Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory
In the current complex and uncertainty of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities, the elderly in the long-term care facilities are at the highest risk of being affected by COVID-19. There is still uncertain relationship between the identification of this risk and the care management, cari...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Society for Risk Analysis - China
2020-07-01
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| Series: | Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (JRACR) |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125941887/view |
| _version_ | 1811323705420152832 |
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| author | Fengying Zhang Jianhui Kong Xiaofeng Xie Kai Xu Zongfang Zhou |
| author_facet | Fengying Zhang Jianhui Kong Xiaofeng Xie Kai Xu Zongfang Zhou |
| author_sort | Fengying Zhang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | In the current complex and uncertainty of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities, the elderly in the long-term care facilities are at the highest risk of being affected by COVID-19. There is still uncertain relationship between the identification of this risk and the care management, caring behavior, cannot achieve management optimization. Matrix analysis the change relation between the conditions for the COVID-19 risk identification and risk behavior. The results show that there are N equilibrium points for the risk management of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities. The complexity of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities and the cognitive deviations caused by the limited rationality of managers and caregivers make the COVID-19, the risk early warning system is not easy to converge to a stable point in the real environment, so as to achieve the best management status of the COVID-19 risk in long-term care facilities. Nursing staff behavior, risk management cost, risk loss and other parameters have different risk management effects for the COVID-19. When the selected parameter is adjusted through the threshold, reflects the stability and selection tendency of the COVID-19 risk management strategy. Promote institutional managers and caregivers to adopt active risk management strategies: Strengthen the awareness of institutional managers and caregivers about the complexity and uncertainty of risks; Optimize the COVID-19 risk management system, process and procedures; Strengthen the research on risk accidents, serious consequences and effective prevention of COVID-19; Strengthen the review and supervision of the risk management of COVID-19 and improve its value perception of the effective prevention of the risk of COVID-19. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-13T14:00:54Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-99fba4493f2543fea528dd4dc4b558c3 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2210-8505 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-13T14:00:54Z |
| publishDate | 2020-07-01 |
| publisher | Society for Risk Analysis - China |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (JRACR) |
| spelling | doaj.art-99fba4493f2543fea528dd4dc4b558c32022-12-22T02:44:03ZengSociety for Risk Analysis - ChinaJournal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (JRACR)2210-85052020-07-0110210.2991/jracr.k.200714.002Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect TheoryFengying ZhangJianhui KongXiaofeng XieKai XuZongfang ZhouIn the current complex and uncertainty of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities, the elderly in the long-term care facilities are at the highest risk of being affected by COVID-19. There is still uncertain relationship between the identification of this risk and the care management, caring behavior, cannot achieve management optimization. Matrix analysis the change relation between the conditions for the COVID-19 risk identification and risk behavior. The results show that there are N equilibrium points for the risk management of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities. The complexity of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities and the cognitive deviations caused by the limited rationality of managers and caregivers make the COVID-19, the risk early warning system is not easy to converge to a stable point in the real environment, so as to achieve the best management status of the COVID-19 risk in long-term care facilities. Nursing staff behavior, risk management cost, risk loss and other parameters have different risk management effects for the COVID-19. When the selected parameter is adjusted through the threshold, reflects the stability and selection tendency of the COVID-19 risk management strategy. Promote institutional managers and caregivers to adopt active risk management strategies: Strengthen the awareness of institutional managers and caregivers about the complexity and uncertainty of risks; Optimize the COVID-19 risk management system, process and procedures; Strengthen the research on risk accidents, serious consequences and effective prevention of COVID-19; Strengthen the review and supervision of the risk management of COVID-19 and improve its value perception of the effective prevention of the risk of COVID-19.https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125941887/viewCOVID-19risk assessmentrisk occurrence mechanismrisk early warning mechanismlong-term care facilities |
| spellingShingle | Fengying Zhang Jianhui Kong Xiaofeng Xie Kai Xu Zongfang Zhou Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (JRACR) COVID-19 risk assessment risk occurrence mechanism risk early warning mechanism long-term care facilities |
| title | Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory |
| title_full | Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory |
| title_fullStr | Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory |
| title_full_unstemmed | Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory |
| title_short | Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory |
| title_sort | research on the prevention and control of covid 19 risk in long term care facilities based on prospect theory |
| topic | COVID-19 risk assessment risk occurrence mechanism risk early warning mechanism long-term care facilities |
| url | https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125941887/view |
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