Spatio-temporal analysis of dynamics and future scenarios of anthropic pressure on biomes in Brazil
Anthropogenic transformations, which have become intensified by land use and land cover changes and industrialization, have contributed to increased anthropogenic pressure on biodiversity. These disturbances contribute toward fragmentating habitats at different scales and putting species at risk, in...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2022-04-01
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| Series: | Ecological Indicators |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X22002205 |
| _version_ | 1818772622765195264 |
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| author | Francisco Gilney Silva Bezerra Peter Mann de Toledo Celso von Randow Ana Paula Dutra de Aguiar Patrícia Verônica Pinheiro Sales Lima Luciano Jorge Serejo dos Anjos Karine Rocha Aguiar Bezerra |
| author_facet | Francisco Gilney Silva Bezerra Peter Mann de Toledo Celso von Randow Ana Paula Dutra de Aguiar Patrícia Verônica Pinheiro Sales Lima Luciano Jorge Serejo dos Anjos Karine Rocha Aguiar Bezerra |
| author_sort | Francisco Gilney Silva Bezerra |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Anthropogenic transformations, which have become intensified by land use and land cover changes and industrialization, have contributed to increased anthropogenic pressure on biodiversity. These disturbances contribute toward fragmentating habitats at different scales and putting species at risk, in addition to compromising the main biogeochemical cycles. To better understand the spatiotemporal dynamics of anthropogenic pressure on Brazilian biomes, this study sought to develop a composite index to identify and analyze the degree and distribution of anthropogenic-based pressure on biodiversity, and identify internally homogeneous and heterogeneous regions regarding the dynamics of this pressure in different scenarios. To that end, we carried out an analysis of the impact of select anthropogenic factors. Specifically, we analyzed future scenarios involving land use and land cover changes in line with the global structure Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), according to the narratives SSP1/RCP 1.9, SSP2/ RCP 4.5 and SSP3/RCP 7.0. We used cluster and spatial analyses to determine the spatial dynamics of the index and, consequently, the regions most susceptible to anthropogenic pressure. The results demonstrate intensified pressure on biodiversity in areas that have already been subject to a considerable degree of disturbances, especially the Cerrado, Caatinga, and Atlantic Forest biomes. In all scenarios, the region with the highest average pressure index, i.e., Region 4, which has an average pressure index of 0.57, corresponds to 30% of Brazilian territory. This method made it possible to determine the level of pressure in each region and, subsequently, identify the regions that have been most affected by human actions in an effort to guide priority actions and local policies. However, it should be noted that this approach should be complemented with additional information, such as soil erosion, field recognition, and socioeconomic information. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-18T10:12:17Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-9a15f8a38c084d0093b11109b5c2321b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1470-160X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-18T10:12:17Z |
| publishDate | 2022-04-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecological Indicators |
| spelling | doaj.art-9a15f8a38c084d0093b11109b5c2321b2022-12-21T21:11:25ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2022-04-01137108749Spatio-temporal analysis of dynamics and future scenarios of anthropic pressure on biomes in BrazilFrancisco Gilney Silva Bezerra0Peter Mann de Toledo1Celso von Randow2Ana Paula Dutra de Aguiar3Patrícia Verônica Pinheiro Sales Lima4Luciano Jorge Serejo dos Anjos5Karine Rocha Aguiar Bezerra6General Cordination of Earth Sciences, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Avenida dos Astronautas, 1758, Jardim da Granja, 12227-010 São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil; Corresponding author.General Cordination of Earth Sciences, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Avenida dos Astronautas, 1758, Jardim da Granja, 12227-010 São José dos Campos, SP, BrazilGeneral Cordination of Earth Sciences, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Avenida dos Astronautas, 1758, Jardim da Granja, 12227-010 São José dos Campos, SP, BrazilGeneral Cordination of Earth Sciences, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Avenida dos Astronautas, 1758, Jardim da Granja, 12227-010 São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil; Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kräftriket 2B, 104 05 Stockholm, SwedenFederal University of Ceará – UFC, Center for Agricultural Science – CCA, Av. Mister Hull, 2977 – Campus do Pici, Bloco 826, 60440-970 Fortaleza, CE, BrazilFederal Rural University of Amazon, Km13, Rod. PA 275, Rural Area, 68515-000 Parauapebas, Pará, BrazilGeneral Cordination of Earth Sciences, National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Avenida dos Astronautas, 1758, Jardim da Granja, 12227-010 São José dos Campos, SP, BrazilAnthropogenic transformations, which have become intensified by land use and land cover changes and industrialization, have contributed to increased anthropogenic pressure on biodiversity. These disturbances contribute toward fragmentating habitats at different scales and putting species at risk, in addition to compromising the main biogeochemical cycles. To better understand the spatiotemporal dynamics of anthropogenic pressure on Brazilian biomes, this study sought to develop a composite index to identify and analyze the degree and distribution of anthropogenic-based pressure on biodiversity, and identify internally homogeneous and heterogeneous regions regarding the dynamics of this pressure in different scenarios. To that end, we carried out an analysis of the impact of select anthropogenic factors. Specifically, we analyzed future scenarios involving land use and land cover changes in line with the global structure Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), according to the narratives SSP1/RCP 1.9, SSP2/ RCP 4.5 and SSP3/RCP 7.0. We used cluster and spatial analyses to determine the spatial dynamics of the index and, consequently, the regions most susceptible to anthropogenic pressure. The results demonstrate intensified pressure on biodiversity in areas that have already been subject to a considerable degree of disturbances, especially the Cerrado, Caatinga, and Atlantic Forest biomes. In all scenarios, the region with the highest average pressure index, i.e., Region 4, which has an average pressure index of 0.57, corresponds to 30% of Brazilian territory. This method made it possible to determine the level of pressure in each region and, subsequently, identify the regions that have been most affected by human actions in an effort to guide priority actions and local policies. However, it should be noted that this approach should be complemented with additional information, such as soil erosion, field recognition, and socioeconomic information.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X22002205AnthropogenicBiomesIndexLand use and land coverPressureScenarios |
| spellingShingle | Francisco Gilney Silva Bezerra Peter Mann de Toledo Celso von Randow Ana Paula Dutra de Aguiar Patrícia Verônica Pinheiro Sales Lima Luciano Jorge Serejo dos Anjos Karine Rocha Aguiar Bezerra Spatio-temporal analysis of dynamics and future scenarios of anthropic pressure on biomes in Brazil Ecological Indicators Anthropogenic Biomes Index Land use and land cover Pressure Scenarios |
| title | Spatio-temporal analysis of dynamics and future scenarios of anthropic pressure on biomes in Brazil |
| title_full | Spatio-temporal analysis of dynamics and future scenarios of anthropic pressure on biomes in Brazil |
| title_fullStr | Spatio-temporal analysis of dynamics and future scenarios of anthropic pressure on biomes in Brazil |
| title_full_unstemmed | Spatio-temporal analysis of dynamics and future scenarios of anthropic pressure on biomes in Brazil |
| title_short | Spatio-temporal analysis of dynamics and future scenarios of anthropic pressure on biomes in Brazil |
| title_sort | spatio temporal analysis of dynamics and future scenarios of anthropic pressure on biomes in brazil |
| topic | Anthropogenic Biomes Index Land use and land cover Pressure Scenarios |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X22002205 |
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