Significant Reductions in Crop Yields From Air Pollution and Heat Stress in the United States
Abstract The joint exposure of plants to surface ozone, atmospheric aerosols, and heat stress can lead to considerable decreases in crop yields. Surface ozone negatively impacts plant photosynthesis while aerosols can have positive or negative effects from its dual impact on light and temperature. H...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Wiley
2021-08-01
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Series: | Earth's Future |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002000 |
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author | Xiang Liu Ankur R. Desai |
author_facet | Xiang Liu Ankur R. Desai |
author_sort | Xiang Liu |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Abstract The joint exposure of plants to surface ozone, atmospheric aerosols, and heat stress can lead to considerable decreases in crop yields. Surface ozone negatively impacts plant photosynthesis while aerosols can have positive or negative effects from its dual impact on light and temperature. Here, using a statistical model, we show that in the United States, as a result of improvements in air quality, the damages caused by ozone and aerosols have decreased since 1980. Historically, relative yield losses due to ozone were 8.7% and 4.8%, and due to aerosols were 11.3% and 23.2% for maize and soybean, respectively. Maize yields are more sensitive to ozone pollution while soybean yields are more sensitive to aerosol pollution. In future RCP 8.5 scenario, absent significant reductions in emissions or improvements in air quality, maize, and soybean would have on average, 58.5% and 36.9% additional yield reductions, respectively, mainly caused by warming. Future climate warming and fossil fuel combustion driven changes to air pollution may have differing impacts on crop yield and should be jointly considered in any assessment of U.S. food security. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-10T20:49:15Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-9a11c1dbb2e34e9db470070e10fd7e87 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2328-4277 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-10T20:49:15Z |
publishDate | 2021-08-01 |
publisher | Wiley |
record_format | Article |
series | Earth's Future |
spelling | doaj.art-9a11c1dbb2e34e9db470070e10fd7e872022-12-22T01:34:08ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772021-08-0198n/an/a10.1029/2021EF002000Significant Reductions in Crop Yields From Air Pollution and Heat Stress in the United StatesXiang Liu0Ankur R. Desai1Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences University of Wisconsin‐Madison Madison WI USADepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences University of Wisconsin‐Madison Madison WI USAAbstract The joint exposure of plants to surface ozone, atmospheric aerosols, and heat stress can lead to considerable decreases in crop yields. Surface ozone negatively impacts plant photosynthesis while aerosols can have positive or negative effects from its dual impact on light and temperature. Here, using a statistical model, we show that in the United States, as a result of improvements in air quality, the damages caused by ozone and aerosols have decreased since 1980. Historically, relative yield losses due to ozone were 8.7% and 4.8%, and due to aerosols were 11.3% and 23.2% for maize and soybean, respectively. Maize yields are more sensitive to ozone pollution while soybean yields are more sensitive to aerosol pollution. In future RCP 8.5 scenario, absent significant reductions in emissions or improvements in air quality, maize, and soybean would have on average, 58.5% and 36.9% additional yield reductions, respectively, mainly caused by warming. Future climate warming and fossil fuel combustion driven changes to air pollution may have differing impacts on crop yield and should be jointly considered in any assessment of U.S. food security.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002000United Statesagricultureair pollutionheat stress |
spellingShingle | Xiang Liu Ankur R. Desai Significant Reductions in Crop Yields From Air Pollution and Heat Stress in the United States Earth's Future United States agriculture air pollution heat stress |
title | Significant Reductions in Crop Yields From Air Pollution and Heat Stress in the United States |
title_full | Significant Reductions in Crop Yields From Air Pollution and Heat Stress in the United States |
title_fullStr | Significant Reductions in Crop Yields From Air Pollution and Heat Stress in the United States |
title_full_unstemmed | Significant Reductions in Crop Yields From Air Pollution and Heat Stress in the United States |
title_short | Significant Reductions in Crop Yields From Air Pollution and Heat Stress in the United States |
title_sort | significant reductions in crop yields from air pollution and heat stress in the united states |
topic | United States agriculture air pollution heat stress |
url | https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002000 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT xiangliu significantreductionsincropyieldsfromairpollutionandheatstressintheunitedstates AT ankurrdesai significantreductionsincropyieldsfromairpollutionandheatstressintheunitedstates |