasting of academic achievement of university students is important in terms of seeing possible situations. In this study, the achievement of the students towards Turkish Language course was forecasting with data mining methods. 160 student data, in a state university, were included in the study. For the data obtained, prediction models developed by DecisionStump, RandomTree, RandomForest, REPTree and M5P methods were created and compared with each other. 10-fold cross-validation method was used in the separation of data for training and test. In models, it will affect the student's passing grade; program, type of OSS entrance, OSS entrance score, OSS entrance rankings, the previous semester grade point average, midterm exam grade, studying status, the current study and how many points are expected from the exam, how the exam passed and final exam score was taken into consideration. Among the models, it was seen that the model established with best results with 10.16 mean absolute error and 0.72 correlation coefficient. As a result of the study, it is thought that students can take precautions by predicting the passing grade.
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spelling doaj.art-99f5c0bb381f40cebf9f7ab6efb89a602023-02-15T16:07:35ZengIstanbul UniversityAlphanumeric Journal2148-22252019-12-0172351356http://dx.doi.org/10.17093/alphanumeric.58350221482225Forecasting of University Students' Turkish Language Course Exam Results According to Their Exam Preparation LevelsEmrah Aydemir0Feyzi Kaysi1Sevinç Gülseçen2 Ahi Evran University, Department of Computer Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Architecture Istanbul University Cerrahpasa, Vocational School of Technical Sciences Istanbul University, Department of Informatics There are many algorithms and software in the field of forecasting. These methods are also used in education. There are studies on forecasting of student achievement in education. Forecasting of academic achievement of university students is important in terms of seeing possible situations. In this study, the achievement of the students towards Turkish Language course was forecasting with data mining methods. 160 student data, in a state university, were included in the study. For the data obtained, prediction models developed by DecisionStump, RandomTree, RandomForest, REPTree and M5P methods were created and compared with each other. 10-fold cross-validation method was used in the separation of data for training and test. In models, it will affect the student's passing grade; program, type of OSS entrance, OSS entrance score, OSS entrance rankings, the previous semester grade point average, midterm exam grade, studying status, the current study and how many points are expected from the exam, how the exam passed and final exam score was taken into consideration. Among the models, it was seen that the model established with best results with 10.16 mean absolute error and 0.72 correlation coefficient. As a result of the study, it is thought that students can take precautions by predicting the passing grade. http://alphanumericjournal.com/media/Issue/volume-7-issue-2-2019/universite-ogrencilerinin-turk-dili-dersi-sinav-sonuclarinin_g6Hawew.pdf data miningforecastingturkish languageuniversity students
spellingShingle Emrah Aydemir
Feyzi Kaysi
Sevinç Gülseçen
Forecasting of University Students' Turkish Language Course Exam Results According to Their Exam Preparation Levels
Alphanumeric Journal
data mining
forecasting
turkish language
university students
title Forecasting of University Students' Turkish Language Course Exam Results According to Their Exam Preparation Levels
title_full Forecasting of University Students' Turkish Language Course Exam Results According to Their Exam Preparation Levels
title_fullStr Forecasting of University Students' Turkish Language Course Exam Results According to Their Exam Preparation Levels
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting of University Students' Turkish Language Course Exam Results According to Their Exam Preparation Levels
title_short Forecasting of University Students' Turkish Language Course Exam Results According to Their Exam Preparation Levels
title_sort forecasting of university students turkish language course exam results according to their exam preparation levels
topic data mining
forecasting
turkish language
university students
url http://alphanumericjournal.com/media/Issue/volume-7-issue-2-2019/universite-ogrencilerinin-turk-dili-dersi-sinav-sonuclarinin_g6Hawew.pdf
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AT sevincgulsecen forecastingofuniversitystudentsturkishlanguagecourseexamresultsaccordingtotheirexampreparationlevels